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Napoli
Napoli32nd in UEFA Champions League (0-0-2)
VS
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt24th in UEFA Champions League (1-0-1)

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt

Tuesday, Oct 20, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

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AI Confidence: 40%
Napoli40%Draw 24%Bodo/Glimt36%

AI Predicted Winner

Napoli

40%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction: this Champions League league-stage clash at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona pits two teams with contrasting continental form. Napoli sit bottom of the standings in this phase, winless through their opening two games and having lost both, including a 1-3 defeat to Villarreal. Their underlying numbers are alarming for a European heavyweight — just one goal scored and four conceded across two matches.

Bodo/Glimt arrive with far stronger momentum. The Norwegian champions have won three of their last five across competitions, including a 3-1 league win last time out, though their continental form features a heavy 0-5 defeat to Bayern München. Their away record this season shows one win, one draw and one loss, underlining they are capable of competing on the road.

Napoli's home advantage and squad depth should matter, but a long injury list — including Anguissa, Olivera and Alisson's deputy Alisson Santos — is hurting their defensive structure at a poor time. Bodo/Glimt's attacking numbers (2.4 goals per game) and willingness to play on the front foot suggest goals at both ends are likely.

Given Napoli's dismal start and Bodo's attacking threat, this looks like a tight, high-scoring contest with no dominant favorite. A narrow home win remains the slight lean, but value exists in backing goals over a clean Napoli victory.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Moderate

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Napoli0-0-20.0%
Bodo/Glimt4-1-166.7%
Goals Scored
Napoli1
Bodo/Glimt13
Goals Conceded
Napoli4
Bodo/Glimt11
Goal Difference
Napoli-3
Bodo/Glimt+2

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Champions League matches highlighted

Napoli

2 of 15 in UEFA Champions League

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Form Rating

6/10

Napoli Form Analysis

Trending

Napoli have endured a troubling start to this Champions League campaign, losing both opening fixtures...

Napoli have endured a troubling start to this Champions League campaign, losing both opening fixtures and managing just one goal in the process. Domestically they've shown signs of life, beating Bologna and Genoa, but the continental form — including a 0-1 home loss to Arsenal and a 1-3 away defeat to Villarreal — paints a worrying picture. The defense has been especially porous, conceding four goals in two European outings. A lengthy injury list hits midfield and defense hardest, with Anguissa, Olivera and backup goalkeeper Alisson Santos all sidelined. Napoli need a reaction at home to avoid an early exit threat from this group.

Bodo/Glimt

6 of 15 in UEFA Champions League

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Form Rating

8.3/10

Bodo/Glimt Form Analysis

Analysis

Bodo/Glimt head into Naples full of confidence, having won three of their last five matches,...

Bodo/Glimt head into Naples full of confidence, having won three of their last five matches, including a comfortable 3-1 Eliteserien win and a cup rout. Their only UEFA setback this season was a heavy 0-5 loss to Bayern München, but earlier European results showed real quality, including back-to-back wins over NEC Nijmegen and a draw with Union St. Gilloise. Averaging 2.4 goals per game, they are not shy going forward, though their defense has also conceded freely. Several squad injuries, including Riisnaes and Evjen, test their depth, but their attacking identity remains intact heading into this away test.

shieldNapoli7

  • F. Anguissa profile photo

    F. Anguissa

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • A. Buongiorno profile photo

    A. Buongiorno

    Jumpers Knee
    Out
  • M. Olivera profile photo

    M. Olivera

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • Alisson Santos profile photo

    Alisson Santos

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • A. Vergara profile photo

    A. Vergara

    Calf Injury
    Out
F. AnguissaNapoli
A. BuongiornoNapoli
M. OliveraNapoli
Alisson SantosNapoli
A. VergaraNapoli
C. FavasuliNapoli
L. MarianucciNapoli

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldBodo/Glimt6

  • H. Evjen profile photo

    H. Evjen

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • O. L. Bjortuft profile photo

    O. L. Bjortuft

    Red Card
    Out
  • J. Kitolano profile photo

    J. Kitolano

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Mikkelsen profile photo

    A. Mikkelsen

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • M. Riisnaes profile photo

    M. Riisnaes

    Knee Injury
    Out
H. EvjenBodo/Glimt
O. L. BjortuftBodo/Glimt
J. KitolanoBodo/Glimt
A. MikkelsenBodo/Glimt
M. RiisnaesBodo/Glimt
I. SjongBodo/Glimt

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt - Match Analysis

Why isn't Napoli a stronger favorite despite home advantage?

Napoli's Champions League form has been poor, with two losses from two games and just one goal scored. Key injuries to Anguissa, Olivera, and backup goalkeeper Alisson Santos have hurt their defensive stability. While home advantage at the Maradona typically helps, their current statistical profile — conceding two goals per game — significantly narrows the gap against a confident Bodo/Glimt side.

What alternative bets should I consider for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Over 2.5 Goals is the standout alternative given both teams' leaky defenses and combined 2.9 goals per game average. Both Teams to Score also has strong backing from each side's attacking and defensive trends. For risk-averse bettors wary of Napoli's current form, Draw No Bet: Bodo/Glimt offers protection against a surprise away win without the added draw variable.

How does recent form affect this Champions League prediction?

Napoli's back-to-back European losses and inconsistent domestic form are major red flags, while Bodo/Glimt arrive having won three of their last five matches across competitions. This form gap, combined with Napoli's growing injury list, somewhat offsets home advantage and supports expecting a close, goal-heavy contest rather than a routine home win.

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