AI vs Market Probabilities

• Djurgarden
  42%
• Draw
  0%
• Farjestad
  58%

Analysis

The puck line analysis favors Farjestad based on superior recent form and Djurgarden's home defensive struggles. With both teams enjoying equal rest advantage, the key differentiator becomes current momentum and matchup dynamics. Farjestad's away defensive record (2.72 goals against) significantly outperforms Djurgarden's home defensive numbers (3.58 goals against), creating a tactical advantage for the visitors. The head-to-head history shows competitive games, but Farjestad's recent offensive displays, including that 7-0 victory over Brynas, demonstrate their scoring potential. Djurgarden's inconsistent home form, highlighted by heavy defeats to quality opposition, suggests vulnerability against a motivated Farjestad side seeking to build on recent positive results in this SHL encounter.

Recommendations

The primary value bet centers on Farjestad +1.5 on the puck line, offering protection against a one-goal loss while capitalizing on their superior away defensive record. The goaltender matchup favors the visitors given Djurgarden's recent home struggles, particularly their inability to keep games close against quality opposition. Farjestad's competitive away performances, even in losses, suggest they can keep this game within reach. The total presents over value given both teams' recent defensive issues - Djurgarden allowing 3.58 goals per home game while Farjestad has been involved in several high-scoring affairs. Consider the over 5.5 goals as both teams have shown offensive capabilities when motivated, and Djurgarden's home defensive vulnerabilities should provide scoring opportunities for the visitors.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Djurgarden

  Possible

• Draw

  Common

• Farjestad

  Likely

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

First period betting offers value on the under 1.5 goals given both teams' tendency for cautious starts in important SHL matchups. The total goals market presents over opportunities if both teams' recent defensive struggles continue. Farjestad's moneyline provides upset potential given their superior away defensive record and Djurgarden's inconsistent home form. Consider team total props with Farjestad over 2.5 goals based on their recent offensive displays and Djurgarden's home defensive vulnerabilities. The exact score range of 3-2 or 4-2 either direction aligns with recent head-to-head patterns and both teams' scoring tendencies in this competitive SHL rivalry.