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Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks14th in NHL (41-28)
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs24th in NHL (31-30)

Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Tuesday, Mar 31, 2026 · --:--

Honda Center

Final
Anaheim Ducks
4–5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple Leafs won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction features two struggling teams meeting at Honda Center on March 31st. Both teams enter with identical 2-day rest situations, eliminating any schedule advantage. The Ducks (42-34-4, 14th Western Conference) have shown improved home form recently, winning 4 of their last 6 at Honda Center including high-scoring affairs. Toronto (32-44-4, 24th Eastern Conference) continues their disappointing road struggles, managing just 14 wins in 39 away games this season. The recent head-to-head meeting saw Toronto dominate 6-4 in their own building, but Anaheim's home ice advantage could prove decisive here. Both teams average over 3 goals per game, suggesting an entertaining offensive battle. Expert picks favor the home team in what should be a competitive matchup between two teams fighting for respectability. NHL picks lean toward Anaheim's superior home record and Toronto's continued road woes making this an attractive home favorite spot.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

Low

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Anaheim Ducks42-3455.3%
Toronto Maple Leafs32-4442.1%
Goals For
Anaheim Ducks3.1
Toronto Maple Leafs3.0
Goals Against
Anaheim Ducks3.2
Toronto Maple Leafs3.3
Goal Differential
Anaheim Ducks-0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs-0.3

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Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs - Match Analysis

Should I take Anaheim on the -1.5 puck line?

Anaheim -1.5 offers moderate value given their strong home record (24-12-2) versus Toronto's poor road form (14-23-2). The Ducks have won several home games by multiple goals recently, including 5-1 over the Islanders and 6-5 over Montreal. However, Toronto's ability to score goals means this requires Anaheim to control the game throughout. The puck line is risky but offers decent value given the venue advantage.

Will this game go over 6.5 goals?

Strong over potential exists with both teams averaging over 3 goals per game and their recent H2H producing 10 goals. Anaheim scores 3.37 per game at home while Toronto allows 3.46 on the road - a recipe for offensive fireworks. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, and their last four meetings averaged 6.25 goals per game. The over 6.5 represents excellent value in this matchup.

How does the 2-day rest affect both teams?

The identical 2-day rest eliminates any schedule advantage, making this purely about team quality and venue. Both teams should be fresh after their previous games - Anaheim lost 4-2 in Edmonton while Toronto fell 5-1 in St. Louis. The rest allows both teams to reset, but Anaheim benefits more from being at home where they've been significantly better all season. Fresh legs should produce an up-tempo, high-scoring affair.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Anaheim Ducks (2)Toronto Maple Leafs (8)
Mar 12, 26
(H)Toronto Maple Leafs6 - 4Anaheim Ducks(A)
H
Mar 31, 25
(H)Anaheim Ducks2 - 3Toronto Maple Leafs(A)
A
Dec 13, 24
(H)Toronto Maple Leafs3 - 2Anaheim Ducks(A)
H
Feb 18, 24
(H)Toronto Maple Leafs9 - 2Anaheim Ducks(A)
H
Jan 4, 24
(H)Anaheim Ducks1 - 2Toronto Maple Leafs(A)
A
Dec 14, 22
(H)Toronto Maple Leafs7 - 0Anaheim Ducks(A)
H
Oct 31, 22
(H)Anaheim Ducks4 - 3Toronto Maple Leafs(A)
H
Jan 27, 22
(H)Toronto Maple Leafs4 - 3Anaheim Ducks(A)
H
Nov 29, 21
(H)Anaheim Ducks1 - 5Toronto Maple Leafs(A)
A
Mar 7, 20
(H)Anaheim Ducks2 - 1Toronto Maple Leafs(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings heavily favor Toronto, who won the March 12th encounter 6-4 at home in a thrilling 10-goal affair. The...

Recent meetings heavily favor Toronto, who won the March 12th encounter 6-4 at home in a thrilling 10-goal affair. The Maple Leafs have dominated this matchup over the past two seasons, winning 3 of 4 meetings with an average of 6.25 goals per game. However, Anaheim's lone victory came at home (4-3 in overtime), highlighting the importance of venue. The teams consistently produce high-scoring games, with 8 of their last 10 meetings featuring 5+ total goals, making this an ideal over candidate.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNHL matches highlighted

Anaheim Ducks

15 of 15 in NHL

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Form Rating

4/10

Anaheim Ducks Form Analysis

Trending

Anaheim enters with mixed recent form, splitting their last 10 games but showing resilience in...

Anaheim enters with mixed recent form, splitting their last 10 games but showing resilience in close contests. The Ducks have been significantly better at Honda Center (24-12-2) compared to their road struggles (18-22-2). Their home offense averages 3.37 goals per game while allowing just 3.03, a notable improvement from their away defensive struggles. Recent home victories against Montreal (6-5 in shootout), New York Islanders (5-1), and Calgary (3-2 in shootout) demonstrate their ability to find ways to win at home. With 2 days rest after their Edmonton loss, the Ducks should be fresh for this crucial home stand.

Toronto Maple Leafs

15 of 15 in NHL

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Form Rating

2/10

Toronto Maple Leafs Form Analysis

Analysis

Toronto's season has been defined by road struggles, posting a dismal 14-23-2 record away from...

Toronto's season has been defined by road struggles, posting a dismal 14-23-2 record away from home while averaging just 2.87 goals per game on the road. The Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 6 games, including a crushing 5-1 defeat in St. Louis most recently. Their away defensive numbers are concerning, allowing 3.46 goals per game on the road compared to 3.22 at home. Despite having 2 days rest, Toronto's travel to the West Coast and their season-long road issues make them vulnerable. The team has struggled to maintain leads away from home, often collapsing defensively in crucial moments.

info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.