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Serbia won
Serbia faces Cuba in a Nations League clash on June 26, with the standings gap between these two sides telling a stark story. Serbia sit 8th in the table with 9 points from 5 matches, while Cuba are rooted to the bottom in 18th place with just 1 point and a relegation tag — a 10-place gulf that underlines the scale of the mismatch.
Serbia have won 3 of their 5 Nations League matches, most recently sweeping Bulgaria 3-0 before falling to Japan 1-3 in their last outing. Their form shows a competitive side capable of dominant wins against mid-table opposition. Cuba, by contrast, have lost all 5 of their Nations League matches, conceding 3-0 in four of those five games. Their only set won came in a 2-3 defeat to Slovenia, highlighting just how limited their competitive ceiling is at this level.
The head-to-head record from the past two years shows one meeting: a 2025 Nations League encounter where Cuba won 3-1 against Serbia, which adds a note of caution. However, Cuba's current form is significantly worse than that result suggests, and Serbia's overall quality advantage is substantial.
With a points-per-game differential of +1.60 in Serbia's favour and Cuba yet to win a single match this campaign, Serbia are strong favourites to secure a convincing victory. A 3-0 or 3-1 scoreline looks most likely given Cuba's inability to sustain competitive sets.
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2026 Season
Serbia vs Cuba - Match Analysis
Serbia are strong favourites based on their Nations League standing (8th, 9 points) versus Cuba's last-place position (18th, 1 point). Serbia have won 3 of 5 matches this campaign, while Cuba have lost all 5. The one recent H2H meeting in 2025 went Cuba's way 3-1, but Cuba's current form is significantly weaker. Serbia's superior attack efficiency and blocking make them the clear pick to win this match with high confidence.
Serbia -1.5 sets is an attractive market given Cuba's set-winning struggles. Four of Cuba's five Nations League defeats were 3-0 sweeps, meaning Serbia only need to win 3-0 or 3-1 to cover. Serbia have demonstrated the ability to sweep weaker opponents — their 3-0 win over Bulgaria is a direct comparison. The main risk is the 2025 H2H where Cuba won 3-1, but current form strongly supports Serbia covering the -1.5 handicap at medium-high confidence.
The Under 3.5 sets option looks more appealing here. Cuba have been swept 3-0 in four of their five Nations League matches, suggesting they struggle to win even a single set against quality opposition. Serbia have the serving and blocking tools to close out sets efficiently. While Cuba did win two sets against Slovenia, that remains their only multi-set performance this campaign. Expect a three or four-set match at most, making Under 3.5 sets a reasonable supporting bet.
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Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Looking only at head-to-head meetings within the past two years, there is one recorded encounter: a 2025 Nations League match...
Looking only at head-to-head meetings within the past two years, there is one recorded encounter: a 2025 Nations League match where Cuba defeated Serbia 3-1. That result is a reminder that Cuba can compete on their day, but their current Nations League campaign — five losses, zero wins, and just two sets won across all matches — suggests that result may have been an outlier rather than a reliable indicator of the current balance of power between these sides.
Last 9 matches across all competitionsNations League matches highlighted
5 of 9 in Nations League
Form Rating
5.6/10
Serbia have posted a 3-2 record across 5 Nations League matches, sitting 8th with 9...
Serbia have posted a 3-2 record across 5 Nations League matches, sitting 8th with 9 points. Their recent run includes a commanding 3-0 sweep of Bulgaria and a 3-1 win over Belgium, demonstrating strong attacking efficiency when facing comparable or weaker opposition. Their two losses came against Japan and Brazil — top-tier sides — which is understandable. Serbia's serve and blocking have been effective against mid-to-lower ranked opponents, and with Cuba ranked last, they will look to impose their game from the opening set.
5 of 8 in Nations League
Form Rating
1.3/10
Cuba have endured a difficult Nations League campaign, losing all 5 matches without a single...
Cuba have endured a difficult Nations League campaign, losing all 5 matches without a single win. Four of those defeats were 3-0 sweeps, and their only competitive showing was a 2-3 loss to Slovenia where they managed to win two sets. Their away record this season shows zero wins from two matches, with a 0-3 set differential on the road. Cuba have struggled to generate consistent attack and their serve-receive has been exploited repeatedly by stronger opponents. Against a Serbia side with proven blocking and serving, they face another stern test.
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