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Luleå
Luleå6th in SHL (19-18)
VS
Timrå
Timrå10th in SHL (16-20)

Luleå vs Timrå

Thursday, Feb 26, 2026 · --:--

Luleå Arena

Final
Luleå
7–3
Timrå

Luleå won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Luleå vs Timrå prediction centers on a compelling SHL matchup between two teams with contrasting fortunes. Luleå sits 6th with 68 points, holding the final playoff spot, while Timrå occupies 10th with 60 points, desperately needing points to secure their playoff position. Both teams enter with identical seven-day rest periods, eliminating any fatigue advantages. Luleå's home dominance is evident with a 57.1% win rate and 3.14 goals per game at Luleå Arena, compared to their modest 47.8% road record. Timrå's away struggles are pronounced, managing just 27.3% wins on the road while averaging 3.55 goals against. Recent form favors the hosts, with Luleå winning 3 of their last 5 games including impressive home victories over Frölunda (7-3) and Malmö (5-3). Our NHL picks analysis suggests strong value in backing the home side, while hockey betting tips point toward a higher-scoring affair given both teams' offensive capabilities and Timrå's defensive vulnerabilities away from home.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Luleå (6)Timrå (4)
Dec 28, 25
(H)Luleå5 - 1Timrå(A)
H
Nov 29, 25
(H)Timrå3 - 2Luleå(A)
H
Oct 4, 25
(H)Timrå2 - 1Luleå(A)
H
Aug 21, 25
(H)Luleå5 - 3Timrå(A)
H
Feb 1, 25
(H)Timrå2 - 5Luleå(A)
A
Jan 25, 25
(H)Luleå3 - 2Timrå(A)
H
Dec 7, 24
(H)Timrå4 - 1Luleå(A)
H
Sep 21, 24
(H)Luleå2 - 0Timrå(A)
H
Sep 6, 24
(H)Timrå3 - 2Luleå(A)
H
Mar 9, 24
(H)Timrå2 - 3Luleå(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Head-to-head records strongly favor Luleå, who have dominated this matchup with 6 wins in their last 8 meetings since 2024....

Head-to-head records strongly favor Luleå, who have dominated this matchup with 6 wins in their last 8 meetings since 2024. The most recent encounter saw Luleå demolish Timrå 5-1 at home in December 2025, continuing their home dominance in this fixture. Timrå's lone recent success came with a 3-2 home victory in November 2025, but they've struggled badly when visiting Luleå Arena. The goal-scoring trends show high-scoring affairs, with 7 of the last 8 meetings producing at least 4 total goals, including several games exceeding 6 goals.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Luleå

13 of 15 in SHL

L
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Luleå Form Analysis

Trending

Luleå enters this contest in solid form, having won 3 of their last 5 SHL...

Luleå enters this contest in solid form, having won 3 of their last 5 SHL matches with notable home victories. Their recent 7-3 demolition of league-leading Frölunda showcased their offensive firepower, while a 5-3 win over Malmö demonstrated consistency. The seven-day rest period has allowed key players to recover from their previous 2-1 loss to Växjö. At Luleå Arena, they've been formidable with 12 wins in 21 home games, averaging 3.14 goals scored while conceding just 2.43 per game. Their home ice advantage has been crucial in their playoff push, with the crowd and familiar surroundings providing significant momentum. The team's offensive depth has been evident in recent high-scoring home victories.

Timrå

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Timrå Form Analysis

Analysis

Timrå arrives with mixed recent form, showing flashes of brilliance alongside concerning defensive lapses. Their...

Timrå arrives with mixed recent form, showing flashes of brilliance alongside concerning defensive lapses. Their 5-2 victory over Malmö and impressive 8-2 demolition of Färjestad demonstrate their offensive potential when clicking. However, road form remains problematic with just 6 wins in 22 away games this season. The seven-day rest should help, but their away defensive record of 3.55 goals against per game is alarming. Recent away performances include heavy defeats to Skellefteå (7-4) and Rögle (3-1), highlighting their struggles when traveling. Sitting 10th with 60 points, every game is crucial for their playoff hopes, but their 27.3% away win rate suggests significant challenges ahead at Luleå Arena.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Luleå23-2152.3%
Timrå20-2445.5%
Goals For
Luleå2.8
Timrå2.5
Goals Against
Luleå2.5
Timrå2.7
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Luleå+0.2
Timrå-0.2

Luleå vs Timrå - Match Analysis

Should I take Luleå on the -1.5 puck line?

Yes, Luleå -1.5 offers excellent value given their home dominance and Timrå's away struggles. Luleå has won 57.1% of home games while averaging 3.14 goals, compared to Timrå's 27.3% away record and 3.55 goals against average. Recent head-to-head meetings show Luleå winning decisively at home, including a 5-1 victory in their last meeting. The seven-day rest eliminates fatigue concerns, making the home favorite's puck line the strongest play.

Will this game go over 5.5 goals?

The Over 5.5 goals appears likely based on both teams' recent scoring trends and head-to-head history. Luleå averages 3.14 goals at home while Timrå's away defense allows 3.55 per game, suggesting a combined total well above 5.5. Seven of their last eight meetings have produced at least 4 goals, with several exceeding 6. Both teams possess offensive firepower, and Timrå's defensive vulnerabilities on the road should create multiple scoring opportunities for the hosts.

How important is home ice advantage in this matchup?

Home ice advantage is crucial for Luleå, who have transformed into a different team at Luleå Arena. Their home record (57.1% wins, 3.14 GPG) contrasts sharply with their road struggles (47.8% wins, 2.39 GPG). The crowd support, last line change, and familiar surroundings have been decisive factors. Timrå's away record (27.3% wins) shows they struggle significantly when traveling, making Luleå's home fortress a major advantage in this playoff-crucial encounter.

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