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Saturn Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Straubing Tigers
58%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | ERC Ingolstadt | Straubing Tigers✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|
WilliamHill | ||
bet365Best Odds | ||
Betano | ||
| Best Odds |
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ERC Ingolstadt vs Straubing Tigers prediction: this Bavarian DEL derby at Saturn Arena pits seventh-placed Ingolstadt (20 points from 15 games) against fifth-placed Straubing (26 points from 14 games). The Tigers have the stronger profile, with a 64.3% win rate and 1.93 points per game against Ingolstadt's 46.7% and 1.40, and a plus-11 goal difference against minus-8.
Both sides arrive well rested, each having played last on November 1 with 12 days off, so neither carries a schedule disadvantage. That removes fatigue as a factor and puts the focus on goaltending and scoring depth. Ingolstadt have scored 3.00 goals per game and conceded 3.53, a leaky profile. Straubing average 3.71 for and 2.93 against.
Form favors the visitors, though not cleanly. Straubing have won 7 of their last 10 but lost 5-2 at Bremerhaven in their last outing. Ingolstadt have lost three of their last four, conceding five or more goals in each of those defeats, so their defense is a real concern.
Our NHL-style pick is Straubing Tigers on the moneyline. The visitors have won the last two meetings, including 4-1 in September, and Ingolstadt's home record of 3 wins from 7 offers little resistance. A high-scoring game is likely given both teams' defensive numbers.
Moderate
Moderate
Unfavorable
Low
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Meetings between these clubs have been high-scoring, with no recent game finishing below five combined goals. Since November 2024, the...
Meetings between these clubs have been high-scoring, with no recent game finishing below five combined goals. Since November 2024, the home side has won most of the DEL meetings, but Straubing took the last two: 6-3 in January 2026 and 4-1 in September 2026. Ingolstadt's last win in the series was a 5-4 home result in January 2026. Goals have flowed freely across the sample, which supports an Over lean.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsDEL matches highlighted
15 of 15 in DEL
Form Rating
4.7/10
ERC Ingolstadt sit seventh with 20 points, 7 wins from 15 games and a minus-8...
ERC Ingolstadt sit seventh with 20 points, 7 wins from 15 games and a minus-8 goal difference. Their last 10 games read 4 wins and 6 losses. They beat Wolfsburg twice and Augsburg 6-3, but have since dropped three straight, conceding 5, 5 and 6 goals against Frankfurt, Berlin and Bremerhaven. At home they are 3-4, scoring 3.14 and conceding 3.86 per game. Rest is not an issue after 12 days off, but the defensive record is a clear concern in this matchup.
14 of 15 in DEL
Form Rating
6/10
Straubing Tigers are fifth with 26 points from 14 games, a 9-5 record and a...
Straubing Tigers are fifth with 26 points from 14 games, a 9-5 record and a plus-11 goal difference. They average 3.71 goals scored per game, boosted by an 11-4 win over Iserlohn. Their home form is strong at 5-2, scoring 4.57 per game, while on the road they are 4-3 with 2.86 scored and 2.57 conceded. They arrive off a 5-2 loss at Bremerhaven but beat Munich 4-2 beforehand. Rested for 12 days, they should be fresh and sharp for the trip to Saturn Arena.
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ERC Ingolstadt vs Straubing Tigers - Match Analysis
Straubing Tigers are modest favorites. They are fifth with 26 points and a plus-11 goal difference, while Ingolstadt are seventh with 20 points and a minus-8 goal difference. Straubing also won the last meeting 4-1 in September. Ingolstadt's home ice offers some resistance, but their recent defensive form keeps the edge with the visitors.
The Over looks the better lean. Ingolstadt allow 3.53 goals per game and score 3.00, while Straubing score 3.71 and allow 2.93. Recent head-to-head games have all produced five or more combined goals. With both teams rested, neither side has a fatigue-based reason to play conservatively, which supports a higher-scoring game.
It is a reasonable safer option. Ingolstadt have a home record of 3-4 and have been outscored recently, but several of their losses were by multiple goals, so the cover is not guaranteed. Straubing's road scoring is only 2.86 per game, which makes a blowout less likely. The +1.5 line offers a cushion for a competitive game.
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