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AI Predicted Winner
Belgium W
57%
#Confidence
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Belgium W faces Ukraine W in a Nations League Women clash between two sides battling at the lower end of the standings. Belgium sit 14th with 8 points from 8 matches, while Ukraine occupy 15th with just 6 points — making this a direct contest between two teams looking to avoid the bottom of the table.
Belgium have managed 3 wins in 8 outings this campaign, with their most recent victory a 3-2 result over France W in late June. However, they have lost 5 of 8 matches and concede more sets than they win on average. Ukraine have an even tougher record — 2 wins and 6 losses — with their sole recent bright spot a 3-2 win over Thailand W. Both sides enter this match with identical rest periods of around 20 days since their last outing, and both face a congested schedule of four matches in five days surrounding this fixture.
The head-to-head record within the last two years contains no qualifying meetings — the only data point on file is from August 2023, which falls outside the two-year window, so it is treated as limited historical context only.
With Belgium holding a marginal points-per-game advantage (1.12 vs 0.75) and sitting one place higher in the standings, they are the slight favourites here. Their attack has been marginally more productive, and Ukraine's defensive record is the weaker of the two. Belgium W are tipped to take this match, though a close 3-1 or 3-2 scoreline is the most likely outcome given both teams' inconsistency.
Low
Moderate
Unfavorable
Low
2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Last 1 head-to-head matchups
There is no head-to-head record between Belgium W and Ukraine W within the last two years, so limited historical context...
There is no head-to-head record between Belgium W and Ukraine W within the last two years, so limited historical context is available for this fixture. The only meeting on file dates to August 2023 at the European Championships, where Ukraine won 3-0, but this falls outside the qualifying window. Bettors should treat this as effectively a first meeting under current form conditions, with standings and recent results serving as the primary analytical basis.
Last 10 matches across all competitionsNations League Women matches highlighted
8 of 10 in Nations League Women
Form Rating
4/10
Belgium W have recorded 3 wins and 5 losses across 8 Nations League Women matches...
Belgium W have recorded 3 wins and 5 losses across 8 Nations League Women matches this season, sitting 14th with 8 points. Their recent run shows mixed results: a 3-2 win over France W was followed by back-to-back losses to Germany W (0-3) and Brazil W (2-3). Earlier in the campaign they beat Serbia W 3-2 and Thailand W 3-2, showing they can compete in tight matches. Belgium tend to struggle against stronger opposition but have shown resilience in close five-set battles. Their attack averages 1.62 sets scored per match, though their defensive record remains a concern at 2.62 conceded.
8 of 11 in Nations League Women
Form Rating
2.7/10
Ukraine W have endured a difficult Nations League Women campaign, winning just 2 of 8...
Ukraine W have endured a difficult Nations League Women campaign, winning just 2 of 8 matches to sit 15th with 6 points. Their recent form shows three consecutive losses — to Bulgaria W (2-3), Netherlands W (0-3), and Poland W (1-3) — with their last win coming against Thailand W (3-2) in mid-June. Ukraine have struggled particularly at home, going 1-5 in those fixtures. Their attack averages 1.5 sets scored per match, while conceding 2.75 — the worst defensive ratio of the two sides. Fatigue from a congested schedule could further hamper their performance in this encounter.
Belgium W vs Ukraine W - Match Analysis
Belgium W are the slight favourites based on their superior points-per-game (1.12 vs 0.75) and higher win rate (37.5% vs 25%) this Nations League Women season. Ukraine have lost six of eight matches and carry the weaker defensive record. While neither side is in dominant form, Belgium's marginal statistical edge makes them the logical match winner pick. Expect a competitive match, but Belgium should have enough to secure the victory, likely in four or five sets.
Over 3.5 sets looks like a strong angle for this fixture. Belgium W's three wins this season all came by a 3-2 scoreline, and Ukraine W's two victories were also 3-2 results. Both teams are closely matched in terms of quality and neither has shown the dominance required to sweep opponents. With two lower-table sides meeting and both carrying inconsistent form, a four or five-set match is the most likely outcome, making Over 3.5 sets a well-supported total sets prediction.
An upset is possible given how closely matched these two sides are. Ukraine's win rate of 25% is lower than Belgium's 37.5%, but they have shown they can compete — their 3-2 win over Thailand W and a 3-2 victory over Germany W earlier in the season demonstrate upset potential. The position gap between 14th and 15th is just one place and two points. If Ukraine's attack finds rhythm early, they have the tools to take this match to five sets and potentially steal the result.
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