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Cuba won
Belgium faces Cuba in a Nations League clash that looks heavily one-sided based on current standings and season-long form. Belgium sit 13th in the table with 9 points from 8 matches, while Cuba are rooted to the bottom in 18th place with just 2 points and a relegation tag — the starkest contrast in the entire competition.
Belgium have won 3 of their 8 matches this season, including victories over Bulgaria, Iran, and China. Their most recent wins came in straight sets against lower-ranked opposition, suggesting they can be clinical when facing beatable opponents. Cuba, by contrast, have lost all 8 of their Nations League matches, conceding an average of 3 sets per game while managing to win sets only sporadically.
No head-to-head data is available between these two sides in the last two years, so this analysis leans on current form and standings. The 5-place gap and 0.87 points-per-game differential firmly point toward a Belgium victory. Cuba have shown some fight in a handful of matches — taking sets off France and Slovenia — but have yet to convert that into a win.
Belgium are the clear favourites here and should win comfortably. With Cuba's defensive fragility and Belgium's ability to sweep weaker opponents, a 3-0 or 3-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome. Belgium to win is the standout volleyball pick in this matchup.
Last 13 matches across all competitionsNations League matches highlighted
8 of 13 in Nations League
Form Rating
5.4/10
Belgium have posted a 3-5 record across 8 Nations League matches, sitting 13th in the...
Belgium have posted a 3-5 record across 8 Nations League matches, sitting 13th in the standings with 9 points. Their three wins came against Bulgaria (3-1), Iran (3-2), and China (3-1), all against teams ranked below them. They have struggled against stronger sides, losing to Turkey, Germany, Poland, Serbia, and Brazil. Their set-scoring average of 1.75 sets won per match reflects a team capable of competing but inconsistent against top-tier opposition. Against weaker opponents, Belgium have shown the ability to control matches and close out sets efficiently.
8 of 11 in Nations League
Form Rating
0.9/10
Cuba have endured a torrid Nations League campaign, losing all 8 matches and earning just...
Cuba have endured a torrid Nations League campaign, losing all 8 matches and earning just 2 points — the lowest total in the competition. They are confirmed for relegation. Their set-scoring average of just 0.75 sets won per match tells the story of a team outclassed at this level. Cuba have been swept 3-0 on four occasions, including losses to Poland, Ukraine, China, and USA. They did push France and Slovenia to 3-2 scorelines, showing occasional resilience, but have been unable to sustain competitive performances across full matches. Their serve receive and attack efficiency have been consistently below the standard required.
2026 Season
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Belgium vs Cuba - Match Analysis
Belgium are strong favourites and should win comfortably. Cuba have lost all 8 of their Nations League matches this season and are confirmed for relegation, while Belgium have 9 points and three wins. The quality gap is significant — Cuba concede an average of 3 sets per match and have been swept on four occasions. Belgium's recent wins over similarly ranked opponents suggest they have the tools to control this match from start to finish.
Belgium -1.5 sets is a well-supported pick, requiring Belgium to win 3-0 or 3-1. Cuba have been swept 3-0 in four of their eight matches and have failed to win a single game all season. Belgium have swept weaker opponents before, including China and Bulgaria. The risk is Cuba occasionally pushing to a third set, as they did against France and Slovenia, but Belgium's overall dominance makes the -1.5 set handicap a reasonable value bet at medium-to-high confidence.
This match is unlikely to go over 3.5 sets. Cuba have been swept 3-0 on four occasions this season and have only extended matches to five sets rarely. Belgium, when facing beatable opponents, tend to close out matches efficiently. The Under 3.5 sets market — meaning the match ends in 3 sets — is the more probable outcome here. Cuba's limited attack output and poor serve receive make it difficult for them to sustain competitive set play across four or five sets.
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