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Almaty Central Stadium
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AI Predicted Winner
Kairat Almaty
52%
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Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska prediction: two clubs from contrasting football cultures collide in the UEFA Champions League 1st Qualifying Round, with the first leg taking place at Almaty Central Stadium on July 8.
Kairat are Kazakhstan's most storied club and enter this tie in strong domestic form, winning three of their last four Premier League fixtures and scoring freely throughout. Their attacking output in recent weeks has been impressive, netting ten goals across three consecutive wins. Home advantage in Almaty is a genuine factor — the altitude and travel demands place a real burden on visiting European sides.
Sutjeska arrive from Montenegro's First League, where they finished their season with mixed results. Their two pre-tournament friendlies ended in defeats, raising questions about their readiness for competitive action. The Montenegrin champions are no strangers to European qualifying, but the trip to Central Asia presents unique logistical challenges.
No head-to-head data exists between these clubs, and no league standings are available for this qualifying round. Relying on recent form and home advantage, Kairat look the stronger side on paper. Their attacking momentum and the psychological edge of playing at home in front of their own supporters should prove decisive. Sutjeska's poor pre-season form adds further doubt about their ability to contain a free-scoring Kairat side. A home win is the primary prediction, with Kairat expected to control proceedings and convert their chances.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Champions League matches highlighted
0 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
7/10
Kairat Almaty have been in excellent domestic form heading into this tie, winning three consecutive...
Kairat Almaty have been in excellent domestic form heading into this tie, winning three consecutive Premier League matches and scoring ten goals across those games. Their most recent results — a 3-1 win away at Okzhetpes and a 4-2 victory at Kyzyl-Zhar — demonstrate a potent attacking unit comfortable scoring on the road as well as at home. Prior to that run, they drew twice and lost once, suggesting some inconsistency, but the current momentum is firmly positive. No statistical season data is available for this competition, but their recent output points to a confident, goal-hungry side well-suited to a home European qualifier.
0 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
6.3/10
Sutjeska's preparation for this tie raises genuine concerns. Their two most recent matches were pre-season...
Sutjeska's preparation for this tie raises genuine concerns. Their two most recent matches were pre-season friendlies, both ending in 1-0 defeats — against Mornar and Borac Banja Luka. Before those friendlies, their domestic season ended on a sour note with a 3-1 home loss to Jedinstvo. Their earlier league form was more encouraging, with several wins in spring, but the gap between their last competitive victory and this qualifier is significant. The long journey to Almaty, combined with below-par friendly results, suggests Sutjeska may struggle to match Kairat's current sharpness and intensity.
2026 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska - Match Analysis
Kairat enter this tie on the back of three straight wins in the Kazakh Premier League, scoring ten goals in that run. They play at home in Almaty, where the altitude and long travel distance create a genuine disadvantage for visiting European sides. Sutjeska, meanwhile, lost both pre-tournament friendlies and face a gruelling journey to Central Asia. The combination of form, home advantage, and Sutjeska's poor preparation makes Kairat the clear favourite for the first leg.
Over 2.5 Goals is the standout alternative market. Kairat have been prolific recently, and Sutjeska's defence looked shaky in pre-season. A free-scoring home performance is a realistic outcome. Draw No Bet: Kairat Almaty is also worth considering — it covers the home win while eliminating draw risk, offering a slightly safer return. Both markets suit bettors who believe in Kairat's attacking quality but want some protection against a tight, cagey qualifier.
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Travelling to Almaty from Montenegro is one of the more demanding trips in European qualifying. The distance, time zone difference, and altitude of Kazakhstan's largest city can significantly affect a squad's physical readiness and sharpness. Sutjeska have had limited preparation time, with only two friendlies — both losses — since their domestic season ended. These logistical challenges compound their already uncertain form and make it harder to see them performing at their best in this first leg.
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