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Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
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Levski Sofia
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Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova prediction: this Champions League second qualifying round first leg pits two in-form sides against each other at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov. Both clubs arrive unbeaten in their opening European ties this summer, and both boast identical underlying numbers — 2.5 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game across their last two matches.
Levski thrashed Borac Banja Luka 4-0 at home before drawing the away leg, showing they can be ruthless in front of their own fans. Craiova have been even sharper, winning both Champions League qualifying matches against ML Vitebsk, including a 4-1 away romp, while also picking up domestic silverware momentum with a Supercupa draw.
No recent head-to-head meetings exist between these two clubs, so this tie will be shaped purely by current form and home advantage. With the away leg in Craiova just a week later, Levski will want to build a cushion here rather than settle for a stalemate.
Given the tight statistical mirror between both sides, this looks like one of the closer first legs of the round. Levski's home scoring form and Vivacom Arena advantage give them a slight edge, but Craiova's perfect record and free-scoring away form make this anything but straightforward. Expect goals at both ends, with Levski narrowly favored to edge the opening leg.
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2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Champions League matches highlighted
2 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
7.3/10
Levski Sofia have been electric going forward, scoring five goals and conceding just once across...
Levski Sofia have been electric going forward, scoring five goals and conceding just once across their last two Champions League qualifying matches. The 4-0 home demolition of Borac Banja Luka underlines a potent attack, while the away draw showed defensive discipline on the road. Across a wider run including friendlies and league fixtures, Levski have lost only once in fifteen outings, with six wins and a clean sheet in this stretch. Fixture congestion is a concern with four matches inside 14 days, but six days' rest before this tie leaves them fresh. Their home record this season is perfect — one match, one win — making Vivacom Arena a genuine advantage in this qualifier.
2 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
8.3/10
Universitatea Craiova arrive unbeaten in their last two competitive fixtures, both Champions League wins over...
Universitatea Craiova arrive unbeaten in their last two competitive fixtures, both Champions League wins over ML Vitebsk, including an emphatic 4-1 away victory. Their underlying numbers mirror Levski's exactly — 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game — and they've kept a clean sheet in this run. Looking at their broader 2026 form, Craiova have lost just once in fifteen matches, showing consistency across domestic cup, league, and European competition. Their away form this season is spotless, with one match played and won. High fixture congestion with four games in 14 days and five days' rest are worth monitoring, but their scoring form on the road makes them a real threat in this first leg.
Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova - Match Analysis
Levski hold home advantage and a perfect home record this season, but Craiova match them stat-for-stat with 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game of their own, plus a flawless away record. With no head-to-head history to lean on, the two sides look genuinely evenly matched, which is why Levski's edge is marginal rather than commanding heading into this Champions League qualifying first leg.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' combined 5.0 goals-per-game rate in recent matches. Both Teams to Score is another strong option since each side has scored freely while also keeping clean sheets recently. For safer coverage on the match result, Draw No Bet: Levski Sofia hedges against a drawn first leg while still backing the home side's slight edge.
This is the first leg of a two-game Champions League second qualifying round tie, with the return match in Craiova a week later. A strong result here — ideally a lead to protect — would give either side control heading into the decisive second leg. Neither team wants to concede an away goal or fall behind before traveling for the return fixture.
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