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Žilina won
Hajduk Split head into the second leg of this UEFA Europa League qualifying tie holding a commanding 2-0 advantage from the first meeting, putting Žilina in a difficult position to overturn the deficit. The Croatian side's superior form throughout the tie has been the defining factor, and there is nothing in the latest team news to suggest that trend will reverse in this return fixture.
Žilina will need to be far more aggressive going forward if they are to have any chance of progressing, but doing so could expose them defensively against a Hajduk side that has shown it can capitalize on space. With no fresh injury concerns or tactical surprises reported for either camp, the match profile remains largely unchanged from the first leg, reinforcing Hajduk as clear favourites to see out the aggregate result.
From a betting angle, Hajduk Split to win or progress on aggregate looks the most logical route given their two-goal cushion and consistent output across the tie. Backing Žilina outright carries considerable risk, though a first-half goal or an over 2.5 goals market could appeal if the hosts commit numbers forward early in search of a way back into the tie.
Draw odds may also hold some appeal for value seekers, given Žilina's need to control tempo rather than chase the game recklessly. Overall, the statistical and situational evidence continues to favor Hajduk Split completing the job and advancing to the next round.
Moderate
Strong
Favorable
Low
2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Last 1 head-to-head matchups
These two sides met just one week ago in the first leg, with Hajduk Split winning 2-0 at home. That...
These two sides met just one week ago in the first leg, with Hajduk Split winning 2-0 at home. That result is the only head-to-head meeting in the available data. Hajduk's clean sheet and two-goal cushion give them a decisive advantage heading into this second leg. Žilina must overturn a two-goal deficit — a significant ask given they failed to register a single shot on target in the first encounter.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Europa League matches highlighted
1 of 15 in UEFA Europa League
Form Rating
4/10
Žilina's season has started poorly. They lost the first leg 2-0 in Split, failing to...
Žilina's season has started poorly. They lost the first leg 2-0 in Split, failing to score, and their pre-season friendlies showed a team still finding rhythm — two draws against lower-level opposition and a 2-0 defeat to Dynamo Kyiv. Deeper into the campaign, they suffered back-to-back Super Liga losses to close out the previous season. Their attack has been misfiring at the worst possible time, scoring zero goals in three of their last five competitive and friendly outings. Defensively, they conceded two or more in multiple recent matches, raising serious concerns ahead of a must-attack second leg.
1 of 15 in UEFA Europa League
Form Rating
7.7/10
Hajduk Split arrive in excellent form. The first leg 2-0 win over Žilina was backed...
Hajduk Split arrive in excellent form. The first leg 2-0 win over Žilina was backed by a flawless pre-season run — four wins from four friendlies, including a 4-0 demolition of Shkendija. Their Croatian HNL campaign ended strongly, with big wins over Vukovar and consistent goal-scoring throughout. The only blemishes were defeats to Dinamo Zagreb and NK Osijek, both strong Croatian sides. Hajduk's attack has been prolific and their defensive structure looks solid. Travelling with a two-goal lead, they can afford to sit compact and hit on the break, a tactic that suits their current squad.
Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split - Match Analysis
Hajduk Split carry a 2-0 first-leg lead into this match, meaning they only need to avoid a two-goal defeat to progress. Their pre-season form has been excellent — four wins from four friendlies — and they kept a clean sheet in Split. Bookmakers reflect this with a 42.1% implied win probability. Even playing away, Hajduk's tactical flexibility and aggregate cushion make them the logical favourites to control this tie.
The Double Chance market backing Hajduk Split or Draw is the safest alternative, combining their win and draw probabilities for a combined implied chance of around 69%. Draw No Bet on Hajduk is another strong option, protecting your stake if the game finishes level. Given Žilina's poor scoring form and the low combined goals-per-game rate of 2.0, Under 2.5 Goals is also worth considering as a complementary bet.
It is possible but statistically unlikely. Žilina failed to score in the first leg and have struggled to find the net across recent friendlies and late-season Super Liga matches. Overturning a two-goal deficit requires scoring at least twice without conceding — a tall order against a Hajduk side that has been defensively solid. Home advantage helps, but the quality gap and Hajduk's ability to absorb pressure make a Žilina comeback a long shot at best.
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