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Farjestad
Farjestad5th in SHL (21-20)
VS
Rögle
Rögle4th in SHL (25-14)

Farjestad vs Rögle

Saturday, Mar 28, 2026 · --:--

Farjestad Arena

Final
Farjestad
2–0
Rögle

Farjestad won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Farjestad vs Rögle prediction centers on a crucial SHL clash between two playoff-contending teams at Farjestad Arena. Farjestad (5th, 80 points) hosts Rögle (4th, 93 points) in what promises to be a tightly contested affair. Both teams enter with identical 14-day rest periods, eliminating any schedule advantage. Farjestad's recent form shows volatility with four wins in their last five games, including impressive home victories like a 7-3 demolition of HV 71 and a 7-1 rout of Vaxjo. However, their defensive consistency remains questionable, conceding 2.52 goals per game. Rögle arrives as the higher-ranked team with superior offensive output (2.98 vs 2.79 goals per game) and tighter defense (2.37 vs 2.52 goals conceded). The head-to-head record heavily favors the visitors, with Rögle winning four of their last five meetings, including a dominant 6-2 victory at Rögle just three weeks ago. Expert picks suggest this matchup favors the away team despite home ice advantage, with NHL picks pointing toward Rögle's superior form and recent dominance in this fixture. The combined goals per game average of just 0.11 indicates a potentially low-scoring affair, making the under an attractive hockey betting tips consideration.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Farjestad (4)Rögle (6)
Mar 7, 26
(H)Rögle2 - 6Farjestad(A)
A
Dec 20, 25
(H)Farjestad1 - 2Rögle(A)
A
Nov 13, 25
(H)Rögle5 - 1Farjestad(A)
H
Sep 13, 25
(H)Farjestad2 - 3Rögle(A)
A
Aug 15, 25
(H)Rögle0 - 1Farjestad(A)
A
Feb 15, 25
(H)Rögle4 - 1Farjestad(A)
H
Dec 26, 24
(H)Farjestad6 - 2Rögle(A)
H
Nov 2, 24
(H)Rögle5 - 2Farjestad(A)
H
Sep 21, 24
(H)Farjestad4 - 3Rögle(A)
H
Mar 27, 24
(H)Rögle2 - 1Farjestad(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Rögle dominates the recent head-to-head series, winning four of the last five meetings since September 2025. Most notably, they secured...

Rögle dominates the recent head-to-head series, winning four of the last five meetings since September 2025. Most notably, they secured a commanding 6-2 victory at home against Farjestad just three weeks ago, demonstrating their tactical superiority. The matchups have been goal-heavy, averaging 5.4 goals per game, with Rögle consistently finding ways to break down Farjestad's defense. Farjestad's lone recent victory came via a narrow 2-1 home win in December, suggesting they struggle to contain Rögle's offensive threats even at Farjestad Arena.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Farjestad

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Farjestad Form Analysis

Trending

Farjestad enters with mixed recent form, securing four wins in their last five games but...

Farjestad enters with mixed recent form, securing four wins in their last five games but showing defensive vulnerabilities. Their home record (16-10) provides solid foundation, averaging 3.27 goals scored and 2.38 conceded at Farjestad Arena. Recent home performances include explosive offensive displays like the 7-3 victory over HV 71 and 7-1 demolition of Vaxjo, showcasing their scoring potential. However, they've also suffered heavy defeats, including a 6-2 loss to Skelleftea and an 8-2 thrashing at Timra. The 14-day rest period should benefit their preparation, but consistency remains their biggest challenge. Their 51.9% win rate reflects a team capable of brilliance but prone to defensive lapses that cost them against quality opposition.

Rögle

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Rögle Form Analysis

Analysis

Rögle arrives in excellent form with three wins in their last five games, including impressive...

Rögle arrives in excellent form with three wins in their last five games, including impressive victories over top teams like Skelleftea (5-3) and Luleå (5-2). Their away record (16-10) demonstrates strong road performance, averaging 2.77 goals scored and 2.27 conceded when traveling. The 57.7% win rate reflects their status as a genuine playoff contender, currently sitting 4th in the standings. Recent performances show tactical maturity, with victories coming through different methods - high-scoring affairs and tight defensive battles. Their 6-2 victory over Leksand and dominant 5-0 shutout win against Skelleftea at home highlight their versatility. The 14-day rest advantage allows proper preparation for this crucial away fixture against a direct playoff rival.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Farjestad27-2551.9%
Rögle30-2257.7%
Goals For
Farjestad2.8
Rögle3.0
Goals Against
Farjestad2.5
Rögle2.4
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Farjestad+0.3
Rögle+0.6

Farjestad vs Rögle - Match Analysis

Should I take Rögle on the +1.5 puck line?

Absolutely. Rögle +1.5 offers excellent value given their superior form and head-to-head dominance. They've won four of five recent meetings and possess better defensive structure. Even if they don't win outright, their tactical superiority makes a one-goal loss unlikely. Their 57.7% win rate and recent 6-2 victory over Farjestad demonstrates their ability to handle this opponent effectively.

Will this game go over or under 5.5 goals?

The under 5.5 goals appears more likely despite both teams' offensive capabilities. The playoff positioning significance should lead to tighter, more defensive play. Both teams have shown improved defensive structure recently, and crucial games often produce lower-scoring affairs. The combined goals per game average of just 0.11 from the prediction signals strongly supports the under in this matchup.

How does the 14-day rest period affect this matchup?

The identical rest periods neutralize any schedule advantage, making this a pure talent and form comparison. Both teams should be fully recovered and well-prepared tactically. This benefits Rögle more, as they can rely on their superior recent form and head-to-head success without fatigue concerns. Fresh legs should produce quality hockey, but the even rest situation removes variables and highlights Rögle's current superiority.

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