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France W won
Serbia W faces France W in a Nations League Women clash on July 9, with both sides sitting in the lower half of the standings but separated by a significant gap in form and points.
Serbia currently sit 13th with 10 points from 9 matches, having managed 2 wins in 8 league outings. Their recent results show resilience — competitive losses against elite sides like USA, Italy, and Japan — with their sets conceded often coming in tight five-set battles rather than sweeps. France, meanwhile, occupy the relegation zone at 18th with just 4 points and 1 win from 8 matches, having lost their last four Nations League games without dropping fewer than three sets in any of them.
The form gap is stark. France have won just once in their last 10 competitive matches, with their sole Nations League victory coming against Ukraine. Their attack has been particularly muted, averaging just 1.12 sets scored per game in league play. Serbia, despite their own struggles, have shown the ability to push top-eight sides and secured a clean 3-0 win over Dominican Republic in their last away fixture.
With a 0.75 points-per-game differential and a five-place ranking gap, Serbia are the clear favourites here. Their superior win rate (25% vs 12.5%) and better defensive record make them the logical match-winner pick in what should be a relatively straightforward victory.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Looking only at meetings within the past two years, Serbia and France met in the 2025 Nations League Women, where...
Looking only at meetings within the past two years, Serbia and France met in the 2025 Nations League Women, where Serbia won 3-2 in a match hosted by France. That result is the sole recent head-to-head data point available. The 2025 encounter suggests France can push Serbia to five sets but ultimately fall short, which aligns with France's pattern of competitive but losing performances throughout this campaign.
Last 11 matches across all competitionsNations League Women matches highlighted
8 of 11 in Nations League Women
Form Rating
2.7/10
Serbia have posted a 2-6 record across 8 Nations League Women matches, sitting 13th on...
Serbia have posted a 2-6 record across 8 Nations League Women matches, sitting 13th on 10 points. Their wins came against Thailand (3-0) and Dominican Republic (3-0), both against lower-ranked opposition, while their losses have largely come against top-eight sides. Notably, Serbia have shown fight in defeat — losing 3-2 to Belgium and 3-2 to Japan — indicating they are competitive even when outmatched. Their attack averages 1.88 sets per game, and their serve-receive and blocking have shown improvement in recent weeks. Fixture congestion is a concern with four games in the coming week.
8 of 14 in Nations League Women
Form Rating
1.4/10
France have endured a difficult Nations League campaign, recording just 1 win from 8 matches...
France have endured a difficult Nations League campaign, recording just 1 win from 8 matches and sitting in the relegation zone with 4 points. Their sole victory came against Ukraine, and they have since lost four consecutive league matches, including straight-set defeats to China, Turkey, and Brazil. France's attack has been the weakest in the competition, averaging just 1.12 sets scored per game, and they have conceded 3 sets in each of their last four outings. Pre-tournament friendly results were equally concerning, with multiple 3-0 losses to European rivals. Confidence appears low heading into this fixture.
2026 Season
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Serbia W vs France W - Match Analysis
Serbia are clear favourites based on their superior league position (13th vs 18th), better points-per-game record (0.75 vs 0.38), and stronger recent form. France have won just once in their last 10 competitive matches and have struggled to take sets against mid-table opposition. Serbia's 3-0 wins over Thailand and Dominican Republic show they can sweep weaker opponents, making a Serbia victory the most likely outcome in this Nations League Women fixture.
Serbia -1.5 sets (requiring a 3-0 or 3-1 win) carries solid value given France's current form. France have been swept 3-0 in four of their last five Nations League matches, and their attack — the weakest in the competition — has failed to win a set in three of those games. Serbia's blocking and serving have been effective against lower-ranked sides. The risk is a 3-2 scoreline, but France's inability to sustain set-winning performances makes the -1.5 handicap a reasonable bet.
Under 3.5 sets looks the stronger play here. France have been swept in the majority of their recent Nations League losses, suggesting they lack the consistency to push matches into four or five sets against a motivated Serbia side. The 2025 head-to-head did go to five sets, but France's form has deteriorated significantly since then. A three-set Serbia win is the most probable match length, making Under 3.5 sets a value option for total-sets betting.
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