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Udinese
Udinese12th in Serie A (9-5-12)
VS
Fiorentina
Fiorentina16th in Serie A (5-9-12)

Udinese vs Fiorentina

Monday, Mar 2, 2026 · --:--

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Final
Udinese
3–0
Fiorentina

Udinese won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Udinese vs Fiorentina prediction centers on a closely contested Serie A preview where the bookmaker consensus slightly favors the visitors. Udinese sits 12th with 32 points, four places above 16th-placed Fiorentina (24 points), creating an intriguing dynamic where the home team holds a superior league position despite recent struggles. The Bianconeri have shown resilience at home this season, securing notable victories over Roma and Napoli at the Bluenergy Stadium, while their recent form includes two wins from five matches. Fiorentina arrives in poor league form, winning just five of 26 matches this season, though they've shown glimpses of quality with a recent away victory at Como. Key injuries impact both sides, with Udinese missing defender Solet and fullback Zanoli, while Fiorentina lacks suspended right-back Dodo and injured winger Lamptey. The market-implied probabilities suggest a tight encounter with minimal separation between all three outcomes. Our expert picks identify this as a classic mid-table clash where home advantage could prove decisive, making this an ideal match for football tips today focused on value betting opportunities.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Udinese (4)Draws (1)Fiorentina (5)
Dec 21, 25
(H)Fiorentina5 - 1Udinese(A)
H
May 25, 25
(H)Udinese2 - 3Fiorentina(A)
A
Dec 23, 24
(H)Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese(A)
A
Jan 14, 24
(H)Fiorentina2 - 2Udinese(A)
D
Sep 24, 23
(H)Udinese0 - 2Fiorentina(A)
A
May 14, 23
(H)Fiorentina2 - 0Udinese(A)
H
Aug 31, 22
(H)Udinese1 - 0Fiorentina(A)
H
Apr 27, 22
(H)Fiorentina0 - 4Udinese(A)
A
Sep 26, 21
(H)Udinese0 - 1Fiorentina(A)
A
Feb 28, 21
(H)Udinese1 - 0Fiorentina(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters heavily favor Fiorentina, who demolished Udinese 5-1 in their last meeting at the Artemio Franchi in December 2025....

Recent encounters heavily favor Fiorentina, who demolished Udinese 5-1 in their last meeting at the Artemio Franchi in December 2025. The Viola dominated that fixture with a devastating first-half display, racing to a 3-0 halftime lead. However, head-to-head records from the past two years show a more balanced picture, with Fiorentina winning twice and the teams drawing once in three meetings. Udinese's home record against Fiorentina remains competitive, suggesting the venue change could level the playing field significantly.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Udinese

14 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
L
W
W
L
D
W
L
D
L
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

4/10

Udinese Form Analysis

Trending

Udinese's recent form shows two wins from their last five matches, including impressive home victories...

Udinese's recent form shows two wins from their last five matches, including impressive home victories over Roma (1-0) and a stunning 3-1 away win at Verona. The Bianconeri have proven particularly resilient at the Bluenergy Stadium, where they've secured crucial points against top-four opposition. Their attacking output remains modest at 1.08 goals per game, but they've shown defensive solidity in key moments. Lorenzo Lucca has emerged as their primary goal threat, while midfielder Sandi Lovric provides creativity from deep. The absence of defender Solet and fullback Zanoli weakens their defensive options, but coach Fabio Cannavaro has found ways to maximize their home advantage this season.

Fiorentina

11 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
W
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

5/10

Fiorentina Form Analysis

Analysis

Fiorentina's league campaign has been disappointing, managing just five wins in 26 matches with a...

Fiorentina's league campaign has been disappointing, managing just five wins in 26 matches with a concerning 19.2% win rate. However, their recent 2-1 victory at Como and strong Conference League performances suggest underlying quality remains. The Viola average 1.15 goals per game but struggle defensively, conceding 1.5 per match. Moise Kean leads their attack, while midfielder Yacine Adli provides technical quality in the center. The suspension of key right-back Dodo significantly impacts their defensive structure, while Lamptey's injury further limits their options. Their away record shows just two wins in 13 matches, highlighting their struggles on the road this season.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Udinese9-5-1234.6%
Fiorentina5-9-1219.2%
Goals Scored
Udinese28
Fiorentina30
Goals Conceded
Udinese39
Fiorentina39

shieldUdinese2

  • O. Solet profile photo

    O. Solet

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • A. Zanoli profile photo

    A. Zanoli

    Knee Injury
    Out
O. SoletUdinese
A. ZanoliUdinese

shieldFiorentina4

  • M. Solomon profile photo

    M. Solomon

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • L. Lezzerini profile photo

    L. Lezzerini

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • Dodo profile photo

    Dodo

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • T. Lamptey profile photo

    T. Lamptey

    Knee Injury
    Out
M. SolomonFiorentina
L. LezzeriniFiorentina
DodoFiorentina
T. LampteyFiorentina

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Udinese-11
Fiorentina-9

Udinese vs Fiorentina - Match Analysis

Why might Fiorentina struggle despite being market favorites?

Fiorentina's away form has been abysmal this season, winning just two of 13 road matches. They're missing suspended right-back Dodo, who's crucial to their defensive structure, while key winger Lamptey remains injured. Their relegation battle adds pressure, and Udinese have proven capable of beating superior opposition at home, including victories over Roma and Napoli at the Bluenergy Stadium.

What alternative bets should I consider for Udinese vs Fiorentina?

Draw No Bet on Udinese offers excellent value at around 65% confidence, combining their win probability with draw insurance. Both Teams to Score appeals given defensive weaknesses on both sides. The Over 2.5 Goals market also presents value, as Fiorentina's desperation for points could create an open game despite the low combined goals average.

How does recent form affect this prediction?

Udinese's recent form shows two wins from five, including impressive home victories that demonstrate their ability to rise for big occasions. Fiorentina's league form remains poor despite their recent Como victory, with just five wins all season. The psychological factor of Udinese sitting four places higher in the table could prove crucial in a match where confidence and momentum matter significantly.

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