AI vs Market Probabilities

• Pisa
  25%vs 32%-7%
• Draw
  25%vs 32%-7%
• Sassuolo
  50%vs 37%+13%

Analysis

Our AI model heavily favors Sassuolo based on superior league position, better squad depth, and Pisa's alarming defensive record. Probability analysis shows the visitors' class advantage outweighs home desperation factors. Sassuolo's 26 points compared to Pisa's 14 reflects genuine quality difference, while their recent attacking displays suggest they can exploit the hosts' defensive frailties. Key injuries affect both sides, but Pisa's losses appear more damaging to their limited resources. The model accounts for Pisa's improved recent performances but weights Sassuolo's superior individual quality and mid-table security as decisive factors in this relegation six-pointer.

Value Bets Comparison Table

Recommendations

Smart bet analysis reveals excellent value bets in this fixture. Sassuolo's away win at odds around 2.40 offers positive expected value given their superior quality and Pisa's defensive struggles. The visitors' recent inconsistency has inflated their odds, creating opportunity for value-seeking bettors. Over 2.5 Goals presents another strong value bet, with both teams' recent matches featuring goals and defensive vulnerabilities. Pisa vs Sassuolo betting tips suggest avoiding the draw despite recent H2H patterns, as Sassuolo's class should eventually tell. Expected value calculations favor backing the away side's superior attacking quality against relegation-threatened opposition desperate for points but lacking defensive solidity.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Pisa

  Possible

• Draw

  Common

• Sassuolo

  Likely

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Alternative markets offer excellent hedge bet opportunities for this encounter. Both Teams to Score Yes appeals strongly given both sides' defensive issues and recent goal-heavy encounters. Their November meeting produced four goals, while Pisa's recent matches against quality opposition have been high-scoring affairs. Draw No Bet: Sassuolo provides safer exposure to the away win while protecting against Pisa's home desperation potentially forcing a draw. Over 2.5 Goals represents the standout alternative market, with both teams showing attacking intent but defensive frailties in recent fixtures.