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Sassuolo
Sassuolo9th in Serie A (11-5-12)
VS
Bologna
Bologna8th in Serie A (11-6-11)

Sassuolo vs Bologna

Sunday, Mar 15, 2026 · --:--

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Final
Sassuolo
0–1
Bologna

Bologna won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Sassuolo vs Bologna prediction centers on a closely contested Serie A preview between two mid-table teams separated by just one point. Sassuolo (9th, 38 points) hosts Bologna (8th, 39 points) at the MAPEI Stadium in what bookmakers price as a virtual coin flip. The home side has shown resilience recently, winning three of their last five matches including impressive victories over Atalanta and Hellas Verona. However, Bologna arrives with superior away form and European experience, having progressed in the Europa League. Key injuries plague Sassuolo with D. Boloca and F. Cande sidelined, while Bologna faces fixture congestion with just two days' rest after their Europa League clash with Roma. The minimal points per game differential (-0.03) and combined low draw rate (19.6%) suggest an open encounter. Our expert picks favor Bologna's superior squad depth and away record, making this one of today's most intriguing football tips with genuine value in the away win market.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Sassuolo (3)Draws (4)Bologna (3)
Dec 28, 25
(H)Bologna1 - 1Sassuolo(A)
D
Feb 3, 24
(H)Bologna4 - 2Sassuolo(A)
H
Oct 28, 23
(H)Sassuolo1 - 1Bologna(A)
D
May 8, 23
(H)Sassuolo1 - 1Bologna(A)
D
Nov 12, 22
(H)Bologna3 - 0Sassuolo(A)
H
May 15, 22
(H)Bologna1 - 3Sassuolo(A)
A
Dec 22, 21
(H)Sassuolo0 - 3Bologna(A)
A
Feb 20, 21
(H)Sassuolo1 - 1Bologna(A)
D
Oct 18, 20
(H)Bologna3 - 4Sassuolo(A)
A
Jul 8, 20
(H)Bologna1 - 2Sassuolo(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters show a balanced rivalry with their last meeting in December ending 1-1 at Bologna's home ground. Over...

Recent head-to-head encounters show a balanced rivalry with their last meeting in December ending 1-1 at Bologna's home ground. Over the past two years, these teams have met just once, producing a draw that reflected their similar quality levels. The historical pattern suggests tight contests with both teams capable of scoring, though neither has established clear dominance in this fixture recently.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Sassuolo

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
W

Form Rating

5/10

Sassuolo Form Analysis

Trending

Sassuolo enters this match with mixed recent form, having won three of their last six...

Sassuolo enters this match with mixed recent form, having won three of their last six league matches. Their home record shows six wins from 14 matches, indicating inconsistency at the MAPEI Stadium. Recent victories over Atalanta (2-1) and Hellas Verona (3-0) demonstrate their ability to perform against quality opposition. However, heavy defeats to Inter (0-5) and Juventus (0-3) expose defensive vulnerabilities against top-tier attacks. Key absences include midfielder D. Boloca and defender F. Cande through injury. Striker Domenico Berardi remains their primary attacking threat when fit.

Bologna

9 of 15 in Serie A

D
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
D
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Bologna Form Analysis

Analysis

Bologna arrives with superior away form, collecting six wins from 14 road trips this season....

Bologna arrives with superior away form, collecting six wins from 14 road trips this season. Their recent schedule has been demanding with Europa League commitments, including a 1-1 draw with Roma just three days ago. The Rossoblu have shown character in big matches, defeating Torino 2-1 away and securing crucial European victories. Their attacking output of 1.32 goals per game is marginally better than Sassuolo's 1.25. L. Ferguson's suspension weakens their midfield options, but their squad depth from European competition should help manage the fixture congestion. Riccardo Orsolini and Joshua Zirkzee provide the main attacking threats.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Sassuolo11-5-1239.3%
Bologna11-6-1139.3%
Goals Scored
Sassuolo35
Bologna37
Goals Conceded
Sassuolo38
Bologna34

shieldSassuolo4

  • F. Cande profile photo

    F. Cande

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Fadera profile photo

    A. Fadera

    Injury
    Out
  • D. Boloca profile photo

    D. Boloca

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • E. Pieragnolo profile photo

    E. Pieragnolo

    Knee Injury
    Out
F. CandeSassuolo
A. FaderaSassuolo
D. BolocaSassuolo
E. PieragnoloSassuolo

shieldBologna2

  • K. Bonifazi profile photo

    K. Bonifazi

    Inactive
    Out
  • L. Ferguson profile photo

    L. Ferguson

    Yellow Cards
    Out
K. BonifaziBologna
L. FergusonBologna

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Sassuolo-3
Bologna+3

Sassuolo vs Bologna - Match Analysis

Why is Bologna favored despite playing away from home?

Bologna's superior away form (6 wins from 14 road trips) and better overall squad depth from European competition gives them the edge. Their recent performances in the Europa League demonstrate mental resilience, while Sassuolo's home record shows only 6 wins from 14 matches. Bologna's positive goal difference (+3) compared to Sassuolo's negative (-3) also reflects their superior quality this season.

How does fixture congestion affect Bologna's chances?

Bologna's Europa League commitments create fatigue risks with only two days' rest since their Roma clash. However, their squad rotation experience from European competition should help manage this challenge. Their recent away victories at Torino and Pisa show they can handle demanding schedules. The fixture congestion may actually favor their rhythm and match sharpness over Sassuolo's five-day break.

What alternative bets offer the best value for this match?

Both Teams to Score at around 60% probability offers excellent value given both teams' attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Over 2.5 Goals also appeals considering their recent meetings have been entertaining affairs. Bologna Draw No Bet provides insurance against the draw while backing the superior away team, combining their win probability with draw protection for enhanced value.

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