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Djurgarden
Djurgarden10th in SHL (16-21)
VS
Leksand
Leksand14th in SHL (11-25)

Djurgarden vs Leksand

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 · --:--

Djurgarden Arena

Final
Djurgarden
2–5
Leksand

Leksand won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

This Djurgarden vs Leksand prediction features two teams battling at opposite ends of the SHL table. Djurgarden sits 10th with 61 points, clinging to the final playoff spot, while Leksand languishes in 14th place with just 43 points, facing potential relegation. Both teams enter with identical six-day rest advantages, eliminating schedule fatigue as a factor. Djurgarden's home ice advantage becomes crucial here, as they've managed an 11-10 record at Djurgarden Arena compared to Leksand's dismal 4-17 away form. The hosts average 2.52 goals per game at home while allowing 3.33, while Leksand struggles mightily on the road with just 1.67 goals per game and 3.43 against. Recent form shows Djurgarden with three wins in their last five games, including quality victories over playoff contenders. Leksand has managed just two wins in five games, though they did upset league-leading Skelleftea in overtime. Our NHL picks favor the home team on the puck line, as Djurgarden's playoff desperation and superior home record make them strong expert picks for a convincing victory.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 4 head-to-head matchups

Djurgarden (2)Leksand (2)
Dec 26, 25
(H)Djurgarden0 - 5Leksand(A)
A
Oct 25, 25
(H)Leksand1 - 3Djurgarden(A)
A
Oct 11, 25
(H)Leksand2 - 3Djurgarden(A)
A
Aug 14, 25
(H)Leksand2 - 1Djurgarden(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The head-to-head record heavily favors the visiting Leksand team, having won three of the last four meetings since October 2025....

The head-to-head record heavily favors the visiting Leksand team, having won three of the last four meetings since October 2025. Most notably, Leksand delivered a stunning 5-0 shutout victory at Djurgarden Arena in December 2025, their most dominant performance of the season. However, Djurgarden did claim a 3-1 road victory in October, showing they can compete with their rivals. The recent meetings have averaged 5.25 goals per game, suggesting an attacking style when these teams clash. Leksand's psychological edge from that December demolition could prove significant.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSHL matches highlighted

Djurgarden

15 of 15 in SHL

L
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

4/10

Djurgarden Form Analysis

Trending

Djurgarden enters this crucial matchup with three wins in their last five games, showing resilience...

Djurgarden enters this crucial matchup with three wins in their last five games, showing resilience in their playoff push. Their recent form includes impressive road victories over Malmo (5-2) and Rogle (3-2), plus home wins against Linkoping (2-1) and Farjestad (2-1 in shootout). However, they've also suffered heavy defeats to top teams like Frolunda (6-1) and Vaxjo (4-1). At home, Djurgarden has been inconsistent with an 11-10 record, averaging 2.52 goals scored but conceding 3.33 per game. Their defensive struggles at Djurgarden Arena remain concerning, particularly against quality opposition. The six-day rest period should help them recover from recent travel fatigue and prepare properly for this vital fixture.

Leksand

15 of 15 in SHL

W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

Leksand Form Analysis

Analysis

Leksand has shown surprising fight recently with two wins in their last five games, including...

Leksand has shown surprising fight recently with two wins in their last five games, including a crucial 3-0 home victory over Orebro and a stunning 2-1 overtime upset of league-leading Skelleftea. However, their away form remains catastrophic at 4-17, scoring just 1.67 goals per game on the road while allowing 3.43. Their recent road performances include heavy defeats at Timra (4-1), Brynas (4-1), and Vaxjo (4-1), highlighting their struggles away from home. Despite sitting in the relegation playoff zone, Leksand has shown they can compete with top teams when motivated. The six-day rest advantage matches Djurgarden's preparation time, but their poor away record suggests continued struggles at Djurgarden Arena.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Djurgarden21-2446.7%
Leksand13-3129.5%
Goals For
Djurgarden2.5
Leksand2.0
Goals Against
Djurgarden3.2
Leksand3.1
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Djurgarden-0.7
Leksand-1.1

Djurgarden vs Leksand - Match Analysis

Should I take Djurgarden on the -1.5 puck line?

Yes, Djurgarden -1.5 offers excellent value given Leksand's catastrophic away form. The visitors have lost 17 of 21 road games, often by multiple goals including recent 3+ goal defeats to Timra, Brynas, and Vaxjo. Djurgarden's playoff desperation at home, combined with Leksand's poor road defense allowing 3.43 goals per game, creates ideal conditions for a multi-goal victory. The puck line represents strong value in this matchup.

Will this game go over 5.5 goals?

The over 5.5 goals looks promising based on multiple factors. Their recent head-to-head meetings have averaged 5.25 goals, with Djurgarden's home games averaging 5.85 total goals this season. Both teams struggle defensively - Djurgarden allows 3.33 per game at home while Leksand concedes 3.43 on the road. With playoff implications adding urgency and both teams' attacking capabilities, expect an open, high-scoring affair that surpasses the total.

How does the six-day rest affect this matchup?

The identical six-day rest period neutralizes any schedule advantage, making home ice the decisive factor. Both teams should be fully recovered and prepared, eliminating fatigue as a variable. This actually favors Djurgarden, as their home advantage becomes more pronounced when both teams are equally rested. Fresh legs should lead to faster-paced hockey and more scoring opportunities, supporting both the home team's chances and the over total.

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