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Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha5th in UEFA Europa League (1-1-0)
VS
Lillestrom
Lillestrom23rd in UEFA Europa League (0-1-1)

Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom

Thursday, Oct 15, 2026 · --:--

epet ARENA

Final
Sparta Praha
1–1
Lillestrom

Draw

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom prediction: this UEFA Europa League league-phase clash sees a dominant Czech side at home against a struggling Norwegian outfit. Sparta thrashed Ararat-Armenia 4-1 in their opener and have won eight of their last eleven games across competitions, scoring freely with a dangerous attack.

Lillestrom, by contrast, sit 24th with zero points from their league-stage opener and show inconsistent form domestically, drawing their last Eliteserien game 2-2 against Molde after a string of mixed results. Their away form is particularly thin, with just one away match played this season in this sample.

Sparta's home advantage, superior squad depth despite several injury absences, and a clear scoring edge make them strong favorites. Lillestrom have shown they can score goals but their defensive record away from home raises concerns against a team averaging four goals in its most recent output.

Expect Sparta Praha to control proceedings and secure a comfortable win, with goals likely at both ends given Lillestrom's tendency to concede freely. The bookmaker consensus heavily backs the hosts, and the underlying form and quality gap support that view as the most probable outcome.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Europa League matches highlighted

Sparta Praha

1 of 15 in UEFA Europa League

W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Sparta Praha Form Analysis

Trending

Sparta Praha have been in excellent form, winning eight of their last eleven matches including...

Sparta Praha have been in excellent form, winning eight of their last eleven matches including a commanding 4-1 win over Ararat-Armenia in the Europa League opener. Their attack has been potent, scoring multiple goals in several recent fixtures, while a couple of losses to tougher sides like Slavia Praha and Lyon show vulnerability against elite competition. Several players are missing through injury, including Andersen, Cobbaut, Karabec, and others, thinning squad depth. Despite this, Sparta's attacking options remain strong and they should have enough quality to overpower a weaker Lillestrom side at home.

Lillestrom

3 of 15 in UEFA Europa League

D
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

5/10

Lillestrom Form Analysis

Analysis

Lillestrom have struggled for consistency, with one win, one draw, and one loss across their...

Lillestrom have struggled for consistency, with one win, one draw, and one loss across their recent run, including a damaging 4-1 defeat to Fredrikstad and a 3-0 loss to Viking. They did show fight with a 2-2 draw against Molde most recently, highlighting they can trouble opponents but concede regularly. Their European form includes a loss to Torreense and a draw with Egnatia Rrogozhinë, underlining defensive fragility. With injury concerns over Garnas and Jebara, and a questionable mark on Alperud, Lillestrom's attacking outlet will need to be clinical to avoid being overrun by Sparta's superior quality.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Sparta Praha1-0-0100.0%
Lillestrom1-1-133.3%
Goals Scored
Sparta Praha4
Lillestrom3
Goals Conceded
Sparta Praha1
Lillestrom3

shieldSparta Praha8

  • L. Mbe Soh profile photo

    L. Mbe Soh

    Health problems
    Out
  • E. Cobbaut profile photo

    E. Cobbaut

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • M. Andersen profile photo

    M. Andersen

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Martinec profile photo

    J. Martinec

    Injury
    Out
  • A. Karabec profile photo

    A. Karabec

    Ankle Injury
    Out
L. Mbe SohSparta Praha
E. CobbautSparta Praha
M. AndersenSparta Praha
J. MartinecSparta Praha
A. KarabecSparta Praha
M. RynesSparta Praha
E. UchennaSparta Praha
O. PenxaSparta Praha

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

shieldLillestrom3

  • E. B. Garnas profile photo

    E. B. Garnas

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • C. Jebara profile photo

    C. Jebara

    Injury
    Out
  • L. Alperud profile photo

    L. Alperud

    Injury
    Questionable
E. B. GarnasLillestrom
C. JebaraLillestrom
L. AlperudLillestrom

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Moderate

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Sparta Praha+3
Lillestrom0

Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom - Match Analysis

Why is Sparta Praha strongly favored against Lillestrom?

Sparta Praha carry a massive quality and form edge, sitting 21 places above Lillestrom with a +3.00 points-per-game advantage. Their attacking output has been excellent, highlighted by a 4-1 Europa League win, while Lillestrom have struggled with consistency and currently sit near the bottom of their group with zero points. Combined with home advantage, these factors make Sparta clear favorites heading into this fixture.

What alternative bets should I consider for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

Beyond backing Sparta Praha to win, Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities shown this season. A Sparta Praha Asian Handicap bet could also offer value for those wanting better odds than the moneyline, reflecting confidence in a comfortable home win margin rather than just a narrow victory.

Could Lillestrom cause an upset against Sparta Praha?

An upset looks unlikely given the gulf in current form and table position, but Lillestrom have shown they can score goals, netting in several recent matches including a 2-2 draw with Molde. If Sparta's injury-hit squad struggles defensively, Lillestrom's attacking players could exploit gaps, though their inconsistent away form makes a win or draw a tough ask.

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