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Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild6th in NHL (4-2)
VS
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues9th in NHL (3-2)

Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues

Friday, Oct 16, 2026 · --:--

Xcel Energy Center

Final
Minnesota Wild
5–4
St. Louis Blues

Minnesota Wild won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

This Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues prediction looks at a Western Conference clash where the Wild hold a clear edge in the standings, sitting third with 9 points compared to the Blues at 12th with just 5. Minnesota enters with a 5-5 record but has won 3 of its last 5 games, including a 4-2 win over Vegas and a 4-1 road win at Florida.

The Wild are coming off a home victory over the Golden Knights on two days' rest, a manageable turnaround that keeps fatigue risk at medium rather than high. St. Louis last played on October 10, giving them five days of rest, but their form has been inconsistent, with four losses in their last five outings including a lopsided 6-1 defeat to Colorado.

Head-to-head history over the past two seasons favors Minnesota, who won the most recent meeting in dominant fashion. Both teams have conceded over 2.5 goals per game this season, suggesting defense is a concern on both sides, but Minnesota's superior goal differential and home scoring (3.0 goals per game at Xcel Energy Center) gives them the edge.

For NHL picks on this matchup, Minnesota Wild -1.5 on the puck line carries real appeal given the form and rest gap, while the total sits in over-6.5 territory based on both teams' recent scoring pace.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Minnesota Wild (4)St. Louis Blues (6)
Apr 14, 26
(H)St. Louis Blues6 - 3Minnesota Wild(A)
H
Mar 1, 26
(H)Minnesota Wild1 - 3St. Louis Blues(A)
A
Oct 10, 25
(H)St. Louis Blues0 - 5Minnesota Wild(A)
A
Mar 16, 25
(H)Minnesota Wild1 - 5St. Louis Blues(A)
A
Jan 8, 25
(H)Minnesota Wild6 - 4St. Louis Blues(A)
H
Nov 20, 24
(H)St. Louis Blues2 - 4Minnesota Wild(A)
A
Oct 15, 24
(H)St. Louis Blues1 - 4Minnesota Wild(A)
A
Mar 23, 24
(H)Minnesota Wild4 - 5St. Louis Blues(A)
A
Mar 17, 24
(H)St. Louis Blues3 - 2Minnesota Wild(A)
H
Mar 2, 24
(H)St. Louis Blues3 - 1Minnesota Wild(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Minnesota and St. Louis have split recent meetings, with the Blues winning three of the last four encounters dating back...

Minnesota and St. Louis have split recent meetings, with the Blues winning three of the last four encounters dating back to 2024, often in high-scoring fashion. However, the most recent meeting in April 2026 saw St. Louis demolish Minnesota 6-3 on the road, while Minnesota's own home win over the Blues back in January 2025 was also a shootout-style affair. These matchups have trended toward high totals, with several games featuring 7+ combined goals, suggesting both defenses can be exploited.

Last 10 matches across all competitionsNHL matches highlighted

Minnesota Wild

10 of 10 in NHL

W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

5/10

Minnesota Wild Form Analysis

Trending

Minnesota sits third in the West at 5-5-0 with 9 points, riding a strong recent...

Minnesota sits third in the West at 5-5-0 with 9 points, riding a strong recent stretch of 3 wins in their last 5 games. They've scored at least 2 goals in nine of their last ten outings and own an excellent home record this season, going 3-1 with a robust 3.0 goals-per-game average at Xcel Energy Center. The Wild are on moderate rest, having played two days ago, which keeps fatigue risk at medium but shouldn't be a major detriment given a reasonable 72-hour turnaround. Their home scoring form combined with a tighter defensive record (1.75 goals conceded per home game) makes them a strong favorite in this spot.

St. Louis Blues

9 of 9 in NHL

W
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

St. Louis Blues Form Analysis

Analysis

St. Louis arrives at 3-6-0, well back in 12th place, and has dropped four of...

St. Louis arrives at 3-6-0, well back in 12th place, and has dropped four of their last five games, including a blowout 6-1 loss to Colorado. Despite the rough form, they do have extra rest working in their favor, sitting on five days off since their last game on October 10. Their away form has been shaky though, posting just a 1-4 road record with 3.0 goals conceded per game away from home. With games bunching up over the next week, fatigue isn't currently an issue, but the lack of defensive stability on the road is a real concern against a Minnesota team playing with confidence.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Minnesota Wild5-550.0%
St. Louis Blues3-633.3%
Goals For
Minnesota Wild2.6
St. Louis Blues2.1
Goals Against
Minnesota Wild2.1
St. Louis Blues2.6
info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

High

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Goal Differential
Minnesota Wild+0.5
St. Louis Blues-0.5

Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues - Match Analysis

Should I take Minnesota Wild on the -1.5 puck line?

Minnesota's home form and recent momentum make the puck line tempting, but St. Louis has repeatedly kept games within a goal even while losing. The Wild's 3-1 home record and stronger goaltending depth support the pick, but confidence should be moderate given the Blues' tendency to stay competitive on the scoreboard even in defeat.

Will this game go over or under 6.5 goals?

Over 6.5 goals looks like the stronger side given both teams' defensive issues this season — Minnesota concedes 2.1 per game while St. Louis gives up 2.56. Recent head-to-head meetings between these clubs have also trended toward high totals, with several past encounters producing 7 or more combined goals.

How much does rest play into this matchup?

Minnesota is on a reasonable two-day turnaround after beating Vegas, keeping their fatigue risk at medium, while St. Louis enters with five days of rest and low fatigue risk. The extra rest could help the Blues' legs, but it hasn't translated to strong recent form, as they've lost four of their last five regardless of scheduling.

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