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Belgium won
China faces Belgium in a Nations League clash on June 25, with Belgium holding a clear edge in current standings and recent form. Belgium sit 11th with 5 points from 4 matches, while China are 14th with just 4 points, having won only 1 of their 4 matches this campaign.
China's Nations League run has been difficult. After opening losses to Slovenia (2-3), Ukraine (1-3), and Japan (1-3), they managed a sweep of bottom-placed Cuba. That sole win offers limited confidence against a Belgium side that has shown more consistency, defeating Bulgaria and Iran in their most recent outings.
Belgium's 2-2 record is respectable given they faced Serbia and Brazil — two of the top teams in the competition. Their wins have come convincingly, including a 3-1 result over Bulgaria and a 3-2 victory over Iran. The coaching staff has shown tactical flexibility, and Belgium's World Championship results from late 2025 — including wins over Italy and Ukraine — suggest a squad capable of performing against quality opposition.
With Belgium holding a 0.25 points-per-game advantage and a 50% win rate compared to China's 25%, the Belgians are the stronger side on current evidence. Belgium are favored to take this match, likely in four sets given China's capacity to take a set but inability to sustain pressure across a full match.
Last 2 head-to-head matchups
The head-to-head record between these two sides is split across two meetings in recent years. In a 2024 Challenger Cup...
The head-to-head record between these two sides is split across two meetings in recent years. In a 2024 Challenger Cup match, China won 3-1. In a 2023 Olympic Games encounter, Belgium won 3-1. No meetings have taken place since the start of 2026, so the historical record offers limited predictive weight here. Current form and Nations League standings provide a stronger basis for this prediction than the 1-1 head-to-head split.
Last 7 matches across all competitionsNations League matches highlighted
4 of 7 in Nations League
Form Rating
1.4/10
China have won just 1 of their 4 Nations League matches, with their only victory...
China have won just 1 of their 4 Nations League matches, with their only victory coming against bottom-ranked Cuba in a 3-0 sweep. Their three losses — to Slovenia, Ukraine, and Japan — all ended 1-3, suggesting they can take a set but struggle to maintain that level across a full match. Their World Championship results from September 2025 were similarly difficult, with losses to Brazil, Serbia, and Czech Republic. China's win rate of 25% and points-per-game of 0.75 reflect a side that is competitive in patches but not yet consistent enough to challenge mid-table opponents reliably.
4 of 9 in Nations League
Form Rating
6.7/10
Belgium have gone 2-2 in the Nations League, but context matters — their two losses...
Belgium have gone 2-2 in the Nations League, but context matters — their two losses came against Serbia (ranked 3rd) and Brazil (ranked 2nd), two of the strongest teams in the competition. Their wins over Bulgaria (3-1) and Iran (3-2) show the ability to close out matches against comparable opponents. Belgium's World Championship campaign in late 2025 was encouraging, with victories over Italy, Ukraine, Finland, and Algeria. With a 50% win rate and 1.5 points per game, Belgium are clearly the stronger side in this matchup and enter with better momentum.
2026 Season
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China vs Belgium - Match Analysis
Belgium are the clear favorites based on current Nations League form. They hold a 50% win rate compared to China's 25%, and their losses have come against top-two sides Brazil and Serbia. China's only win was against bottom-ranked Cuba. Belgium's coaching staff has shown tactical adaptability, and their recent results against comparable opponents make them the stronger pick to take this match, most likely by a 3-1 scoreline.
Belgium -1.5 sets (requiring a 3-0 or 3-1 win) is a viable but moderate-confidence pick. China have shown the ability to take at least one set in most of their matches — they pushed Slovenia, Ukraine, and Japan to four sets. A clean sweep is possible but not the most likely outcome. If you prefer a safer entry point, backing Belgium to win the match outright offers better value without the added risk of a 3-0 requirement.
Over 3.5 sets carries reasonable appeal at around 55% confidence. China have won at least one set in three of their four Nations League matches, including sets against Japan and Slovenia. Belgium are strong enough to win, but China's ability to compete in individual sets makes a four or five-set match plausible. If you expect China to take a set before Belgium closes out, Over 3.5 sets is a worthwhile alternative to the straight match-winner market.
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