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Compare odds, pick your winner, and earn points
AI Predicted Winner
Draw
31.8%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | USA | Draw | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Unibet | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds | 2.04 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
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USA faces Paraguay in their World Cup Group D opener, with bookmakers favoring the Americans at 47.7% probability. Both teams enter with identical group standings positions, making this a crucial early statement match.
USA's recent form shows mixed results against top opposition, suffering defeats to Germany (1-2) and Portugal (0-2) in pre-tournament friendlies, but demonstrated attacking prowess with a 3-2 victory over Senegal. Their preparation included a heavy 2-5 loss to Belgium that exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Paraguay arrives with momentum from a commanding 4-0 victory over Nicaragua in their final warm-up, showcasing improved attacking efficiency.
The head-to-head record strongly favors USA, who defeated Paraguay 2-1 in their most recent encounter in November 2025. This psychological edge, combined with Paraguay's inconsistent recent performances against quality opposition, supports the market's assessment of American superiority.
With both teams seeking early group control, USA's superior recent tournament experience and tactical flexibility should prove decisive. Paraguay's defensive solidity may keep the margin tight, but USA's attacking depth provides the edge needed for three points in this Group D curtain-raiser.
Moderate
Weak
Unfavorable
Low
2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Last 3 head-to-head matchups
USA holds a perfect recent record against Paraguay, winning their last encounter 2-1 in November 2025. The Americans have dominated...
USA holds a perfect recent record against Paraguay, winning their last encounter 2-1 in November 2025. The Americans have dominated this matchup historically, maintaining clean tactical superiority in their meetings. Paraguay struggled to create clear chances in their previous clash, managing just one goal despite decent possession. This psychological advantage gives USA confidence heading into their World Cup opener, knowing they've solved Paraguay's defensive approach before.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsWorld Cup matches highlighted
0 of 15 in World Cup
Form Rating
6.3/10
USA's preparation phase revealed both promise and concern. Recent defeats to Germany (1-2) and Portugal...
USA's preparation phase revealed both promise and concern. Recent defeats to Germany (1-2) and Portugal (0-2) exposed defensive frailties against elite opposition, while a heavy 2-5 loss to Belgium highlighted vulnerability to quick transitions. However, their 3-2 victory over Senegal demonstrated attacking resilience and ability to score under pressure. The Americans showed clinical finishing in a 5-1 demolition of Uruguay and secured victories over Australia (2-1) and Japan (2-0). Their attacking output remains consistent, but defensive stability against top-tier opponents needs improvement for World Cup success.
0 of 15 in World Cup
Form Rating
6/10
Paraguay enters with renewed confidence following a dominant 4-0 victory over Nicaragua in their final...
Paraguay enters with renewed confidence following a dominant 4-0 victory over Nicaragua in their final preparation match. However, their form against stronger opposition raises questions - defeats to Morocco (1-2) and South Korea (0-2) highlighted struggles against organized defenses. Their World Cup qualifying campaign showed resilience with crucial victories over Peru (1-0) and Uruguay (2-0), plus an impressive 2-1 upset of Argentina. Paraguay's defensive organization remains their strength, but inconsistent attacking output against quality opponents could prove costly in group stage battles where goal difference matters.
Track how betting lines shift across bookmakers
USA
1.98
Draw
3.34
Paraguay
3.93
Odds have remained relatively stable.
Bookmakers
13
Last Quote
3.34
Initial Odds
3.34
Highest Odds
3.93
Confidence
44.2%
USA vs Paraguay - Match Analysis
USA's recent 2-1 victory over Paraguay in November 2025 provides crucial psychological advantage, while their superior attacking depth and tactical flexibility give them the edge. Paraguay's struggles against quality opposition, including defeats to Morocco and South Korea, highlight their limitations against organized teams. The Americans' World Cup experience and ability to score consistently make them rightful favorites despite Paraguay's defensive solidity.
Draw No Bet on USA offers excellent value at approximately 75% probability, providing insurance against Paraguay's defensive resilience. Under 2.5 Goals appeals given Paraguay's compact defensive approach and tendency to keep games tight. Both Teams to Score looks unlikely given Paraguay's recent struggles to find the net against stronger opponents, making this a potential fade opportunity.
USA's mixed preparation results against elite opposition show both attacking promise and defensive concerns, but their direct victory over Paraguay provides crucial confidence. Paraguay's 4-0 win over Nicaragua masks deeper issues - their defeats to Morocco and South Korea reveal struggles against organized defenses. The form differential supports USA's favoritism, though Paraguay's defensive structure could keep the margin respectable in this group stage opener.
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