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Farjestad
Farjestad9th in SHL (16-20)
VS
Vaxjo
Vaxjo3rd in SHL (23-13)

Farjestad vs Vaxjo

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 · --:--

Farjestad Arena

Final
Farjestad
7–1
Vaxjo

Farjestad won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Farjestad vs Vaxjo prediction highlights a fascinating clash between two teams heading in opposite directions. Vaxjo sits third in the SHL standings with 83 points, boasting an impressive 69.6% home win rate and strong away form at 54.5%. Meanwhile, Farjestad occupies ninth place with 62 points, struggling particularly on the road with just 39.1% away wins. Both teams enjoy excellent rest advantage with 6-7 days since their last games, eliminating fatigue concerns. Vaxjo enters on a four-game winning streak, including victories over quality opponents like Frolunda and Malmo. Their balanced attack averages 2.9 goals per game while maintaining solid defensive structure. Farjestad shows inconsistent form with just two wins in their last five games, though they've demonstrated offensive capability at home with 2.95 goals per game. The head-to-head record strongly favors Vaxjo, winning seven of the last ten meetings including both encounters this season. Expert picks suggest Vaxjo's superior league position, recent momentum, and historical dominance make them the logical NHL picks for this matchup, despite playing away from home.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

Low

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Farjestad21-2446.7%
Vaxjo28-1762.2%
Goals For
Farjestad2.6
Vaxjo2.9
Goals Against
Farjestad2.6
Vaxjo2.5
Goal Differential
Farjestad-0.1
Vaxjo+0.4

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Farjestad vs Vaxjo - Match Analysis

Should I take Vaxjo on the +1.5 puck line?

Absolutely. Vaxjo's +1.5 puck line offers excellent value given their superior form and head-to-head dominance. They've won seven of ten recent meetings against Farjestad, including both encounters this season. Their strong away record (54.5% wins) and current four-game winning streak provide confidence they'll be competitive. Even if they lose, the +1.5 coverage protects against one-goal defeats, making this a smart hockey betting tip.

Will this game go over or under 5.5 goals?

The over under prediction leans toward Over 5.5 goals based on recent trends. Head-to-head meetings have averaged 7.2 goals over their last five encounters, with both teams showing offensive capability. Farjestad averages 2.95 goals at home while Vaxjo scores 2.77 on the road. Both teams are well-rested, eliminating fatigue factors that typically reduce scoring. The playoff implications may create an open, attacking game style.

How does the rest advantage affect this matchup?

Both teams enjoy excellent rest with 6-7 days since their last games, creating equal conditions and eliminating schedule-based advantages. This well-rested scenario typically leads to higher-tempo hockey with better execution. Neither team faces back-to-back fatigue, meaning goaltending performance should be at peak levels. The equal rest situation shifts focus to form, talent, and tactical matchups, where Vaxjo holds clear advantages in current momentum and head-to-head success.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Farjestad (3)Vaxjo (7)
Jan 8, 26
(H)Vaxjo4 - 3Farjestad(A)
H
Nov 29, 25
(H)Vaxjo4 - 3Farjestad(A)
H
Sep 27, 25
(H)Farjestad2 - 4Vaxjo(A)
A
Feb 13, 25
(H)Farjestad3 - 6Vaxjo(A)
A
Jan 28, 25
(H)Vaxjo3 - 2Farjestad(A)
H
Nov 26, 24
(H)Farjestad4 - 0Vaxjo(A)
H
Sep 24, 24
(H)Vaxjo2 - 5Farjestad(A)
A
Feb 22, 24
(H)Vaxjo3 - 4Farjestad(A)
A
Jan 11, 24
(H)Farjestad1 - 5Vaxjo(A)
A
Dec 7, 23
(H)Vaxjo4 - 2Farjestad(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Vaxjo dominates this head-to-head matchup with seven wins in their last ten meetings against Farjestad. Most significantly, Vaxjo swept both...

Vaxjo dominates this head-to-head matchup with seven wins in their last ten meetings against Farjestad. Most significantly, Vaxjo swept both encounters this season, winning 4-3 in overtime at home in January and 4-3 at Farjestad in November. The recent meetings have been high-scoring affairs, averaging 7.2 goals per game over the last five encounters. Vaxjo has shown particular strength in away games against Farjestad, winning three of their last four visits. The goal differential in recent matchups slightly favors Vaxjo, who have outscored Farjestad 37-32 in their last ten meetings.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Farjestad

15 of 15 in SHL

L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

Farjestad Form Analysis

Trending

Farjestad enters this matchup in inconsistent form with just two wins in their last five...

Farjestad enters this matchup in inconsistent form with just two wins in their last five games, including heavy defeats to Skelleftea (6-2) and Timra (8-2). Their home record provides some optimism at 54.5% wins, averaging 2.95 goals per game at Farjestad Arena. However, recent home performances have been mixed, with impressive victories over Frolunda (3-2) and Brynas (7-0) offset by disappointing losses. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 2.78 goals per game on the road, though they're more solid at home (2.45 GAA). With excellent rest advantage of six days since their last game, fatigue won't be a factor. Their upcoming fixture congestion includes back-to-back games, making this well-rested performance crucial for building momentum in their playoff push from ninth place.

Vaxjo

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Vaxjo Form Analysis

Analysis

Vaxjo arrives in excellent form with four consecutive wins, including quality victories over Malmo (4-3)...

Vaxjo arrives in excellent form with four consecutive wins, including quality victories over Malmo (4-3) and Lulea (2-1) in their recent outings. Their third-place league position reflects consistent performance throughout the season, particularly impressive away form with 54.5% wins on the road. The team averages 2.77 goals per game away from home while maintaining defensive discipline with identical goals against. Recent away performances have been outstanding, including victories at Frolunda and Rogle, demonstrating their ability to win in hostile environments. With seven days rest since their last game, Vaxjo will be physically fresh for this crucial matchup. Their balanced attack and solid goaltending have been key factors in their success, making them one of the SHL's most consistent performers this season.

info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.