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Serbia W won
Serbia W faces Bulgaria W in a Nations League Women clash on July 8, with both sides sitting in the lower half of the standings but separated by a meaningful gap in form and points.
Serbia W currently sit 12th with 10 points from 8 matches, recording 2 wins and 6 losses. Their recent run shows 1 win in their last 5 Nations League outings, with defeats against top-tier sides USA W, Italy W, Japan W, and Belgium W. Crucially, their two wins this campaign came against lower-ranked opposition — Dominican Republic W and Thailand W — suggesting they are capable of performing against comparable or weaker teams.
Bulgaria W are ranked 16th with just 5 points from 8 matches, also winning 2 and losing 6. Their recent form is concerning: five losses in their last six Nations League matches, with three of those ending in 3-0 sweeps. Their only recent win came against Ukraine W, and their attack has been the weakest in the competition, averaging just 0.12 goals per game.
The head-to-head record strongly favors Serbia W, who have won five of their last six meetings across all competitions. With Bulgaria W's attack struggling and Serbia W carrying a clear points-per-game advantage of +0.63, Serbia W are the clear pick here. Expect a relatively comfortable Serbian victory, likely in three or four sets.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
No head-to-head meetings between Serbia W and Bulgaria W fall within the last two years (since 2026) in the supplied...
No head-to-head meetings between Serbia W and Bulgaria W fall within the last two years (since 2026) in the supplied data, so recent direct form cannot be referenced. Looking at the broader historical record, Serbia W have dominated this rivalry, winning five of the last six encounters across Nations League and World Championship play. Bulgaria W's two victories in the dataset came in 2017 and 2017, making Serbia W the clear historical favorite in this matchup.
Last 11 matches across all competitionsNations League Women matches highlighted
8 of 11 in Nations League Women
Form Rating
2.7/10
Serbia W have posted a 2-6 record across 8 Nations League Women matches, sitting 12th...
Serbia W have posted a 2-6 record across 8 Nations League Women matches, sitting 12th with 10 points. Their wins have come exclusively against lower-ranked sides — Dominican Republic W (3-0) and Thailand W (3-0) — while they have fallen to stronger opponents including USA W, Italy W, Japan W, Belgium W, and China W. Three of their six losses ended in 3-2 scorelines, showing they are competitive even in defeat. Away from their designated fixtures, they have performed slightly better, going 2-3 compared to 0-3 in home-designated matches this campaign.
8 of 11 in Nations League Women
Form Rating
2.7/10
Bulgaria W have struggled significantly in this Nations League campaign, sitting 16th with just 5...
Bulgaria W have struggled significantly in this Nations League campaign, sitting 16th with just 5 points from 8 matches. Their 2-6 record includes three consecutive 3-0 defeats against Thailand W, Poland W, and Brazil W, and their attack is the weakest in the competition. Their two wins came against Dominican Republic W and Ukraine W — both lower-ranked sides. Bulgaria W have been swept in four of their six losses, indicating a lack of resilience when facing stronger opposition. Their set differential and scoring output make them the most vulnerable side in the bottom half of the standings.
2026 Season
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Serbia W vs Bulgaria W - Match Analysis
Serbia W are the clear favorites based on standings, points-per-game differential, and historical head-to-head dominance. They sit 12th with 10 points compared to Bulgaria W's 5 points in 16th. Serbia W have proven capable of sweeping weaker opponents, and Bulgaria W's attack — the weakest in the competition — offers limited resistance. While both teams have identical win rates of 25%, Serbia W's wins have come more convincingly and their losses have been competitive against top-eight sides.
Serbia W -1.5 sets carries genuine value here. Bulgaria W have been swept in four of their six Nations League losses, including 3-0 defeats against Thailand W, Poland W, and Brazil W. Serbia W have swept both Dominican Republic W and Thailand W this campaign. The -1.5 handicap requires Serbia W to win 3-0 or 3-1, which is a realistic outcome given Bulgaria W's inability to extend matches. Medium-to-high confidence, though the inherent variance of volleyball means a 3-2 result is always possible.
The evidence points toward Under 3.5 sets. Bulgaria W have been swept in the majority of their losses, and their attack output is the lowest in the competition. Serbia W have shown they can close out matches quickly against weaker opposition. For the match to go over 3.5 sets, Bulgaria W would need to win at least two sets, which their recent form suggests is unlikely. Under 3.5 sets is the recommended total sets pick, with solid confidence given both teams' recent match-length patterns.
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