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Iran won
Iran faces Cuba in a Nations League clash between two of the competition's most struggling sides, with both teams desperate for points to avoid the bottom of the standings.
Iran sit 16th with just 5 points from 6 matches, recording only 1 win all campaign. Cuba are in an even worse position, anchored at 18th with 2 points and zero wins from 6 matches — currently in the relegation zone. Despite both teams' poor records, Iran hold a clear statistical edge, averaging more sets won per match and showing greater competitive resilience against top opposition.
Iran's sole Nations League win came against Argentina (3-0), and they pushed Japan to a 3-2 scoreline in their most recent outing, suggesting they can compete when motivated. Cuba, meanwhile, have been swept 3-0 on three occasions and have yet to win a single set against the top sides. Their attack has been the weakest in the competition, and their serve-receive has struggled consistently.
With Iran holding a 3-win advantage in the head-to-head across recent meetings and Cuba winless in 2026 Nations League play, Iran are the clear favourites here. Expect Iran to take this match, likely in three or four sets, as Cuba's lack of attacking firepower makes it difficult to see them extending the match deep into five sets.
Last 9 head-to-head matchups
Looking at head-to-head meetings within the last two years, there is no recorded meeting between Iran and Cuba since 2024,...
Looking at head-to-head meetings within the last two years, there is no recorded meeting between Iran and Cuba since 2024, when Iran won 3-1 in the Nations League. Prior to that, Iran also won 3-2 at the 2023 Olympic Games qualifier and 3-2 in the 2023 Nations League — giving Iran three consecutive victories in recent encounters. Cuba's last win in this rivalry dates back to 2018. The recent H2H trend firmly favours Iran.
Last 12 matches across all competitionsNations League matches highlighted
7 of 12 in Nations League
Form Rating
3.3/10
Iran have managed just 1 win from 6 Nations League matches, placing them 16th in...
Iran have managed just 1 win from 6 Nations League matches, placing them 16th in the standings with 5 points. Their lone victory was a commanding 3-0 sweep of Argentina, but they have since lost five matches, including back-to-back defeats to USA (0-3) and Japan (2-3) in their most recent outings. Encouragingly, Iran have taken sets off France and Japan, showing they can compete in longer matches. Their attack has been more productive than Cuba's, averaging more sets won per game, and their blocking and serve patterns give them a structural edge in this matchup.
6 of 9 in Nations League
Form Rating
1.1/10
Cuba are the Nations League's only winless team, sitting bottom of the standings with 2...
Cuba are the Nations League's only winless team, sitting bottom of the standings with 2 points from 6 matches and facing relegation. They have been swept 3-0 on three separate occasions — against Poland, Ukraine, and China — and have only managed to take sets in two matches all campaign. Their attack efficiency has been the lowest in the competition, and their serve-receive has been consistently exploited by opposing servers. Cuba have played 2 matches in the last 7 days, adding a mild fatigue element heading into this fixture, though neither team has a meaningful rest advantage.
2026 Season
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Iran vs Cuba - Match Analysis
Iran are clear favourites based on their Nations League record, head-to-head history, and Cuba's winless campaign. Iran have 1 win and 5 losses compared to Cuba's 0 wins and 6 losses, and have won three consecutive meetings against Cuba in recent years. Cuba's attack has been the weakest in the competition, making it difficult to see them breaking their losing streak here. Iran should win, most likely in three or four sets.
Iran -1.5 sets is a reasonable value bet in this matchup. It requires Iran to win 3-0 or 3-1, which is plausible given Cuba have been swept three times in this Nations League campaign and have struggled to win sets against even mid-table opposition. Iran swept Argentina 3-0 earlier in the tournament, demonstrating their sweep capability against beatable opponents. The risk is a 3-2 scoreline, but Cuba's limited attack makes that outcome less likely.
The Under 3.5 sets market looks attractive here. Cuba have been swept 3-0 on three occasions this Nations League campaign and have rarely extended matches against stronger opponents. Iran's serving and blocking should create enough pressure to close out sets efficiently. A match going to four or five sets would require Cuba to win at least two sets, which their current form and attack metrics make unlikely. Under 3.5 sets is the recommended total sets pick.
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