AI vs Market Probabilities

• Timrå
  62%
• Draw
  0%
• Linkoping
  38%

Analysis

The rest advantage favors both teams equally, eliminating schedule-based edges and focusing attention on venue and form factors. Timrå's home ice advantage becomes the decisive factor, with their 65% home win rate and superior goal differential creating significant value. The puck line analysis reveals Timrå's home scoring prowess averaging nearly a goal more than Linkoping's road offense. While Linkoping holds historical head-to-head dominance, Timrå's home fortress presents a different challenge entirely. The extended rest periods should benefit both goaltending units, but Timrå's home defensive record suggests they'll limit Linkoping's scoring opportunities while capitalizing on their own offensive chances.

Recommendations

The value bet centers on Timrå's moneyline, where their home dominance creates positive expected value against Linkoping's road struggles. The goaltender matchup favors the rested home team, with Timrå's defensive structure at home significantly stronger than their road performances. Timrå +1.5 on the puck line offers excellent coverage, as their home record suggests they rarely lose by multiple goals at Timrå Arena. The total goals market presents intrigue with both teams well-rested, potentially leading to higher-scoring hockey than recent road games suggest. Home ice advantage in SHL hockey typically provides 0.3-0.5 goal edge, making Timrå's moneyline the primary value opportunity in this matchup.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Timrå

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• Linkoping

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

First period betting favors Timrå, as home teams typically start stronger with crowd energy and last change advantage. The total goals market leans toward the over, with both teams rested and capable of offensive production when fresh. Timrå team total over 2.5 goals presents value given their home scoring average of 2.75 per game. Period betting could favor Timrå in the opening frame, where home ice advantage typically shows strongest impact in SHL play.