Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Calgary Flames45%
- Draw0%
- San Jose Sharks55%
Analysis
The rest advantage strongly favors Calgary in this matchup, as five days off provides significant recovery time compared to San Jose's three-day break. However, current form and momentum clearly favor the visiting Sharks, who have demonstrated superior offensive consistency and road confidence. Puck line analysis suggests value exists on San Jose +1.5, as they've been competitive in most games while Calgary has struggled to win convincingly at home. The goaltender matchup will be crucial, with both teams showing defensive inconsistencies that could lead to higher scoring. San Jose's recent road success and Calgary's home struggles create an intriguing dynamic where the rest advantage may not overcome poor form.


