Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Luleå58%
- Draw0%
- Frölunda42%
Analysis
The puck line analysis favors Luleå based on their strong home ice advantage and Frölunda's recent inconsistent form. While Frölunda boasts superior overall statistics, their recent struggles in tight games and Luleå's solid home record create value for the hosts. The rest advantage is neutral with both teams having 7 days off, eliminating schedule-related factors. Luleå's home scoring average of 2.84 goals combined with their defensive improvement at home makes them capable of controlling this matchup. Frölunda's road excellence is noted, but their recent defensive lapses and tendency to lose close games suggest vulnerability in this spot.


