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Farjestad Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Farjestad
80%
#Confidence
No odds data available for this match.
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Farjestad vs Vaxjo prediction centers on one of the widest form gaps in the SHL table, with the league-leading hosts (9-1, 24 points) hosting a struggling Vaxjo side sitting 11th with just nine points from nine outings.
Neither team enters this one fatigued. Farjestad have had seven days since their last outing and Vaxjo eight, both logged as low fatigue risk with no back-to-back concerns heading into this fixture, so neither side has a built-in schedule excuse.
Farjestad have been nearly flawless, scoring four goals per game while conceding just over one, a +2.9 goal differential that ranks among the best in the league. Vaxjo, by contrast, are shipping 3.56 goals per game on the road and have lost six of nine, including three of their last four outings heading into this trip.
Given the gulf in current form, goal differential, and league positioning, Farjestad should control play from the opening puck drop with last change at home adding to their edge. The pick here leans toward Farjestad -1.5 on the puck line, with the total trending Over 5.5 goals given Farjestad's attacking volume and Vaxjo's leaky defense on the road.
High
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Unfavorable
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Over the last two seasons, Vaxjo have surprisingly dominated this head-to-head, winning five of the last six meetings including four...
Over the last two seasons, Vaxjo have surprisingly dominated this head-to-head, winning five of the last six meetings including four straight road wins at Farjestad Arena, with the only other result a scoreless draw in February 2026. However, those results came against a different version of Farjestad; this season's table-topping squad bears little resemblance to the team that struggled in those encounters, making recent form a more reliable guide than this historical series.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted
10 of 15 in SHL
Form Rating
7.3/10
Farjestad have been the SHL's standout team, winning nine of their first ten games and...
Farjestad have been the SHL's standout team, winning nine of their first ten games and sitting atop the table with 24 points from a possible 27. Their recent stretch includes a 4-2 win over Linkoping, a 6-2 demolition of Malmo, and a 7-0 rout of Orebro, showcasing a potent 4.0 goals-per-game attack. Defensively they're nearly airtight, conceding just 1.1 per game. With seven days of rest and no fatigue concerns, Farjestad arrive fresh and in red-hot form, and their home record this season (5-0, outscoring opponents 20-5) underlines a significant home-ice edge in this matchup.
9 of 15 in SHL
Form Rating
4/10
Vaxjo have struggled to find consistency, sitting 11th with a 3-6 record and a negative...
Vaxjo have struggled to find consistency, sitting 11th with a 3-6 record and a negative goal differential of -0.67 per game. Their recent SHL form shows three losses in their last four, including a 2-1 defeat to Skelleftea and a 4-2 loss to Orebro, with their defense allowing 3.56 goals per game on the road. With eight days of rest, fatigue isn't a factor, but their away form (0-4 this season, conceding 4.25 per game) is a major concern heading into a hostile environment against the league's top team.
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Farjestad vs Vaxjo - Match Analysis
Yes, Farjestad -1.5 carries solid value given their +2.9 goal differential and perfect 5-0 home record this season, where they've outscored opponents 20-5. Vaxjo's defense has been porous on the road, conceding 4.25 goals per game away from home. While no bet is guaranteed, the scoring gap between these teams makes a multi-goal Farjestad win a realistic outcome, giving this puck line moderate-to-strong confidence.
The total leans Over 5.5 goals. Farjestad are scoring four goals per game while Vaxjo are conceding 3.56 on average, and Vaxjo's own attack still finds the net nearly three times a night. With both goaltending units showing some vulnerability this season and neither team fatigued, scoring chances should be plentiful, supporting the over under prediction for this fixture.
Home ice plays a meaningful role here. Farjestad are unbeaten at home this season (5-0, 20 goals for, five against) and benefit from last change advantage against a Vaxjo side that has lost all four of its road games, conceding over four goals per contest away from home. Combined with Farjestad's league-best form, the home environment significantly amplifies an already strong favorite's edge.
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