AI vs Market Probabilities

• FSV Mainz 05
  55%vs 48%+7%
• Draw
  25%vs 27%-2%
• FC Augsburg
  20%vs 26%-6%

Analysis

Our AI model heavily favors Mainz based on multiple factors converging in their favor. The probability analysis shows Mainz's home advantage, superior head-to-head record, and recent upturn in form creating a compelling case. Augsburg's defensive injuries, particularly losing captain Gouweleeuw, significantly impact their away resilience. While Augsburg's Bayern victory was impressive, their overall away form suggests vulnerability. The relegation stakes intensify this encounter, but Mainz's home comfort and historical dominance over Augsburg drive our prediction confidence.

Value Bets Comparison Table

Recommendations

The smart bet approach focuses on Mainz's home advantage and historical dominance creating excellent expected value. With Augsburg missing key defensive players and struggling away from home, backing Mainz represents strong value bets in this relegation clash. Our FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg betting tips highlight the home win as the primary recommendation, offering positive expected value given the circumstances. Consider Mainz's recent home victories and Augsburg's defensive fragility when assessing risk levels. This match presents medium-risk, high-reward potential for informed bettors.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• FSV Mainz 05

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• FC Augsburg

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

For alternative markets, consider Mainz Draw No Bet as a safer option given their home advantage and head-to-head dominance. This market provides insurance against a potential draw while capitalizing on Mainz's superior position. Both Teams to Score also offers value, considering both teams' attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Augsburg's recent goal-scoring form, including their Bayern upset, suggests they can find the net despite away struggles.