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Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins8th in NHL (31-16)
VS
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers20th in NHL (28-21)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers

Saturday, Mar 7, 2026 · --:--

Pittsburgh Penguins Arena

Final
Pittsburgh Penguins
3–4
Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction centers on a crucial Pennsylvania rivalry clash at PPG Paints Arena. Pittsburgh enters with superior form, sitting 8th in the Eastern Conference with 75 points compared to Philadelphia's 20th-place position and 67 points. The Penguins have won 3 of their last 5 games, including impressive victories over Vegas (5-0) and New Jersey (4-1) at home. Philadelphia shows mixed recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 games but struggles defensively, allowing 3.16 goals per game. Both teams enjoy adequate rest with 3-4 days between games, eliminating fatigue concerns. Pittsburgh's home advantage becomes crucial, as they've scored 3.64 goals per game at PPG Paints Arena this season. The head-to-head record heavily favors Pittsburgh, winning the most recent meeting 6-3 in January. Expert picks favor the Penguins' superior offensive depth and home ice advantage in this divisional matchup. NHL picks suggest Pittsburgh's playoff positioning motivation against Philadelphia's inconsistent road form makes this an attractive home favorite spot.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Pittsburgh Penguins36-3153.7%
Philadelphia Flyers31-3646.3%
Goals For
Pittsburgh Penguins3.4
Philadelphia Flyers2.9
Goals Against
Pittsburgh Penguins2.9
Philadelphia Flyers3.2
Goal Differential
Pittsburgh Penguins+0.5
Philadelphia Flyers-0.2

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers - Match Analysis

Should I take Pittsburgh on the -1.5 puck line?

Yes, Pittsburgh -1.5 offers strong value based on their dominant head-to-head record and home offensive production. The Penguins have won recent meetings by multiple goals (6-3, 5-1, 7-3) and average 3.64 goals per game at home. Philadelphia's road defensive struggles (3.35 goals allowed) create favorable conditions for a multi-goal Pittsburgh victory, making the puck line an attractive option.

Will this game go over 6.5 goals?

Strong likelihood for Over 6.5 goals given both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Recent head-to-head meetings have consistently been high-scoring affairs, with the last encounter producing 9 total goals. Pittsburgh averages 3.64 goals at home while Philadelphia allows 3.35 on the road. Both teams have shown ability to score in bunches, making the over an appealing total bet.

How does home ice advantage impact this Pennsylvania rivalry?

Home ice provides significant advantage for Pittsburgh in this rivalry matchup. The Penguins have dominated recent home meetings against Philadelphia, winning by decisive margins and controlling pace with last change advantage. PPG Paints Arena's atmosphere intensifies during divisional games, and Pittsburgh's 3.64 goals per game at home reflects their comfort level. Philadelphia's road struggles (16-18 record) make Pittsburgh's home environment even more challenging for the visiting Flyers.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Pittsburgh Penguins (6)Philadelphia Flyers (4)
Jan 16, 26
(H)Pittsburgh Penguins6 - 3Philadelphia Flyers(A)
H
Dec 2, 25
(H)Philadelphia Flyers1 - 5Pittsburgh Penguins(A)
A
Oct 28, 25
(H)Philadelphia Flyers3 - 2Pittsburgh Penguins(A)
H
Feb 28, 25
(H)Pittsburgh Penguins5 - 4Philadelphia Flyers(A)
H
Feb 26, 25
(H)Philadelphia Flyers6 - 1Pittsburgh Penguins(A)
H
Feb 9, 25
(H)Philadelphia Flyers3 - 2Pittsburgh Penguins(A)
H
Dec 24, 24
(H)Pittsburgh Penguins7 - 3Philadelphia Flyers(A)
H
Feb 25, 24
(H)Pittsburgh Penguins7 - 6Philadelphia Flyers(A)
H
Jan 9, 24
(H)Philadelphia Flyers1 - 4Pittsburgh Penguins(A)
A
Dec 5, 23
(H)Philadelphia Flyers2 - 1Pittsburgh Penguins(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Pittsburgh dominates this rivalry with commanding recent results. The Penguins crushed Philadelphia 6-3 in their last meeting at home in...

Pittsburgh dominates this rivalry with commanding recent results. The Penguins crushed Philadelphia 6-3 in their last meeting at home in January, following a 5-1 road victory in December. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Pittsburgh holds a decisive 7-3 advantage with several high-scoring affairs. The Penguins have consistently outscored the Flyers in recent seasons, averaging over 5 goals per game in their home victories. Philadelphia's lone bright spot was a 3-2 overtime win in October, but they've struggled to contain Pittsburgh's offensive attack consistently.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNHL matches highlighted

Pittsburgh Penguins

15 of 15 in NHL

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Form Rating

6.7/10

Pittsburgh Penguins Form Analysis

Trending

Pittsburgh sits in 8th place with 75 points, maintaining solid playoff positioning despite recent inconsistency....

Pittsburgh sits in 8th place with 75 points, maintaining solid playoff positioning despite recent inconsistency. The Penguins have won 3 of their last 5 games, including dominant home performances against Vegas (5-0) and New Jersey (4-1). Their home record of 18-15 shows vulnerability, but they've averaged 3.64 goals per game at PPG Paints Arena. Recent losses came on the road against Boston (2-1) and in overtime situations, suggesting better performance in regulation at home. With 3 days of rest, Pittsburgh should be fresh and motivated to maintain their playoff position. The team's offensive depth has produced multiple high-scoring games recently, including 6-goal performances against Chicago and the Rangers.

Philadelphia Flyers

15 of 15 in NHL

W
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Form Rating

4/10

Philadelphia Flyers Form Analysis

Analysis

Philadelphia occupies 20th place with 67 points, sitting outside playoff contention but showing recent fight....

Philadelphia occupies 20th place with 67 points, sitting outside playoff contention but showing recent fight. The Flyers have won 3 of their last 5 games, including impressive road victories at Toronto (3-2 in shootout) and at the Rangers (3-2 in overtime). However, their defensive struggles persist, allowing 3.35 goals per game on the road. Away record of 16-18 reflects inconsistency in hostile environments. Philadelphia's recent 7-3 victory over Colorado demonstrates their offensive potential, but they've also suffered shutout losses and defensive breakdowns. With 4 days of rest, the Flyers should be physically prepared, but their road form against quality opponents remains questionable.

info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.