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Rögle
Rögle4th in SHL (25-14)
VS
Vaxjo
Vaxjo3rd in SHL (26-16)

Rögle vs Vaxjo

Sunday, Apr 12, 2026 · --:--

Rögle Arena

Final
Rögle
2–4
Vaxjo

Vaxjo won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Rögle vs Vaxjo prediction centers on a crucial SHL matchup between two playoff-contending teams at Rögle Arena. Both teams sit in the top half of the table with Rögle (4th, 93 points) holding a slight edge over Vaxjo (3rd, 94 points) in recent form. Our NHL picks analysis reveals Rögle has dominated this head-to-head matchup recently, winning 4 of their last 6 encounters including impressive home victories of 5-3 and 4-2. The combined goals per game signal of just 0.08 suggests extremely low-scoring affairs between these defensive-minded teams. Rögle enters with excellent rest advantage, having 7 days off compared to Vaxjo's 10-day break, though both teams face upcoming fixture congestion. The home team's superior home record (15-10 vs Vaxjo's 11-11 away) provides additional confidence. Hockey betting tips favor the home side given their recent dominance in this fixture and stronger home ice performance. Expert picks lean toward Rögle on the puck line given their consistent ability to win by multiple goals against Vaxjo, with the under also appealing given the historically low-scoring nature of this matchup.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Rögle (5)Vaxjo (4)
Feb 7, 26
(H)Rögle0 - 0Vaxjo(A)
A
Dec 30, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 2Rögle(A)
H
Nov 15, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 2Rögle(A)
H
Oct 9, 25
(H)Rögle5 - 3Vaxjo(A)
H
Sep 4, 25
(H)Rögle4 - 2Vaxjo(A)
H
Feb 27, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 5Rögle(A)
A
Jan 25, 25
(H)Rögle0 - 1Vaxjo(A)
A
Oct 29, 24
(H)Vaxjo3 - 1Rögle(A)
H
Oct 26, 24
(H)Rögle5 - 2Vaxjo(A)
H
Apr 11, 24
(H)Rögle4 - 2Vaxjo(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Rögle has dominated recent meetings with Vaxjo, winning 4 of their last 6 encounters since 2024. The home team has...

Rögle has dominated recent meetings with Vaxjo, winning 4 of their last 6 encounters since 2024. The home team has been particularly impressive at Rögle Arena, securing convincing victories of 5-3, 4-2, and 5-2 in their last three home meetings. Goal scoring trends show Rögle averaging 4.2 goals per game in home fixtures against Vaxjo, while Vaxjo manages just 2.2 goals away. The most recent meeting in February 2026 ended scoreless, highlighting the defensive nature of this rivalry. Rögle's ability to find the net consistently at home against Vaxjo represents a key trend favoring the hosts.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Rögle

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2.7/10

Rögle Form Analysis

Trending

Rögle sits 4th in the SHL standings with 93 points from 52 games, maintaining a...

Rögle sits 4th in the SHL standings with 93 points from 52 games, maintaining a solid 49.2% win rate. Their recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 games, including an impressive 4-1 victory over Farjestad in their most recent outing. The rest advantage is significant with 7 days off since their last game, ensuring fresh legs against quality opposition. At home, Rögle has been formidable with a 15-10 record, averaging 2.8 goals scored and conceding just 1.87 per game at Rögle Arena. Their home scoring rate of 2.8 goals per game significantly exceeds their away average of 2.03, demonstrating the importance of home ice. However, upcoming fixture congestion with 3 games in the next 7 days could impact squad rotation decisions.

Vaxjo

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2.7/10

Vaxjo Form Analysis

Analysis

Vaxjo currently occupies 3rd place with 94 points from 57 games, posting a 49.1% win...

Vaxjo currently occupies 3rd place with 94 points from 57 games, posting a 49.1% win rate similar to their hosts. Recent form shows 2 wins in their last 5 games, with their most recent victory coming 2-1 at home against Brynas. The visitors benefit from an even longer rest period of 10 days, potentially providing superior freshness. However, Vaxjo's away record of 11-11 reveals struggles on the road, averaging just 2.14 goals scored while conceding 2.21 per game away from home. This represents a significant drop from their home scoring average of 2.72 goals per game. The upcoming fixture congestion mirrors Rögle's situation, with both teams facing demanding schedules ahead that could influence tactical approaches.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Rögle29-2059.2%
Vaxjo28-1860.9%
Goals For
Rögle2.4
Vaxjo2.4
Goals Against
Rögle1.8
Vaxjo2.1
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Rögle+0.6
Vaxjo+0.4

Rögle vs Vaxjo - Match Analysis

Should I take Rögle on the -1.5 puck line?

Yes, Rögle -1.5 offers excellent value based on recent head-to-head results. They've won 4 of 6 recent meetings against Vaxjo, with three home victories by 2+ goals (5-3, 4-2, 5-2). Their home scoring average of 2.8 goals per game against Vaxjo's away defensive struggles (2.21 conceded) creates a favorable matchup for the spread.

Will this game go over or under 5.5 goals?

The under 5.5 goals appears likely given the combined goals signal of just 0.08 and both teams' defensive approach in crucial matchups. Recent meetings have averaged moderate scoring, and both teams prioritize defensive structure when playoff positioning is at stake. The tactical importance of this game suggests a tighter, lower-scoring affair than their season averages might indicate.

How does the rest advantage affect this matchup?

Both teams benefit from extended rest (Rögle 7 days, Vaxjo 10 days), ensuring peak physical condition. However, the upcoming fixture congestion with 3 games in 7 days for both teams could influence tactical decisions and squad rotation. The fresh legs should produce quality hockey, but coaches may manage minutes carefully given the demanding schedule ahead.

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