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NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen34th in UEFA Europa League (0-0-1)
VS
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia28th in UEFA Europa League (0-0-1)

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia

Thursday, Oct 15, 2026 · --:--

Goffertstadion

Final
NEC Nijmegen
1–1
Levski Sofia

Draw

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

NEC Nijmegen host Levski Sofia at the Goffertstadion in a UEFA Europa League League Stage clash between two sides searching for their first points. This NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction leans toward the home side, with bookmakers installing NEC Nijmegen as favorites at an implied 50.4% probability.

NEC's domestic form has been shaky, drawing with Ajax and GO Ahead Eagles either side of a heavy 5-0 Europa League defeat to Juventus. Defensive fragility is the standout concern, having shipped five goals in their only European outing this campaign. Numerous injury absences, including Nuytinck and Sandler, compound the uncertainty at the back.

Levski Sofia arrive off a confident 2-0 domestic win but were beaten 1-0 at home by Red Bull Salzburg in their Europa League opener. Their away form in this competition is untested, and traveling to the Netherlands against a wounded but home-supported NEC side is a tough ask.

With no recent head-to-head meetings on record, this is effectively a fresh contest decided by current form and home advantage. NEC's suspect defense makes a clean NEC win less certain than the odds suggest, but home advantage and Levski's own defensive solidity (just one goal conceded) point toward a tight, low-scoring affair. Expect NEC Nijmegen to edge it, though a draw remains a live outcome given both sides' struggles to score.

Key Factors

Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Europa League matches highlighted

NEC Nijmegen

1 of 15 in UEFA Europa League

D
D
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
D
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

NEC Nijmegen Form Analysis

Trending

NEC Nijmegen have won just one of their last six matches across competitions, drawing twice...

NEC Nijmegen have won just one of their last six matches across competitions, drawing twice and losing three, including a chastening 5-0 defeat to Juventus in their Europa League opener. Goals have dried up at home recently, with draws against Ajax and GO Ahead Eagles showing defensive solidity in the league but little attacking spark. The main concern is a thin squad, with seven players sidelined including key contributors Nuytinck and Mor. Four rest days and a congested fixture schedule with four matches in two weeks add further fatigue risk. NEC will need a response at home after that European mauling, but confidence looks fragile heading into this contest.

Levski Sofia

1 of 15 in UEFA Europa League

W
D
L
D
L
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

7/10

Levski Sofia Form Analysis

Analysis

Levski Sofia go into this match off the back of a routine 2-0 domestic win...

Levski Sofia go into this match off the back of a routine 2-0 domestic win over Cherno More Varna, continuing a solid run that includes multiple clean sheets and comfortable victories in Bulgaria's First League. Their Europa League opener saw them narrowly lose 1-0 at home to Red Bull Salzburg, showing defensive resilience against a tougher continental opponent. Six players are missing through injury or squad omissions, which could weaken their away threat. Levski's away form in Europe is entirely untested this season, and traveling to Nijmegen represents a genuine step up in quality compared to their domestic schedule.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
NEC Nijmegen0-0-10.0%
Levski Sofia0-0-10.0%
Goals Scored
NEC Nijmegen0
Levski Sofia0
Goals Conceded
NEC Nijmegen5
Levski Sofia1

shieldNEC Nijmegen8

  • P. Sandler profile photo

    P. Sandler

    Injury
    Out
  • D. Geiger profile photo

    D. Geiger

    Inactive
    Questionable
  • B. Nuytinck profile photo

    B. Nuytinck

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • K. Sierhuis profile photo

    K. Sierhuis

    Inactive
    Questionable
  • E. Mor profile photo

    E. Mor

    Groin Injury
    Out
P. SandlerNEC Nijmegen
D. GeigerNEC Nijmegen
B. NuytinckNEC Nijmegen
K. SierhuisNEC Nijmegen
E. MorNEC Nijmegen
I. Hansen-AaroenNEC Nijmegen
A. ThomasNEC Nijmegen
A. TahauiNEC Nijmegen

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

shieldLevski Sofia6

  • R. Kirilov profile photo

    R. Kirilov

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • P. Hristov profile photo

    P. Hristov

    Off the roster
    Out
  • N. Serafimov profile photo

    N. Serafimov

    Elbow Injury
    Out
  • M. Sangare profile photo

    M. Sangare

    Off the roster
    Out
  • O. Kamdem profile photo

    O. Kamdem

    Off the roster
    Out
R. KirilovLevski Sofia
P. HristovLevski Sofia
N. SerafimovLevski Sofia
M. SangareLevski Sofia
O. KamdemLevski Sofia
A. BourasLevski Sofia

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Moderate

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
NEC Nijmegen-5
Levski Sofia-1

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia - Match Analysis

Why is NEC Nijmegen only a modest favorite against Levski Sofia?

Despite home advantage, NEC Nijmegen conceded five goals in their Europa League opener against Juventus and have won just one of their last six matches. Numerous injuries, including defensive absences, add further uncertainty. Levski Sofia, while also winless in Europe this term, have shown defensive solidity domestically, conceding only once in their European opener, which keeps the market close rather than heavily one-sided toward NEC.

What alternative bets should I consider for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

Under 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' struggles in front of goal this season, while Draw No Bet: NEC Nijmegen offers protection against a stalemate for bettors wary of backing the outright win. These alternative markets better reflect the tactical, cagey nature expected from two sides still searching for their first Europa League points this campaign.

What are the stakes of this game for both teams in the Europa League?

Both NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia sit pointless after one matchday, occupying the bottom tier of the 36-team league phase. A win here is crucial for either side to build momentum toward the playoff qualification places. Falling further behind risks an uphill battle to reach the knockout rounds, making early points in this unglamorous but pivotal fixture highly valuable for both clubs' European ambitions.

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