AI vs Market Probabilities

• Skellefteå
  72%
• Draw
  0%
• Timrå
  28%

Analysis

The rest advantage analysis shows both teams equally fresh with 12 days between games, eliminating fatigue as a factor. Skellefteå's superior home record (70% win rate) against Timrå's poor away form (26.3% win rate) creates a significant mismatch. The puck line analysis favors Skellefteå -1.5 given their 3.75 goals per home game and Timrå's 3.53 goals against on the road. Head-to-head trends strongly support the hosts, who've won 6 of 8 recent meetings by comfortable margins. Skellefteå's offensive depth and home ice advantage should prove decisive against Timrå's road struggles.

Recommendations

The primary value bet centers on Skellefteå -1.5 puck line, given their dominant home scoring and Timrå's defensive frailties on the road. The goaltender matchup should favor the hosts, who've been more consistent between the pipes at home. Skellefteå's recent form includes several multi-goal victories, while Timrå has conceded 2+ goals in 15 of 19 away games. The Over 5.5 total goals presents additional value, considering Skellefteå averages 3.75 at home and both teams have shown offensive capability in recent meetings. Historical data supports higher-scoring games in this matchup, with 6 of the last 8 meetings producing 4+ total goals.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Skellefteå

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• Timrå

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Consider the first period Over 1.5 goals given both teams' tendency to start games aggressively. Skellefteå has scored first period goals in 12 of 20 home games, while this matchup historically produces early scoring. The total goals market offers value on the Over, as both teams possess offensive weapons despite Timrå's road struggles. If seeking upset potential, Timrå +1.5 provides coverage for a close game, though their away record suggests limited upset chances against this quality opponent.