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Sassuolo
Sassuolo11th in Serie A (12-6-14)
VS
Como
Como5th in Serie A (16-10-6)

Sassuolo vs Como

Friday, Apr 17, 2026 · --:--

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Final
Sassuolo
2–1
Como

Sassuolo won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Sassuolo vs Como prediction highlights a fascinating Serie A preview where the visitors arrive as strong favorites despite playing away from home. Como sits 5th with 58 points and an impressive 1.81 points per game, while Sassuolo languishes in 11th with just 42 points. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Como at 56.7% probability, reflecting their superior league position and attacking prowess. Como's recent form has been exceptional, winning four of their last six league matches including victories over Roma and Juventus. Sassuolo's inconsistency continues with just one win in five games, though they did secure a crucial home victory against Cagliari. Key injuries plague the hosts, with Domenico Berardi suspended and Daniel Boloca sidelined. Como's superior goal difference (+30 vs -4) and defensive solidity (0.81 goals conceded per game) make them compelling expert picks for this encounter. These free tips suggest backing the visitors in what should be a crucial match for European qualification hopes.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Sassuolo12-6-1437.5%
Como16-10-650.0%
Goals Scored
Sassuolo39
Como56
Goals Conceded
Sassuolo43
Como26
Goal Difference
Sassuolo-4
Como+30

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Sassuolo vs Como - Match Analysis

Why is Como strongly favored despite playing away from home?

Como's superior league position (5th vs 11th), impressive 1.81 points per game, and dominant head-to-head record justify their favoritism. Their recent victories over Roma and Juventus demonstrate quality that transcends home advantage. Sassuolo's key injuries to Berardi and Boloca further tilt the balance, while Como's defensive solidity (0.81 goals conceded per game) provides the foundation for away success in this crucial European qualification battle.

What alternative bets should I consider for Sassuolo vs Como?

Over 2.5 Goals at 65% confidence suits both teams' recent high-scoring patterns and attacking approaches. Como Draw No Bet offers insurance against home advantage while maintaining strong value. Consider Como -1 Asian Handicap given their recent margin of victory trends and Sassuolo's defensive vulnerabilities. Both Teams to Score carries less appeal due to Como's defensive strength and Sassuolo's scoring struggles without Berardi.

How do Sassuolo's injury problems affect this match?

Domenico Berardi's suspension removes Sassuolo's primary creative threat and leading assist provider, significantly weakening their attacking options. Daniel Boloca's muscle injury depletes midfield depth, forcing tactical adjustments that may expose defensive vulnerabilities. These absences compound against Como's tactical discipline and squad depth, creating additional pressure on remaining players like Pinamonti to perform without adequate service from wide areas and central midfield creativity.

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Last 2 head-to-head matchups

Sassuolo (0)Como (2)
Nov 28, 25
(H)Como2 - 0Sassuolo(A)
H
Sep 24, 25
(H)Como3 - 0Sassuolo(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Como completely dominates this recent head-to-head record, winning both encounters in the last two years. The visitors secured a comfortable...

Como completely dominates this recent head-to-head record, winning both encounters in the last two years. The visitors secured a comfortable 2-0 victory at home in November 2025, followed by an emphatic 3-0 Coppa Italia triumph in September. Sassuolo has failed to score in both meetings, managing just two shots on target across 180 minutes. Como's tactical superiority and clinical finishing have been evident in these fixtures, with the visitors controlling possession and creating numerous chances while maintaining defensive discipline throughout both contests.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Sassuolo

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
D
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
D

Form Rating

4.7/10

Sassuolo Form Analysis

Trending

Sassuolo's recent form reveals a team struggling for consistency in mid-table mediocrity. They've managed just...

Sassuolo's recent form reveals a team struggling for consistency in mid-table mediocrity. They've managed just two wins in their last eight league matches, including a disappointing 2-1 defeat at Genoa last weekend. Their home record shows seven wins from 16 matches, with defensive frailties evident in conceding 1.34 goals per game. The suspension of key winger Domenico Berardi removes their primary creative threat, while Daniel Boloca's muscle injury weakens their midfield options. Striker Andrea Pinamonti has been their standout performer, but lacks consistent service. Their recent 2-1 victory over Cagliari provided temporary relief, yet underlying performance metrics suggest continued struggles against quality opposition like Como.

Como

12 of 15 in Serie A

L
D
W
W
W
D
W
W
D
L
W
D
W
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

Como Form Analysis

Analysis

Como arrives in excellent form, having secured four victories in their last six Serie A...

Como arrives in excellent form, having secured four victories in their last six Serie A outings despite a recent 4-3 defeat to Inter. Their away record impresses with seven wins from 15 matches, showcasing tactical flexibility under pressure. The visitors boast Serie A's second-best defensive record, conceding just 0.81 goals per game through disciplined organization. Patrick Cutrone leads their attack with 12 league goals, while midfielder Nico Paz provides creative spark from deep positions. Their recent victories over Roma (2-1) and at Juventus (2-0) demonstrate their ability to perform against top opposition. Only minor injury concern surrounds Jacopo Addai's Achilles problem, leaving Como with virtually a full-strength squad for this crucial fixture.

shieldSassuolo9

  • U. Garcia profile photo

    U. Garcia

    Injury
    Questionable
  • D. Berardi profile photo

    D. Berardi

    Red Card
    Out
  • F. Romagna profile photo

    F. Romagna

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Cande profile photo

    F. Cande

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Vranckx profile photo

    A. Vranckx

    Injury
    Questionable
U. GarciaSassuolo
D. BerardiSassuolo
F. RomagnaSassuolo
F. CandeSassuolo
A. VranckxSassuolo
J. DoigSassuolo
D. BolocaSassuolo
E. PieragnoloSassuolo
D. BakolaSassuolo

Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries

shieldComo1

  • J. Addai profile photo

    J. Addai

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
J. AddaiComo

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.