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Vaxjo
Vaxjo3rd in SHL (26-16)
VS
Rögle
Rögle4th in SHL (25-14)

Vaxjo vs Rögle

Friday, Apr 10, 2026 · --:--

Vida Arena

Final
Vaxjo
0–6
Rögle

Rögle won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Vaxjo vs Rögle prediction centers on a crucial SHL matchup between two playoff-contending teams at Vida Arena. Vaxjo (3rd, 94 points) hosts Rögle (4th, 93 points) in what could determine final playoff seeding. Both teams enter with excellent rest - Vaxjo has 9 days off while Rögle enjoyed 5 days recovery, eliminating fatigue concerns. The head-to-head record heavily favors Vaxjo at home, winning 3 of their last 4 meetings at Vida Arena. Vaxjo's superior home scoring (2.72 goals per game) against Rögle's road struggles (2.03 goals away) creates a significant advantage. Recent form shows Vaxjo dominated their playoff series against Brynas, while Rögle split their series with Farjestad. With both teams averaging low combined goals (0.08 per game in prediction signals) and strong defensive play, this shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Our NHL picks favor Vaxjo's home ice advantage and superior venue record. Expert picks suggest the puck line offers value given Vaxjo's recent dominance in this matchup, while hockey betting tips point to the under on totals.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Vaxjo (4)Rögle (5)
Feb 7, 26
(H)Rögle0 - 0Vaxjo(A)
A
Dec 30, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 2Rögle(A)
H
Nov 15, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 2Rögle(A)
H
Oct 9, 25
(H)Rögle5 - 3Vaxjo(A)
H
Sep 4, 25
(H)Rögle4 - 2Vaxjo(A)
H
Feb 27, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 5Rögle(A)
A
Jan 25, 25
(H)Rögle0 - 1Vaxjo(A)
A
Oct 29, 24
(H)Vaxjo3 - 1Rögle(A)
H
Oct 26, 24
(H)Rögle5 - 2Vaxjo(A)
H
Apr 11, 24
(H)Rögle4 - 2Vaxjo(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Vaxjo dominates this head-to-head matchup at Vida Arena, winning 3 of their last 4 home meetings against Rögle. The recent...

Vaxjo dominates this head-to-head matchup at Vida Arena, winning 3 of their last 4 home meetings against Rögle. The recent encounters have been high-scoring affairs, with games producing 5-8 total goals. Rögle's last victory at Vida Arena came in October 2024 (5-2), but Vaxjo has since won convincingly 3-2 twice and 3-1. The away team has struggled in this venue, managing just 1.75 goals per game in recent visits. Vaxjo's home advantage appears genuine in this specific matchup, outscoring Rögle 11-6 across their last three meetings at Vida Arena.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Vaxjo

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2.7/10

Vaxjo Form Analysis

Trending

Vaxjo enters this crucial matchup with excellent momentum from their playoff series victory over Brynas....

Vaxjo enters this crucial matchup with excellent momentum from their playoff series victory over Brynas. They dominated that series with impressive offensive displays, including 6-4 and 6-2 victories that showcased their scoring depth. The 9-day rest period has eliminated any fatigue concerns and allowed for proper preparation. At home this season, Vaxjo has been formidable with 17 wins in 29 games, averaging 2.72 goals scored while conceding just 1.93. Their home ice advantage at Vida Arena has been particularly effective against Rögle historically. The team's 49.1% win rate reflects their consistency, and their +14 goal difference demonstrates balanced play. With 94 points securing 3rd place, they're playing with confidence and playoff positioning motivation.

Rögle

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2.7/10

Rögle Form Analysis

Analysis

Rögle arrives after a mixed playoff series against Farjestad, splitting their recent encounters with both...

Rögle arrives after a mixed playoff series against Farjestad, splitting their recent encounters with both dominant wins (7-2, 4-1) and concerning losses (6-5 OT, 2-0). Their 5-day rest advantage ensures they're physically prepared for this crucial matchup. Away from home, Rögle has been more vulnerable with 14 wins in 29 road games, averaging just 2.03 goals while conceding 1.79. Their 49.2% overall win rate mirrors Vaxjo's consistency, but their road scoring struggles could prove decisive. The +32 goal difference shows strong underlying metrics, though their recent road form at Vida Arena has been problematic. Sitting just one point behind Vaxjo in 4th place with 93 points, every game carries playoff seeding implications.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Vaxjo28-1860.9%
Rögle29-2059.2%
Goals For
Vaxjo2.4
Rögle2.4
Goals Against
Vaxjo2.1
Rögle1.8
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Vaxjo+0.4
Rögle+0.6

Vaxjo vs Rögle - Match Analysis

Should I take Vaxjo on the -1.5 puck line?

Yes, Vaxjo -1.5 offers solid value based on their dominant home record against Rögle at Vida Arena. They've won 3 of 4 recent meetings here, including two one-goal victories that could easily have been larger margins. Their superior home scoring (2.72 goals) versus Rögle's road struggles (2.03 goals) creates the offensive differential needed to cover the spread. With both teams well-rested, Vaxjo's venue advantage becomes the deciding factor.

Will this game go over or under 5.5 goals?

Take the under 5.5 goals. Despite their recent high-scoring head-to-head meetings, the prediction signals show extremely low combined goals per game (0.08), suggesting a defensive battle. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, which typically leads to tighter, more conservative play. The 9-day and 5-day rest periods for both teams should improve goaltending performance, keeping scoring down in this crucial late-season matchup.

How does the playoff race context affect this matchup?

The one-point gap between 3rd-place Vaxjo (94 points) and 4th-place Rögle (93 points) adds significant pressure to this matchup. Both teams are secure in playoff spots but fighting for better seeding and home ice advantage. This context typically leads to more defensive, structured play as teams avoid costly mistakes. Vaxjo's home ice advantage becomes even more valuable in these high-stakes situations, where crowd support and last-change privileges matter most.

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