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HV 71
HV 7113th in SHL (15-27)
VS
Leksand
Leksand14th in SHL (16-27)

HV 71 vs Leksand

Wednesday, Mar 18, 2026 · --:--

HV 71 Arena

Final
HV 71
2–1
Leksand

HV 71 won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The HV 71 vs Leksand prediction centers on a crucial SHL relegation battle at HV 71 Arena. Both teams sit in the bottom two positions with identical 59 points, making this a must-win encounter for playoff positioning. HV 71 holds a slight edge with better home form (11-15 vs Leksand's 6-20 away record) and recent momentum from three wins in their last five games. Leksand has shown resilience with three victories in five matches but struggles significantly on the road. The head-to-head record favors Leksand with four wins in their last six meetings, including a recent 4-3 victory. Both teams benefit from four days' rest, eliminating fatigue concerns. With combined goals averaging just 5.7 per game and strong defensive play expected in this high-stakes matchup, expert picks suggest a low-scoring affair. NHL picks favor the home advantage in this tight contest, with HV 71's superior home record providing the decisive factor in what should be a closely contested relegation six-pointer.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

HV 71 (4)Leksand (6)
Mar 7, 26
(H)Leksand4 - 3HV 71(A)
H
Jan 3, 26
(H)Leksand5 - 4HV 71(A)
H
Nov 15, 25
(H)HV 715 - 0Leksand(A)
H
Sep 30, 25
(H)HV 712 - 1Leksand(A)
H
Feb 1, 25
(H)HV 711 - 3Leksand(A)
A
Jan 30, 25
(H)Leksand3 - 2HV 71(A)
H
Oct 31, 24
(H)HV 715 - 4Leksand(A)
H
Oct 17, 24
(H)Leksand2 - 5HV 71(A)
A
Mar 9, 24
(H)HV 711 - 2Leksand(A)
A
Jan 20, 24
(H)Leksand3 - 2HV 71(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Leksand dominates the recent head-to-head record with four wins in six meetings since 2024, including their most recent 4-3 victory...

Leksand dominates the recent head-to-head record with four wins in six meetings since 2024, including their most recent 4-3 victory at home in March. The matchups consistently produce entertaining hockey with an average of 6.8 goals per game. HV 71's lone recent success came via a commanding 5-0 home victory in November 2025. Away form has been Leksand's weakness in this rivalry, managing just two wins in four road trips to HV 71 Arena over the past two seasons.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

HV 71

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

HV 71 Form Analysis

Trending

HV 71 enters with improved momentum, collecting three wins in their last five outings including...

HV 71 enters with improved momentum, collecting three wins in their last five outings including impressive victories over Vaxjo (3-0) and Brynas (4-3 OT). Their home record of 11-15 significantly outperforms their dismal 8-18 away form, suggesting the familiar surroundings of HV 71 Arena provide crucial comfort. The team averages 2.58 goals scored and 2.88 conceded at home, indicating tighter defensive structure on home ice. With four days' rest since their last match, fatigue won't be a factor. Their recent form shows resilience in high-pressure situations, particularly evident in their overtime victory against Brynas and the shutout win over playoff-chasing Vaxjo.

Leksand

15 of 15 in SHL

L
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Leksand Form Analysis

Analysis

Leksand's away form remains deeply concerning with just six wins in 26 road games, averaging...

Leksand's away form remains deeply concerning with just six wins in 26 road games, averaging only 1.81 goals scored while conceding 3.46 per match. However, they've shown character with three wins in five recent games, including victories over Frolunda (4-2) and Lulea (3-1). Their road struggles are highlighted by recent heavy defeats at Rogle (6-2) and Malmo (7-2). The team benefits from four days' rest, matching HV 71's preparation time. Despite their poor away record, Leksand has demonstrated they can compete against quality opposition when motivated, particularly in must-win scenarios like this relegation battle.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
HV 7119-3336.5%
Leksand18-3434.6%
Goals For
HV 712.6
Leksand2.1
Goals Against
HV 713.3
Leksand3.1
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
HV 71-0.7
Leksand-0.9

HV 71 vs Leksand - Match Analysis

Should I take HV 71 on the +1.5 puck line?

Absolutely. HV 71's +1.5 puck line offers excellent value given their superior home form (11-15) compared to Leksand's dismal away record (6-20). Even if they lose, Leksand's road scoring average of just 1.81 goals makes a multi-goal victory unlikely. This relegation battle will be tight, making the +1.5 cushion very attractive for the home side.

Will this game go over or under 5.5 goals?

Under 5.5 goals is the smart play. Both teams average just 5.7 combined goals per game, and relegation battles typically feature cautious, defensive hockey. Leksand's poor road scoring (1.81 goals per game away) and HV 71's improved home defensive structure (2.88 goals conceded) point to a low-scoring affair where both teams prioritize avoiding defeat over attacking play.

How important is home ice advantage in this relegation battle?

Home ice is crucial for HV 71. Their home record (11-15) vastly outperforms their away form (8-18), while Leksand struggles significantly on the road (6-20). The familiar surroundings, crowd support, and last line change advantage become amplified in high-pressure relegation scenarios. HV 71's recent home victories over quality opposition like Vaxjo demonstrate their Arena provides genuine comfort in must-win situations.

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