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Orebro
Orebro11th in SHL (12-18)
VS
Vaxjo
Vaxjo4th in SHL (17-11)

Orebro vs Vaxjo

Thursday, Jan 22, 2026 · --:--

Orebro Arena

Final
Orebro
0–1
Vaxjo

Vaxjo won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Orebro vs Vaxjo prediction highlights a fascinating clash between two teams heading in opposite directions. Orebro sits 11th with 44 points from 36 games, desperately fighting to avoid relegation territory, while Vaxjo occupies 4th place with 61 points from 35 games, firmly in playoff contention. Both teams enter with identical seven-day rest periods, eliminating any fatigue advantages. Orebro's home form has been their saving grace this season, posting a solid 52.6% win rate at Orebro Arena compared to their dismal 23.5% road record. The hosts have shown resilience in recent weeks, securing crucial victories against quality opposition including a thrilling 4-3 shootout win over Vaxjo in their last meeting. However, Vaxjo's superior overall quality and playoff positioning make them favorites. The visitors average 3.0 goals per game overall but struggle more on the road (2.78 GPG). This matchup promises goals, with both teams combining for over 6.5 goals in their recent encounters. Our NHL picks favor the visitors on quality, but Orebro's home advantage and desperation factor create excellent value opportunities. Expert picks suggest backing the home underdog on the puck line while targeting the over on total goals given both teams' offensive capabilities.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Orebro (4)Vaxjo (6)
Nov 22, 25
(H)Orebro4 - 3Vaxjo(A)
H
Sep 25, 25
(H)Vaxjo4 - 1Orebro(A)
H
Mar 17, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 0Orebro(A)
H
Mar 15, 25
(H)Vaxjo1 - 4Orebro(A)
A
Mar 13, 25
(H)Orebro3 - 4Vaxjo(A)
A
Mar 1, 25
(H)Vaxjo2 - 1Orebro(A)
H
Dec 30, 24
(H)Orebro3 - 2Vaxjo(A)
H
Dec 19, 24
(H)Vaxjo4 - 3Orebro(A)
H
Oct 24, 24
(H)Orebro2 - 1Vaxjo(A)
H
Mar 2, 24
(H)Orebro1 - 2Vaxjo(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favor the home venue, with four of the last five encounters won by the host team....

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favor the home venue, with four of the last five encounters won by the host team. Orebro claimed a dramatic 4-3 shootout victory in November's meeting at home, while Vaxjo dominated 4-1 when hosting in September. The matchup consistently produces high-scoring affairs, with eight of the last ten meetings featuring 5+ total goals. Orebro has shown particular resilience at home against Vaxjo, winning three of their last five meetings at Orebro Arena. The goal-scoring trends suggest both teams find the net regularly in this fixture, making totals betting particularly attractive.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Orebro

15 of 15 in SHL

L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Orebro Form Analysis

Trending

Orebro enters this crucial fixture with mixed recent form but showing signs of life when...

Orebro enters this crucial fixture with mixed recent form but showing signs of life when it matters most. The hosts have managed 2 wins in their last 5 games, including impressive victories over playoff-contending teams. Their home record of 10-9 (52.6% win rate) represents a stark contrast to their woeful road form, highlighting the importance of Orebro Arena advantage. With seven days of rest, the team should be physically fresh and mentally prepared for this relegation battle. Orebro averages 2.89 goals per game at home while conceding 2.84, suggesting a balanced but vulnerable defensive setup. Their recent 4-2 victory over Malmo demonstrated their ability to rise to the occasion against quality opposition, particularly when playing in front of their home crowd.

Vaxjo

15 of 15 in SHL

W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Vaxjo Form Analysis

Analysis

Vaxjo arrives in excellent form with 2 wins in their last 5 outings, including a...

Vaxjo arrives in excellent form with 2 wins in their last 5 outings, including a commanding 4-1 victory over Djurgarden in their most recent fixture. The visitors' road record of 8-10 (44.4% win rate) shows vulnerability away from home, averaging 2.78 goals scored and 3.06 conceded per road game. However, their overall season statistics paint a picture of a well-balanced playoff contender. With seven days of rest matching their opponents, fatigue won't be a factor in this encounter. Vaxjo's recent struggles include a heavy 6-3 defeat to league leaders Skelleftea, but they've shown character by bouncing back with quality performances. Their away form suggests they can be vulnerable to motivated home teams, particularly in hostile environments like Orebro Arena.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Orebro14-2238.9%
Vaxjo20-1557.1%
Goals For
Orebro2.8
Vaxjo3.0
Goals Against
Orebro3.1
Vaxjo2.7
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Orebro-0.4
Vaxjo+0.3

Orebro vs Vaxjo - Match Analysis

Should I take Orebro on the +1.5 puck line?

Absolutely. Orebro's strong home record (52.6% win rate) combined with Vaxjo's road struggles (44.4% win rate) makes the +1.5 puck line excellent value. The hosts have won three of their last five home meetings against Vaxjo, including a recent shootout victory. Even if Vaxjo wins, Orebro's desperation and home advantage suggest they'll keep it close. The puck line covers both an outright win and a narrow one-goal defeat.

Will this game go over 6.5 goals?

Strong likelihood for the over. Recent head-to-head meetings have consistently produced high-scoring affairs, with eight of the last ten featuring 5+ goals. Orebro averages 2.89 goals at home while Vaxjo allows 3.06 per road game. Both teams enter well-rested, eliminating fatigue factors that typically reduce scoring. The combination of Orebro's attacking home style and Vaxjo's road defensive vulnerabilities points toward another goal-fest at Orebro Arena.

How important is home ice advantage in this matchup?

Crucial for this specific fixture. Home teams have won four of the last five meetings between these sides, demonstrating the venue's significant impact. Orebro's home record (52.6%) vastly outperforms their road form (23.5%), while Vaxjo struggles more away from home. The crowd factor becomes amplified in relegation battles, where every point matters. Orebro Arena has proven to be a fortress against quality opposition this season, making home ice advantage a key betting consideration.

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