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Dinamo Zagreb won
Kauno Žalgiris host Dinamo Zagreb in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League qualifying tie with the Croatian side holding a commanding 5-0 advantage from the first meeting. That scoreline has effectively decided the outcome before kickoff, leaving the Lithuanian champions needing an implausible turnaround to progress.
Form supports Dinamo's dominance beyond just the aggregate score. Zagreb's points-per-game average of 2.33 comfortably outstrips Žalgiris's 1.6, reflecting a gap in quality and consistency that has been evident throughout the tie. There are no confirmed injuries or suspensions on either side that would meaningfully shift the balance, and Stojakovic's minor knock for Dinamo is unlikely to affect squad depth given the cushion they already hold.
With such a significant first-leg deficit, Žalgiris are likely to be more expansive at home in search of goals, which could open space for Dinamo to counter and add to their tally. Bookmakers price Dinamo Zagreb around 66-67% to seal qualification, a figure well aligned with the underlying form and scoreline context.
For bettors, backing Dinamo Zagreb to win or advance offers the most value-consistent angle given the first-leg gap, though those seeking alternative markets might consider over/under goals or Dinamo to win either half, given Žalgiris's likely attacking approach from the opening whistle.
Last 1 head-to-head matchups
The only meeting between these sides in the past two years came just one week ago in the first leg...
The only meeting between these sides in the past two years came just one week ago in the first leg of this Champions League qualifying tie, where Dinamo Zagreb demolished Kauno Žalgiris 5-0 in Zagreb. That result has effectively ended the contest as a genuine two-legged battle. With such a dominant first-leg performance, Dinamo enter the return fixture with total control of the aggregate scoreline and little pressure to repeat that scoring outburst.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Champions League matches highlighted
5 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
6.3/10
Kauno Žalgiris have picked up two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last...
Kauno Žalgiris have picked up two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, but their Champions League campaign has been exposed by the gulf in class against Dinamo. They average just 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game, with two clean sheets but also two matches without scoring. Domestically, they beat Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 most recently, showing some attacking spark in the league. Their home form is respectable (one win, one draw from two), but replicating that against a side of Dinamo's caliber, especially after a 5-0 first-leg defeat, looks highly unlikely.
3 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
8.7/10
Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last three matches, winning two and drawing one, while...
Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last three matches, winning two and drawing one, while scoring nine goals and conceding only three. Their 5-0 demolition of Žalgiris in the first leg underlined their attacking firepower, and they followed it up with a comfortable 2-0 win over Slaven Belupo domestically. Averaging 3.0 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game recently, Dinamo look sharp on both ends of the pitch. With the tie essentially wrapped up, expect a measured approach, but their squad depth and attacking quality should ensure control throughout.
2026/2027 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
Low
Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb - Match Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb won the first leg 5-0, putting the tie beyond realistic doubt. Combined with their superior recent form, unbeaten in three with nine goals scored and just three conceded, and Žalgiris's leaky defense conceding 1.6 goals per game, the data overwhelmingly favors Dinamo. Bookmakers price them at 67.1% implied probability, reflecting the clear gap in quality between the two sides heading into this second leg.
It's highly unlikely given the 5-0 first-leg deficit, but Žalgiris do have a decent home record, winning one and drawing one of two home matches recently. Playing in Kaunas with nothing to lose could bring some energy, and Dinamo may rotate their squad with qualification already secure. Still, overturning a five-goal gap against a side of Dinamo's caliber would be a major shock.
Draw No Bet: Dinamo Zagreb offers strong value given the tie is essentially decided, protecting against a shock draw while still capturing Dinamo's quality edge. Under 2.5 goals is also worth considering since Dinamo may manage the game conservatively with qualification already secured, rather than chasing another high-scoring performance like the first leg.
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