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Schwenninger
Schwenninger14th in DEL (0-5)
VS
ERC Ingolstadt
ERC Ingolstadt12th in DEL (1-4)

Schwenninger vs ERC Ingolstadt

Friday, Oct 16, 2026 · --:--

Helios Arena

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AI Confidence: 62%
Schwenninger38%ERC Ingolstadt62%

AI Predicted Winner

ERC Ingolstadt

62%

#Confidence

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SportsbookSchwenningerERC Ingolstadt✦ AI Pick
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AI Match Analysis

This Schwenninger vs ERC Ingolstadt prediction features two struggling DEL sides at opposite ends of the table, though both arrive with the same two-week rest window after their last league outings on October 4th. Schwenninger sit bottom of the division at rank 14 with just two points from six games, shipping a brutal 4.83 goals against per game, while Ingolstadt rank 12 with five points and a slightly steadier 0.83 points-per-game pace.

Neither team has shown consistency in recent form. Schwenninger have lost five of their last six DEL matches, including a 0-5 and 2-5 defeat, and their home numbers are especially alarming at 1.0 goals scored and 4.5 conceded per game in two home outings. Ingolstadt also enter off a 3-6 loss but have shown flashes, including a win over Adler Mannheim.

Head-to-head meetings between these two have consistently produced plenty of goals, with recent encounters finishing 5-3, 2-4, and 4-5, suggesting this total could again climb into the mid-to-high range rather than stay under the modest combined per-game average suggested by the signals.

Given Schwenninger's historically poor defense at home and Ingolstadt's marginally better overall output, the away side looks the more reliable pick on the moneyline, with the total goals prediction leaning toward Over 5.5 given how these two have traded goals in the past.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Low

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Schwenninger1-516.7%
ERC Ingolstadt2-433.3%
Goals For
Schwenninger1.8
ERC Ingolstadt2.3
Goals Against
Schwenninger4.8
ERC Ingolstadt4.0
Goal Differential
Schwenninger-3.0
ERC Ingolstadt-1.7

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Schwenninger (4)ERC Ingolstadt (6)
Jan 25, 26
(H)ERC Ingolstadt4 - 1Schwenninger(A)
H
Dec 30, 25
(H)Schwenninger5 - 3ERC Ingolstadt(A)
H
Dec 7, 25
(H)ERC Ingolstadt5 - 2Schwenninger(A)
H
Oct 19, 25
(H)Schwenninger2 - 4ERC Ingolstadt(A)
A
Mar 7, 25
(H)ERC Ingolstadt0 - 4Schwenninger(A)
A
Dec 20, 24
(H)ERC Ingolstadt5 - 3Schwenninger(A)
H
Dec 5, 24
(H)Schwenninger4 - 5ERC Ingolstadt(A)
A
Oct 1, 24
(H)Schwenninger3 - 6ERC Ingolstadt(A)
A
Jan 21, 24
(H)ERC Ingolstadt3 - 5Schwenninger(A)
A
Jan 2, 24
(H)Schwenninger4 - 2ERC Ingolstadt(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Over the past two seasons, Ingolstadt have dominated this series, winning the majority of the last several meetings including a...

Over the past two seasons, Ingolstadt have dominated this series, winning the majority of the last several meetings including a 4-1, 5-2, and 5-3 road win. Schwenninger's only victories in that stretch came in a 5-3 home win and a narrow 4-2 success. Goals have flowed freely in nearly every meeting, with several games producing seven or more combined goals, reinforcing that whenever these two clubs meet, defense tends to take a back seat to transition scoring chances.

Last 13 matches across all competitionsDEL matches highlighted

Schwenninger

6 of 13 in DEL

L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

2.3/10

Schwenninger Form Analysis

Trending

Schwenninger have won just once in six DEL games this season and sit last in...

Schwenninger have won just once in six DEL games this season and sit last in the standings with a league-worst minus-18 goal differential. Their recent form shows five losses in the last six outings, including lopsided 0-5 and 3-7 defeats, and their home splits are particularly troubling at 1.0 goals scored against 4.5 conceded per game across two home games. With 12 days of rest and no back-to-back fatigue, there's no scheduling excuse here — the issues are structural, particularly defensively and in net, where they're conceding nearly five goals a game on home ice.

ERC Ingolstadt

6 of 12 in DEL

L
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

4.2/10

ERC Ingolstadt Form Analysis

Analysis

ERC Ingolstadt have managed two wins in six games this season, good for a modest...

ERC Ingolstadt have managed two wins in six games this season, good for a modest 0.83 points-per-game pace and 12th in the standings. Their recent form includes a mix of result types, with a win over Adler Mannheim sandwiched between losses to Kolner and Krefeld. Away from home this season they've scored 2.0 and conceded 3.33 goals per game, suggesting a leaky defense but enough firepower to compete. Like Schwenninger, Ingolstadt enter with a full 12 days of rest, removing fatigue as a variable and putting the focus squarely on matchup quality and recent scoring trends.

info

No injury information available for hockey

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

Schwenninger vs ERC Ingolstadt - Match Analysis

Should I back Ingolstadt on the moneyline or puck line?

Ingolstadt hold the better points-per-game mark and have won more recent head-to-head meetings, making them the preferred side. However, given Schwenninger's capacity for high-scoring nights even in defeat, a straight moneyline bet or Ingolstadt -1.5 carries real risk. A safer route for NHL picks on this one is backing Ingolstadt on the moneyline rather than laying the extra goal and a half.

Will this game go over or under 6.5 goals?

Both teams have shown porous defending all season, with Schwenninger conceding 4.83 and Ingolstadt 4.0 goals per game. Their head-to-head history backs this up, with several recent meetings producing seven or eight combined goals. The over under prediction favors Over 6.5 Goals, as neither club has demonstrated the structure needed to keep this one low-scoring.

Does the rest situation favor either team?

Both Schwenninger and Ingolstadt enter this match with 12 days of rest since their last league game, so there's no fatigue or back-to-back disadvantage for either side. This neutralizes schedule as a factor and puts the emphasis squarely on recent form and matchup history, where Ingolstadt hold a clear edge based on points-per-game and head-to-head results.

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