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Rögle
Rögle4th in SHL (25-14)
VS
Farjestad
Farjestad5th in SHL (21-20)

Rögle vs Farjestad

Wednesday, Apr 1, 2026 · --:--

Rögle Arena

Final
Rögle
7–2
Farjestad

Rögle won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Rögle vs Farjestad prediction centers on a fascinating SHL clash between two playoff-bound teams with contrasting recent form. Rögle sits 4th with 93 points, showcasing superior home form (2.61 goals per game at Rögle Arena), while 5th-placed Farjestad (80 points) has struggled on the road this season. Both teams enter with identical rest situations - two days off following their latest encounter where Rögle won 2-1 away. The head-to-head record heavily favors Rögle, winning 5 of their last 8 meetings including three straight victories. With both teams averaging low combined goals (0.08 per game in prediction signals), this NHL picks scenario suggests a tight, defensive battle. Rögle's home ice advantage at their arena, combined with Farjestad's poor away scoring (1.82 goals per game), makes the hosts attractive on the puck line. Expert picks lean toward Rögle covering -1.5 given their recent dominance in this matchup and superior home form, while the under looks appealing with hockey betting tips pointing to defensive structures from both playoff-contending sides.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Rögle (5)Farjestad (4)
Mar 30, 26
(H)Farjestad1 - 2Rögle(A)
A
Mar 28, 26
(H)Farjestad2 - 0Rögle(A)
H
Mar 26, 26
(H)Rögle5 - 6Farjestad(A)
A
Mar 24, 26
(H)Rögle1 - 2Farjestad(A)
A
Mar 7, 26
(H)Rögle0 - 0Farjestad(A)
A
Dec 20, 25
(H)Farjestad1 - 2Rögle(A)
A
Nov 13, 25
(H)Rögle5 - 1Farjestad(A)
H
Sep 13, 25
(H)Farjestad2 - 3Rögle(A)
A
Aug 15, 25
(H)Rögle0 - 1Farjestad(A)
A
Feb 15, 25
(H)Rögle4 - 1Farjestad(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Rögle dominates this recent rivalry, winning 5 of the last 8 meetings including their most recent 2-1 victory just two...

Rögle dominates this recent rivalry, winning 5 of the last 8 meetings including their most recent 2-1 victory just two days ago. The teams have split their last four encounters 2-2, but Rögle holds a decisive edge at home, winning both meetings at Rögle Arena this season (5-1 and 2-1). Goals have been at a premium in recent matchups, with only one game exceeding 5 total goals. Farjestad managed just one goal in their last two visits to Rögle Arena, highlighting their struggles away from home against this opponent.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Rögle

15 of 15 in SHL

W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

1.3/10

Rögle Form Analysis

Trending

Rögle enters as the higher-seeded team (4th, 93 points) with strong home form that averages...

Rögle enters as the higher-seeded team (4th, 93 points) with strong home form that averages 2.61 goals scored and 1.89 conceded at Rögle Arena. Their 13-10 home record reflects solid but not dominant play, yet they've been particularly effective against Farjestad recently. The team shows balanced scoring with 2.3 goals per game overall and tight defensive structure allowing just 1.84 goals against. With two days rest following their road victory over Farjestad, they're well-positioned physically. Their recent form includes wins in 3 of their last 5 games, demonstrating consistency as they prepare for playoff positioning. The home ice advantage at Rögle Arena has been crucial, providing the last line change benefit.

Farjestad

15 of 15 in SHL

L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2/10

Farjestad Form Analysis

Analysis

Farjestad sits 5th with 80 points but faces significant road challenges, managing just 1.82 goals...

Farjestad sits 5th with 80 points but faces significant road challenges, managing just 1.82 goals per game away from home compared to 2.43 at their venue. Their 10-11 away record exposes vulnerabilities that Rögle has exploited effectively. The team's overall defensive metrics (1.98 goals against) are respectable, but their offensive struggles on the road create puck line concerns. Following the same two-day rest as Rögle, fatigue shouldn't be a factor, but their recent head-to-head struggles persist. Farjestad has won just 2 of their last 8 meetings with Rögle and failed to score more than 2 goals in any of their last 4 visits to Rögle Arena. Their away form suggests difficulty generating sustained offensive pressure.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Rögle26-2056.5%
Farjestad23-2251.1%
Goals For
Rögle2.3
Farjestad2.1
Goals Against
Rögle1.8
Farjestad2.0
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Rögle+0.5
Farjestad+0.1

Rögle vs Farjestad - Match Analysis

Should I take Rögle on the -1.5 puck line?

Yes, Rögle -1.5 offers strong value given their recent dominance at home against Farjestad. They've won 5-1 and 2-1 in their last two home meetings, demonstrating ability to cover the spread. Farjestad's poor road offense (1.82 goals per game) struggles against Rögle's home structure, making multi-goal victories likely for the hosts.

Will this game go over or under 5.5 goals?

The under 5.5 goals is the stronger play based on recent head-to-head trends and both teams' defensive focus. Their last 8 meetings averaged just 3.8 goals per game, with only one exceeding 6 goals. Both teams prioritize defensive structure in playoff positioning, and Farjestad's road offensive struggles support lower-scoring expectations in this crucial SHL matchup.

How does the two-day rest affect this matchup?

The identical two-day rest neutralizes any fatigue advantage, making home ice and recent form the decisive factors. Both teams are well-rested following their March 30th meeting, eliminating schedule-based edges. This puts greater emphasis on Rögle's home venue advantage and their recent head-to-head success, as neither team can claim a rest-based edge in this playoff-positioning battle.

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