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Vaxjo
Vaxjo8th in SHL (1-2)
VS
Rögle
Rögle6th in SHL (2-2)

Vaxjo vs Rögle

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026 · --:--

Vida Arena

Final
Vaxjo
3–2
Rögle

Vaxjo won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

This SHL clash at Vida Arena pits Vaxjo against Rögle in an early-season matchup where both clubs sit mid-table after mixed starts. Vaxjo is 1-2 through three league games (rank 9), while Rögle also carries a 1-2 record but has conceded fewer goals overall.

Both teams enter this one well-rested, with eight days since their last outing and no back-to-back fatigue concerns on either side, so schedule fatigue is a non-factor here. Vaxjo's recent form shows a home win over Malmo sandwiched between road losses to Djurgarden and Frolunda, while Rögle split its last three with a home win over Djurgarden offset by road defeats to Farjestad and Lulea.

Head-to-head meetings between these two have historically produced high-scoring, away-friendly results, with Rögle winning six of the last ten meetings, several by multiple goals. Vaxjo does hold a better home record this H2H sample, going 3-2 at Vida Arena in recent seasons.

Given Vaxjo's edge in home scoring (4.0 goals per game at home) against Rögle's tighter defensive away numbers, this projects as a competitive, moderately low-scoring affair. Expect Vaxjo to lean on home ice advantage and last change, but Rögle's road resilience in this rivalry makes the puck line a coin-flip proposition. The total goals signal here points toward a tighter, Under-leaning contest compared to typical SHL scoring rates.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Vaxjo (4)Rögle (6)
Aug 19, 26
(H)Vaxjo2 - 3Rögle(A)
A
Apr 16, 26
(H)Vaxjo2 - 3Rögle(A)
A
Apr 14, 26
(H)Rögle4 - 1Vaxjo(A)
H
Apr 12, 26
(H)Rögle2 - 4Vaxjo(A)
A
Apr 10, 26
(H)Vaxjo0 - 6Rögle(A)
A
Apr 8, 26
(H)Vaxjo3 - 5Rögle(A)
A
Feb 7, 26
(H)Rögle3 - 4Vaxjo(A)
A
Dec 30, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 2Rögle(A)
H
Nov 15, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 2Rögle(A)
H
Oct 9, 25
(H)Rögle5 - 3Vaxjo(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Rögle has dominated this rivalry recently, winning six of the last ten meetings including lopsided results like a 6-0 and...

Rögle has dominated this rivalry recently, winning six of the last ten meetings including lopsided results like a 6-0 and 4-1 road win at Vaxjo's expense last April. Vaxjo has fought back at home, though, taking three of five meetings hosted at Vida Arena, including two 3-2 victories. The most recent meeting, a preseason friendly in August, saw Rögle edge Vaxjo 3-2. Goals have flowed freely in this series historically, though neither team's SHL form this season suggests a repeat of those high-scoring blowouts.

Last 11 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Vaxjo

3 of 11 in SHL

L
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

5.5/10

Vaxjo Form Analysis

Trending

Vaxjo sits 9th with a 1-2 record through three SHL games, sandwiched between wins and...

Vaxjo sits 9th with a 1-2 record through three SHL games, sandwiched between wins and losses with no clear momentum. Their lone win came at home against Malmo (4-3), while road trips to Djurgarden and Frolunda both ended in losses. Notably, Vaxjo's home scoring has been strong at 4.0 goals per game in their single home outing this season, though their away form (3.5 scored, 4.5 conceded per game) shows defensive vulnerabilities on the road. With eight days of rest and low fixture congestion, fatigue isn't a concern, but consistency remains the bigger question for a team still finding its identity in the early SHL slate.

Rögle

3 of 9 in SHL

L
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

5.6/10

Rögle Form Analysis

Analysis

Rögle also stands at 1-2 through three league games, with a home win over Djurgarden...

Rögle also stands at 1-2 through three league games, with a home win over Djurgarden (3-1) their highlight amid road losses to Farjestad and Lulea. Their scoring output has been modest at 0.67 goals per game overall, but their defensive numbers are tidier, conceding just 0.78 per game season-wide. Rögle's away form shows some scoring struggles (1.5 goals per game on the road) but their away H2H record against Vaxjo specifically has been excellent historically. Like Vaxjo, Rögle enters full-strength with eight days rest and no fatigue concerns, setting up an evenly matched contest between two teams still searching for consistency.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Vaxjo1-233.3%
Rögle1-233.3%
Goals For
Vaxjo3.7
Rögle2.0
Goals Against
Vaxjo4.0
Rögle2.3
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

High Value

Vaxjo vs Linkoping

Thu, Oct 8, 05:00 PM

AI: Vaxjo62%
Strong Pick

Timrå vs Frölunda

Thu, Oct 8, 05:00 PM

AI: Frölunda72%
Close Match

Rögle vs HV 71

Thu, Oct 8, 05:00 PM

AI: Rögle58%
Home Advantage

High

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Vaxjo-0.3
Rögle-0.3

Vaxjo vs Rögle - Match Analysis

Will this Vaxjo vs Rögle game go over or under the total?

Both teams have posted modest scoring numbers early this season, with combined goals per game signals trending well below typical SHL averages. Rögle's defense has been particularly tight, conceding under one goal per game overall. This points toward an Under lean on the total, especially with both clubs still finding offensive rhythm in the early season.

Should I back Vaxjo on the puck line at home?

Vaxjo's home ice advantage and last change are real factors, but Rögle's recent head-to-head dominance tempers confidence in a Vaxjo -1.5 pick. Given the even records and Rögle's superior away results in this specific rivalry historically, a Vaxjo -1.5 puck line carries real risk. Moneyline or the +1.5 alternative offers safer value than backing a multi-goal home win.

How significant is home ice for Vaxjo in this matchup?

Home ice matters in the SHL, with last change and crowd factors giving Vaxjo a real edge, especially given their strong home scoring output this season. However, Rögle's recent head-to-head success on the road against Vaxjo suggests the home advantage may be offset by Rögle's familiarity and comfort in this specific rivalry, making it far from a lock for the home side.

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