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Malmö Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Malmo
66%
#Confidence
No odds data available for this match.
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Malmo vs HV 71 prediction: Malmo sit fifth in the SHL on 17 points, while HV 71 are 13th with 10 and sliding toward the Play Out zone. The Red Hawks arrive at Malmö Arena rested, with a full week since their 2-1 loss to Timrå, and that rest edge matters in a compressed fixture run.
Malmo's record of 5 wins in 11 games includes a 6-0 rout of Örebro and a 4-2 win at Björklöven, though they also dropped a 6-2 decision at Färjestad. Their home form is modest, with 2 wins in 4 games but only 1.0 goals conceded per home game. HV 71 have just 3 wins in 11 games and are winless in 6 road matches, conceding 4.17 goals per away game. They have lost 4 of their last 5, scoring only 1.4 goals per game in that stretch.
The head-to-head favors Malmo, who have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including the 5-4 opener this season. Neither goaltending nor a confirmed lineup is in the supplied data, so this pick leans on standings, rest and the road-form gap. Our NHL-style puck line read: Malmo moneyline is the cleaner play, with the puck line a shade riskier since many of these meetings finish by a single goal.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
Low
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Malmo hold a clear edge in recent head-to-head meetings, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters since late 2024. Their...
Malmo hold a clear edge in recent head-to-head meetings, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters since late 2024. Their most recent SHL clash this season ended 5-4 in Malmo's favor on September 19, though HV 71 took a friendly 3-2 on September 5. Margins are tight: seven of the ten meetings were decided by two goals or fewer, and the last four SHL games produced scorelines of 5-4, 3-2, 3-2 and 4-1, pointing to moderately high totals.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted
11 of 15 in SHL
Form Rating
4/10
Malmo are 5-6 overall and fifth in the table with 17 points and a +3...
Malmo are 5-6 overall and fifth in the table with 17 points and a +3 goal difference. Recent form is mixed, with 2 wins in the last 5 games: a 1-2 home loss to Timrå, a 4-2 win at Björklöven, a 2-3 defeat at Djurgården, a 6-0 home rout of Örebro and a 2-6 loss at Färjestad. At home they've been strong defensively, allowing just 1.0 goals per game across 4 games, but they've scored only 2.25. Seven days of rest gives them fresh legs, though their schedule gets busy with three games in the coming week.
11 of 15 in SHL
Form Rating
3.3/10
HV 71 are 3-8 and 13th with 10 points and a -10 goal difference, currently...
HV 71 are 3-8 and 13th with 10 points and a -10 goal difference, currently sitting in the SHL Play Out spot. They've lost 4 of their last 5, including defeats to Linköping, Luleå and Timrå, with the lone win a 3-2 home result over Brynäs. The road is the real problem: 0 wins in 6 away games, scoring 2.33 and conceding 4.17 per game. Ten days of rest should help, but a defense leaking over three goals a night on the road is a major concern heading to Malmö.
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Malmo vs HV 71 - Match Analysis
It's a moderate-risk play. Malmo have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, but seven of those ten were decided by two goals or fewer, so a one-goal win is a very live outcome. HV 71 concede 4.17 goals per road game, which supports a margin, yet Malmo's own inconsistency suggests the +1.5 line is the safer way to back them.
The lean is Over. HV 71 allow 4.17 goals per away game and Malmo average 3.14 scored on the road, while the last four SHL meetings finished 5-4, 3-2, 3-2 and 4-1. Malmo's home defense is tighter at 1.0 conceded per game, though, and no goaltender data was supplied, so treat it as a moderate lean rather than a lock.
It's possible but unlikely. HV 71 are winless in 6 road games and have lost 4 of their last 5 overall. Their best path is the series history of tight scorelines, including their friendly win on September 5 and a 4-5 narrow loss on September 19. They have ten days of rest, but their defensive record away from home makes an upset a long shot.
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