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Canadian Tire Centre
St. Louis Blues won
Ottawa Senators vs St. Louis Blues prediction: the Senators host the Blues at Canadian Tire Centre with Ottawa sitting fifth in the Eastern Conference while St. Louis languishes 13th in the West, a gap reflected in a 1.33 points-per-game mark for the home side against 0.75 for the visitors.
Ottawa arrives with momentum, having won three of its last four, including a 4-1 statement win over Boston and a road victory over Toronto. St. Louis, by contrast, has dropped four of its last five, conceding six to Colorado and four to Chicago along the way.
Both clubs are coming off four days of rest with no back-to-back fatigue tonight, though Ottawa has a brutal stretch of four games in seven days looming, which could factor into energy levels by the third period. Neither goaltending group has been stingy, with Ottawa conceding 3.22 goals per game and St. Louis 2.5, suggesting pucks should find the net at both ends.
Recent head-to-head meetings have heavily favored St. Louis, but current form flips the script: Ottawa's offense and discipline look sharper, and home ice plus scoring depth give the Senators a real edge. Expect Ottawa to win outright, with the total goals leaning toward the over given both defenses' struggles this season.
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2026/2027 Season
Ottawa Senators vs St. Louis Blues - Match Analysis
Ottawa -1.5 is risky given St. Louis has stayed within one goal in several recent losses despite their poor overall record. A safer alternative is St. Louis +1.5, which covers both a close Ottawa win and any Blues upset, offering better value than laying the extra goal with the home favorite in this spot.
Over 6.5 Goals looks like the stronger lean here. Ottawa is allowing 3.22 goals per game and St. Louis 2.5, with neither team showing signs of strong defensive structure or standout goaltending recently. Both offenses have also shown flashes of scoring output, including Ottawa's 4-1 and 3-2 wins and St. Louis's 4-0 shutout of Dallas.
Both teams are rested with four days off and no back-to-back fatigue tonight, so neither side holds a clear rest advantage for this game specifically. However, Ottawa faces a demanding stretch of four games in seven days right after this one, which could be a factor if this matchup extends into overtime or a tightly contested third period.
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Last 10 head-to-head matchups
St. Louis has dominated the recent head-to-head series, winning five of the last six meetings since late 2023, including a...
St. Louis has dominated the recent head-to-head series, winning five of the last six meetings since late 2023, including a lopsided 7-1 road win in October 2025 and two more wins over Ottawa last season. Ottawa's lone victories in that span came via blowout scorelines at home. Despite that trend, the series has swung on scoring bursts rather than defensive battles, with several games featuring five or more combined goals, a pattern that could continue here.
Last 9 matches across all competitionsNHL matches highlighted
9 of 9 in NHL
Form Rating
4.4/10
Ottawa sits fifth in the East at 1.33 points per game, buoyed by three wins...
Ottawa sits fifth in the East at 1.33 points per game, buoyed by three wins in their last four outings. Wins over Boston and Toronto show this roster can beat quality opponents, while a home record of 2-1 this season reflects moderate but real home strength. Four days of rest heading into this game is a slight advantage, though an upcoming stretch of four games in seven days could test depth soon. Goaltending has been inconsistent, allowing over three goals per game, but Ottawa's offense has been reliable enough to outscore mistakes in recent action.
8 of 8 in NHL
Form Rating
2.5/10
St. Louis is mired in a rough stretch, winning just two of their last eight...
St. Louis is mired in a rough stretch, winning just two of their last eight games and sitting 13th in the Western Conference with a negative goal differential. Their only recent win was a shutout over Dallas, but they've since been outscored badly by Colorado and Chicago. Four days of rest offers a clean slate, and their upcoming schedule is lighter than Ottawa's congested stretch. Still, a 1-4 road record this season and leaky defense allowing 2.5 goals per game make this a tough spot against a hotter opponent on home ice.
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