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Lotto Park
Anderlecht won
Anderlecht vs PAOK prediction: this Europa League qualifying return leg is finely poised after Anderlecht claimed a narrow 1-0 win in Thessaloniki. That result puts PAOK in the position of needing to attack at Lotto Park, while Anderlecht can play a more controlled game knowing a draw sends them through.
Anderlecht arrive unbeaten in their last three, including that away win over PAOK and a comfortable domestic victory over RAAL La Louvière. Their attack has clicked in Europe, netting five goals across three matches while conceding just two. PAOK, despite the first-leg loss, remain dangerous going forward and have scored freely in their own European fixtures, but they must now chase the tie.
The aggregate scoreline shifts the tactical picture significantly. PAOK's need to attack should open space for Anderlecht to counter, while Anderlecht's game management approach at home, protecting a lead, suggests a tight, cagey affair is likely with goals at a premium early before PAOK commit more numbers forward.
Bookmakers still lean toward PAOK overall, but that price reflects the aggregate tie rather than a single-match view. Given Anderlecht's home advantage, their first-leg win, and PAOK's obligation to press forward, expect a competitive match where Anderlecht's tactical discipline and away-leg momentum make them a solid pick to progress, even if the away side edges the single match on paper.
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2026/2027 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Last 1 head-to-head matchups
The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in this very tie's first leg on August...
The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in this very tie's first leg on August 6, 2026, when Anderlecht won 1-0 away at PAOK. That result gives the Belgian side a slender aggregate advantage heading into the second leg at Lotto Park. With no prior history beyond this tie, the sample is limited, but the pattern is clear: Anderlecht have shown they can contain PAOK's attack and find a way to score against them.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Europa League matches highlighted
3 of 15 in UEFA Europa League
Form Rating
6.3/10
Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last three matches, winning two and drawing one, and they've...
Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last three matches, winning two and drawing one, and they've scored five goals while conceding only two in that span. Their most recent result, a 2-1 win over RAAL La Louvière, followed the crucial 1-0 away win over PAOK in the first leg. The clean sheet away at PAOK is a strong defensive marker heading into this second leg. With four days' rest and low fixture congestion, fatigue shouldn't be a major factor. Anderlecht will look to control tempo and protect their aggregate lead rather than chase an open game.
3 of 15 in UEFA Europa League
Form Rating
5.3/10
PAOK have won two of their last three, but the one loss came in the...
PAOK have won two of their last three, but the one loss came in the first leg against Anderlecht, leaving them with work to do in this tie. They've scored five and conceded three across their last three matches, showing they can find the net but also leak goals at the back. PAOK enjoyed six days' rest before this match, more recovery time than their opponents, and face low fixture congestion. Their attacking players will need to step up immediately, given they must overturn a one-goal deficit on the road against a well-organized Anderlecht side.
Anderlecht vs PAOK - Match Analysis
PAOK lost the first leg 1-0 away at Anderlecht, meaning they're currently trailing on aggregate. To progress, PAOK need to win outright or draw by scoring enough to overturn that deficit via away goals rules or aggregate scoring. This forces them into a more attacking approach at Lotto Park, potentially leaving space at the back for Anderlecht to exploit on the counter-attack.
Given the high combined goals per game (3.34) and both teams' recent scoring records, Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score are strong alternative markets. For safer exposure to Anderlecht's tie advantage, Draw No Bet on Anderlecht hedges against a stalemate while still backing their overall position. These markets suit PAOK's need to attack and Anderlecht's counter-attacking threat.
This is a Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round second leg, with a place in the next qualifying stage on the line. Anderlecht can advance with a draw or narrow loss thanks to their first-leg win, while PAOK must win by enough to overturn the aggregate deficit. It's a knockout-style stakes battle where one bad moment could end either side's European campaign.
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