AI vs Market Probabilities

• Belchatow
  78%
• Draw
  0%
• ChKS Chelm
  22%

Analysis

Our match winner prediction favors Belchatow based on superior home form and head-to-head dominance. The hosts' 75% home win rate contrasts sharply with ChKS Chelm's 28.6% away record. Set handicap analysis supports Belchatow -1.5 sets, given their previous 3-0 sweep of ChKS Chelm and tendency to dominate weaker opposition at home. ChKS Chelm's poor away set differential (7 sets won vs 17 conceded) suggests they'll struggle to compete across multiple sets. Belchatow's home attacking efficiency and ChKS Chelm's defensive frailties create a significant mismatch. The 14-point gap in the standings reflects the quality difference between these teams.

Recommendations

The primary value bet lies in Belchatow -1.5 sets, reflecting their dominance over relegation-threatened opponents at home. Their previous 3-0 victory over ChKS Chelm demonstrates their ability to sweep this matchup. Set betting markets offer excellent value given ChKS Chelm's poor away set performance, averaging just 1.0 sets per road match. Belchatow's home record includes multiple sweeps against weaker teams, making the -1.5 handicap attractive. Total sets Under 4.5 also presents value, as Belchatow's home dominance often produces quick 3-0 or 3-1 victories. ChKS Chelm's inability to compete consistently on the road supports shorter match expectations. The combination of home advantage and quality gap makes set handicap betting the preferred approach.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Belchatow

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• ChKS Chelm

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Consider Over 3.5 sets if ChKS Chelm shows early resistance, though their away form suggests limited competitiveness. Exact score 3-1 offers value if ChKS Chelm manages one competitive set before Belchatow's quality tells. First set winner Belchatow provides safer alternative given their home court advantage and superior preparation. Total sets Under 4.5 suits if expecting a dominant home performance similar to their previous 3-0 victory. Belchatow to win and Under 4.5 sets combines match winner confidence with expectation of home dominance.