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Albania
Albania2nd in UEFA Nations League (2-0-1)
VS
San Marino
San Marino4th in UEFA Nations League (0-0-3)

Albania vs San Marino

Tuesday, Oct 6, 2026 · --:--

Arena Kombëtare

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AI Confidence: 92%
Albania92%Draw 6%San Marino2%

AI Predicted Winner

Albania

92%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

Albania vs San Marino prediction: this UEFA Nations League League C clash at Arena Kombëtare pits a team chasing promotion against the competition's weakest side. Albania sit second in their group with six points from three games, while San Marino remain bottom of the entire Nations League pyramid, pointless and without a single goal scored across their last three matches.

Albania's form shows two wins and a narrow loss to Finland, scoring six and conceding just two. Their attack has been sharp, and they've already beaten this exact opponent 3-0 less than two weeks ago in San Marino.

San Marino's away record is historically dreadful, and their defensive numbers this campaign are brutal — 14 goals conceded in three games, including a 7-0 and a 10-0 in recent qualifying. They have failed to score in every game this term.

With bookmakers pricing Albania at 92.9% to win, this is about as close to a formality as international football offers. Expect Albania to dominate possession, create chances freely, and likely score multiple goals again. The prediction here leans heavily home, with goals and a comfortable margin the realistic outcome rather than any genuine suspense over the result.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

Low

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Albania2-0-166.7%
San Marino0-0-30.0%
Goals Scored
Albania6
San Marino0
Goals Conceded
Albania2
San Marino14
Goal Difference
Albania+4
San Marino-14
check_circle

No reported injuries or suspensions for either team

More Predictions

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Last 4 head-to-head matchups

Albania (3)Draws (1)San Marino (0)
Sep 29, 26
(H)San Marino0 - 3Albania(A)
A
Sep 8, 21
(H)Albania5 - 0San Marino(A)
H
Mar 31, 21
(H)San Marino0 - 2Albania(A)
A
Mar 27, 20
(H)San Marino - Albania(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These sides met just over a week ago in the Nations League, with Albania winning 3-0 in San Marino. That...

These sides met just over a week ago in the Nations League, with Albania winning 3-0 in San Marino. That result continues a clear pattern — Albania have historically dominated this fixture, including a 5-0 win in 2021 and a 2-0 away win the same year. There's no recent history of San Marino troubling Albania, and nothing suggests this meeting will be any different, with home advantage adding to Albania's already overwhelming edge.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Nations League matches highlighted

Albania

3 of 15 in UEFA Nations League

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W
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L
W
W
W
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D
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Form Rating

5.3/10

Albania Form Analysis

Trending

Albania have won two of their last three, scoring six goals while conceding only two,...

Albania have won two of their last three, scoring six goals while conceding only two, including a comfortable 3-0 win over this very opponent. Their only blemish was a tight 2-1 loss away to Finland. At home, they remain unbeaten this campaign, winning their sole home fixture against Belarus 2-0. The attack has flowed well in the final third, and they've kept two clean sheets in three outings. No major injury concerns are indicated in the data. With momentum and a settled group able to control games against weaker opposition, Albania should have no trouble imposing themselves on a San Marino side they've already dismantled recently.

San Marino

3 of 15 in UEFA Nations League

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L
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D
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Form Rating

0.3/10

San Marino Form Analysis

Analysis

San Marino are winless, pointless, and have failed to score in any of their last...

San Marino are winless, pointless, and have failed to score in any of their last three matches, shipping 14 goals in the process — including a 7-0 and a 4-0. Their away record this term shows a single match played, a loss. Defensively this is one of the weakest national teams in European football, with no clean sheets and a goal difference of -14 from just three games. There's no statistical indicator of improvement, and their underlying numbers suggest they'll continue to concede heavily against any side with attacking quality, let alone an in-form Albania looking to continue their own winning form.

Albania vs San Marino - Match Analysis

Why is Albania such a heavy favorite against San Marino?

Albania sit well clear in the standings with a +2.00 points-per-game advantage and have already beaten San Marino 3-0 just days ago. San Marino remain winless and scoreless across their last three matches, conceding 14 goals in the process. The gulf in quality, recent head-to-head form, and home advantage all point firmly toward a dominant Albania performance.

What alternative bets should I consider for Albania vs San Marino?

Since Albania's moneyline odds offer little value at roughly 1.03, consider Albania -2.5 Asian Handicap or Over 2.5 Goals instead. Albania have scored two goals per game this campaign, while San Marino have shipped nearly five per game on average. Both markets better reflect the expected margin of victory while offering improved returns over backing Albania outright.

What's at stake for both teams in this Nations League match?

Albania are fighting for Promotion Play-off positioning in League C Group A, needing continued wins to boost their group standing. San Marino, rooted at the bottom with zero points and a -14 goal difference, are playing simply to avoid further embarrassment and are already facing a 'Possible Degraded' tag, with little realistic hope of climbing the table this campaign.

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