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Stadion Maksimir
2–2 after 90 mins — 1X2 settles as Draw
Dinamo Zagreb won in extra time
Dinamo Zagreb host FC Thun in the second leg of this UEFA Champions League qualifying tie with the aggregate score level after a 1-1 draw in the first leg. That result puts extra weight on home advantage, and Zagreb's record in front of their own fans makes them the clear favorites to progress. No injuries, suspensions, or tactical changes have emerged for either side, so the tie should play out on current form and matchup dynamics rather than external disruption.
Dinamo's ability to control possession and create chances at home is the key statistical driver behind this prediction. Thun have shown they can compete away from home, evidenced by the drawn first leg, but sustaining that level in a hostile away environment against a technically superior side is a tougher ask over 90 minutes. Warm, dry conditions in Zagreb are expected, removing weather as a variable and favoring open, attacking football that should suit the hosts.
Bookmaker odds continue to anchor this outlook, with the market strongly favoring a home win. At 62% for Dinamo Zagreb, 26% for a draw, and just 12% for a Thun win, the numbers reflect a tie that is likely to be settled by Zagreb's superior quality rather than a shock upset.
For bettors, backing Dinamo Zagreb to win in regulation offers value given the aggregate scoreline and home-field edge, while a low-scoring margin bet could appeal to those wary of a cagey, tactical second leg.
Last 1 head-to-head matchups
These two sides have met only once in the last two years, in the first leg of this very Champions...
These two sides have met only once in the last two years, in the first leg of this very Champions League qualifying tie on July 21, 2026, which ended 1-1 in Thun. That result means the aggregate score is currently level heading into this second leg. With no historical pattern beyond this single meeting, the tie is essentially a fresh contest, though the shared draw suggests both teams can trouble each other defensively.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Champions League matches highlighted
1 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
8.7/10
Dinamo Zagreb enter on a strong run, unbeaten in nine of their last ten matches...
Dinamo Zagreb enter on a strong run, unbeaten in nine of their last ten matches across all competitions, including a 4-1 league win over Hajduk Split and a 6-3 cup victory over Gorica. Their only blemish recently was the 1-1 first-leg draw at Thun. Dinamo have scored heavily in domestic and friendly fixtures, though they managed just one goal in the reverse fixture. With six days' rest and low fatigue risk, they should be fresh for this decisive home leg at Stadion Maksimir, where crowd support adds further advantage.
1 of 15 in UEFA Champions League
Form Rating
4.3/10
FC Thun head into this second leg with genuine momentum, having beaten Luzern 3-1 in...
FC Thun head into this second leg with genuine momentum, having beaten Luzern 3-1 in the Swiss Super League just three days before traveling to Zagreb. They also secured a credible 1-1 draw against Dinamo in the first leg. However, only two days' rest puts them in the high fatigue-risk category, a real concern against a fresher opponent. Thun's broader recent form has been mixed, with several league losses earlier in the year, but their attacking output when in rhythm — six goals against Neuchatel Xamax in one friendly — shows they carry a goal threat even away from home.
2026/2027 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Moderate
Moderate
Unfavorable
Low
Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun - Match Analysis
Dinamo hold home advantage in this level tie and enter with six days of rest compared to Thun's two, following a midweek Swiss league fixture. Dinamo's broader form has been excellent, winning nine of twelve recent matches across competitions. Bookmakers see the combination of fresher legs, home support at Maksimir, and superior overall form as decisive, even though the first leg ended level in Switzerland.
Thun already proved they can match Dinamo, drawing 1-1 in the first leg, and they arrive full of confidence after beating Luzern 3-1 domestically. Away goals in a level tie carry weight, so a single Thun strike would put real pressure on Dinamo. Fatigue from their quick turnaround is a genuine risk, but Thun's attacking spells this season show they can punish space on the counter.
Draw No Bet: Dinamo Zagreb is the standout alternative, offering insurance against another stalemate while still backing the home win. Under 2.5 Goals also fits, given the low combined scoring rate between these sides in their only meeting. Both markets suit a tightly poised knockout tie where one moment of quality, not open attacking football, is likely to decide progression.
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