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Ajax
Ajax32nd in UEFA Champions League (2-0-5)
VS
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus24th in UEFA Champions League (2-2-3)

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Wednesday, Jan 28, 2026 · --:--

Johan Cruijff Arena

Final
Ajax
1–2
Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction centers on a crucial Champions League clash at the Johan Cruijff Arena. This UEFA Champions League preview highlights two teams in contrasting positions - Ajax languishing at 32nd with just 6 points from 7 games, while Olympiakos sits 24th with 8 points. Ajax's recent form shows promise with consecutive wins over Villarreal and Qarabag in Europe, plus domestic victories against Volendam and Feyenoord. However, their home Champions League record remains poor with zero wins from three attempts. Olympiakos arrives with mixed form but crucial away victories over Kairat Almaty and Atromitos. Key injuries plague both sides - Ajax missing defender Ko Itakura and questioning Steven Berghuis's fitness, while Olympiakos lacks striker Roman Yaremchuk and goalkeeper Alexandros Paschalakis. Our expert picks favor Ajax's home advantage and recent momentum, making this one of today's football tips with genuine value despite their European struggles.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 1 head-to-head matchups

Ajax (1)Olympiakos Piraeus (0)
Jul 19, 24
(H)Ajax1 - 0Olympiakos Piraeus(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters are limited, with only one meeting in the last two years - a 1-0 Ajax victory in...

Recent head-to-head encounters are limited, with only one meeting in the last two years - a 1-0 Ajax victory in a July 2024 friendly in Driel. This narrow sample provides minimal insight into competitive dynamics between these sides. Ajax dominated possession and created the decisive moment, but friendlies rarely reflect true competitive intensity. Both teams have evolved significantly since that encounter, making historical patterns less relevant for this Champions League showdown.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsUEFA Champions League matches highlighted

Ajax

3 of 15 in UEFA Champions League

W
W
D
L
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Ajax Form Analysis

Trending

Ajax's recent form tells a tale of European resurgence amid domestic inconsistency. Their Champions League...

Ajax's recent form tells a tale of European resurgence amid domestic inconsistency. Their Champions League campaign has been disastrous at home with three consecutive defeats, but away victories over Villarreal (2-1) and Qarabag (4-2) demonstrate their attacking potential. Domestically, they've shown character with wins over rivals Feyenoord (2-0) and a comeback victory at Telstar (3-2). The 6-0 cup defeat to AZ Alkmaar remains concerning, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Key absences include Ko Itakura's injury and Steven Berghuis's groin problem, potentially weakening their midfield creativity. Brian Brobbey has emerged as their main attacking threat, while the defense remains their Achilles heel with poor home European form.

Olympiakos Piraeus

3 of 15 in UEFA Champions League

W
W
L
W
W
D
W
D
W
W
W
W
L
W
W

Form Rating

8/10

Olympiakos Piraeus Form Analysis

Analysis

Olympiakos arrives with contrasting domestic and European form patterns. Their Champions League campaign shows resilience...

Olympiakos arrives with contrasting domestic and European form patterns. Their Champions League campaign shows resilience with crucial away wins over Kairat Almaty (1-0) and a stunning 2-0 victory over Bayer Leverkusen at home. However, they suffered a heavy 4-3 defeat to Real Madrid despite taking the lead. Domestically, they're performing well with recent wins over Volos (1-0) and Atromitos (2-0), plus a Super Cup triumph. The PAOK cup defeat (2-0) was their only recent setback. Major injury concerns include striker Roman Yaremchuk and goalkeeper Alexandros Paschalakis, both ruled out with calf injuries. Their away European record shows they can compete at this level, making them dangerous opponents despite Ajax's home advantage.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Ajax2-0-528.6%
Olympiakos Piraeus2-2-328.6%
Goals Scored
Ajax7
Olympiakos Piraeus8
Goals Conceded
Ajax19
Olympiakos Piraeus13

shieldAjax3

  • S. Berghuis profile photo

    S. Berghuis

    Groin Injury
    Questionable
  • K. Itakura profile photo

    K. Itakura

    Injury
    Out
  • M. Ibrahimovic profile photo

    M. Ibrahimovic

    Inactive
    Out
S. BerghuisAjax
K. ItakuraAjax
M. IbrahimovicAjax

shieldOlympiakos Piraeus7

  • A. Paschalakis profile photo

    A. Paschalakis

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • R. Yaremchuk profile photo

    R. Yaremchuk

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • R. Vezo profile photo

    R. Vezo

    Inactive
    Out
  • Y. Yazici profile photo

    Y. Yazici

    Inactive
    Out
  • T. Bakoulas profile photo

    T. Bakoulas

    Knee Injury
    Out
A. PaschalakisOlympiakos Piraeus
R. YaremchukOlympiakos Piraeus
R. VezoOlympiakos Piraeus
Y. YaziciOlympiakos Piraeus
T. BakoulasOlympiakos Piraeus
K. AngelakisOlympiakos Piraeus
Gustavo ManchaOlympiakos Piraeus

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

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Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Ajax-12
Olympiakos Piraeus-5

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus - Match Analysis

Why is Ajax favored despite their poor home Champions League record?

Ajax's recent away form in Europe has been impressive with wins over Villarreal and Qarabag, suggesting their attacking quality is finally clicking. Their domestic victories over Feyenoord and strong performances indicate potential for home improvement. The desperate need for points, combined with home crowd support and Olympiakos's key injuries, creates favorable conditions for Ajax to break their home European duck.

What alternative bets should I consider for Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' recent high-scoring matches and defensive vulnerabilities. Both Teams to Score is another strong option, as Ajax's attacking improvement meets Olympiakos's away goal-scoring record. Draw No Bet on Ajax provides insurance against their inconsistency while capitalizing on home advantage and recent momentum.

How do the injury lists affect this Champions League prediction?

Olympiakos faces more significant absences with striker Roman Yaremchuk and goalkeeper Alexandros Paschalakis both ruled out through injury. Ajax only questions Steven Berghuis's fitness with a groin problem, while Ko Itakura remains sidelined. These absences weaken Olympiakos's attacking threat and defensive stability, potentially giving Ajax the edge in a crucial encounter where both teams need points.

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