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Pisa
Pisa20th in Serie A (1-12-15)
VS
Cagliari
Cagliari15th in Serie A (7-9-12)

Pisa vs Cagliari

Sunday, Mar 15, 2026 · --:--

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Final
Pisa
3–1
Cagliari

Pisa won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Pisa vs Cagliari prediction centers on a relegation battle where both teams desperately need points. This Serie A preview highlights a crucial match between 20th-placed Pisa (15 points) and 15th-placed Cagliari (30 points), with the hosts fighting for survival. Pisa's woeful home record shows just one win in 14 matches, while their attack averages only 0.71 goals per game. Cagliari arrives with superior form, having won three of their last six matches including victories over Juventus and Hellas Verona. The visitors' away record is modest but significantly better than Pisa's home struggles. Key injuries plague both sides - Pisa miss goalkeeper Scuffet and midfielder Lorran, while Cagliari lose striker Belotti and suspended Esposito. With both teams drawing frequently (combined 37.5% draw rate) and low-scoring tendencies (1.78 goals per game combined), this match screams value in alternative markets. Our expert picks favor Cagliari's superior quality and motivation, though Pisa's desperation could force a draw. These football tips today suggest backing the visitors in what promises to be a tense, low-scoring affair with significant relegation implications.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Pisa1-12-153.6%
Cagliari7-9-1225.0%
Goals Scored
Pisa20
Cagliari30
Goals Conceded
Pisa48
Cagliari38
Goal Difference
Pisa-28
Cagliari-8

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Pisa vs Cagliari - Match Analysis

Why is Cagliari favored despite playing away from home?

Cagliari's superior form and 15-point advantage over bottom-placed Pisa outweighs traditional home advantage. Pisa has won just once at home all season, while Cagliari recently defeated Juventus and Hellas Verona. The visitors' 1.07 points per game compared to Pisa's 0.54 average reflects a significant quality gap that makes them rightful favorites despite traveling.

What alternative bets should I consider for Pisa vs Cagliari?

Draw No Bet: Cagliari offers excellent value at enhanced odds, protecting against the high draw probability while backing the superior team. Under 2.5 Goals suits both teams' low-scoring tendencies (1.78 combined goals per game). The Double Chance: Draw or Cagliari covers 62.8% of outcomes based on market probabilities, making it ideal for risk-averse bettors in this unpredictable relegation battle.

How do the injury lists affect this relegation battle?

Both teams face significant absences that could influence the outcome. Pisa lose goalkeeper Scuffet and midfielder Lorran, weakening their already fragile setup. Cagliari miss striker Belotti and suspended top scorer Esposito, reducing their attacking threat. However, Cagliari's deeper squad and superior form suggest they're better equipped to cope with these losses, maintaining their advantage despite the personnel issues affecting both sides.

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Last 4 head-to-head matchups

Pisa (0)Draws (3)Cagliari (1)
Dec 21, 25
(H)Cagliari2 - 2Pisa(A)
D
Apr 10, 23
(H)Pisa0 - 0Cagliari(A)
D
Nov 12, 22
(H)Cagliari1 - 1Pisa(A)
D
Aug 14, 21
(H)Cagliari3 - 1Pisa(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor draws, with their last Serie A meeting in December ending 2-2 at Cagliari's home. The reverse...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor draws, with their last Serie A meeting in December ending 2-2 at Cagliari's home. The reverse fixture saw Pisa take an early lead before Cagliari fought back for a share of points. Their 2022-23 Serie B meetings also produced draws (0-0 and 1-1), establishing a pattern of tight contests. Cagliari holds a slight historical edge but these teams consistently produce cagey, low-scoring affairs when they meet.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Pisa

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
L
L
D
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
D
L
L

Form Rating

1.7/10

Pisa Form Analysis

Trending

Pisa's form is catastrophic, sitting bottom with just 15 points from 28 games. Their home...

Pisa's form is catastrophic, sitting bottom with just 15 points from 28 games. Their home record is particularly damaging - one win, four draws, and nine defeats at Arena Garibaldi. Recent results show heavy defeats to Juventus (0-4), Bologna (0-1), and Como (0-3), with their attack managing just 0.71 goals per game. The defense concedes 1.71 goals per match, creating a -28 goal difference. Key absences include goalkeeper Scuffet (muscle injury) and midfielder Lorran (inactive), weakening an already fragile squad. Their 42.9% draw rate offers some hope, but relegation looms large with performances showing little improvement. Manager pressure mounts as survival becomes increasingly unlikely.

Cagliari

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
D
D
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
L
W
D
L
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Cagliari Form Analysis

Analysis

Cagliari shows resilience despite sitting 15th, collecting 30 points with recent improvements under pressure. Their...

Cagliari shows resilience despite sitting 15th, collecting 30 points with recent improvements under pressure. Their away form is modest (three wins, five draws, six defeats) but superior to Pisa's home struggles. Recent victories over Juventus (1-0) and Hellas Verona (4-0) demonstrate their ability to perform when stakes are high. The attack averages 1.07 goals per game while conceding 1.36, creating a more balanced profile than their hosts. Missing striker Belotti (knee injury) and suspended Esposito hurts their attacking options, but midfielder Gaetano remains questionable rather than ruled out. Their 32.1% draw rate and ability to grind results suggests tactical discipline that could prove decisive in this relegation scrap.

shieldPisa4

  • S. Scuffet profile photo

    S. Scuffet

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • I. Vural profile photo

    I. Vural

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • Lorran profile photo

    Lorran

    Inactive
    Questionable
  • D. Denoon profile photo

    D. Denoon

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
S. ScuffetPisa
I. VuralPisa
LorranPisa
D. DenoonPisa

shieldCagliari9

  • S. Esposito profile photo

    S. Esposito

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • G. Gaetano profile photo

    G. Gaetano

    Injury
    Questionable
  • Y. Mina profile photo

    Y. Mina

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Belotti profile photo

    A. Belotti

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Deiola profile photo

    A. Deiola

    Injury
    Questionable
S. EspositoCagliari
G. GaetanoCagliari
Y. MinaCagliari
A. BelottiCagliari
A. DeiolaCagliari
L. MazzitelliCagliari
G. BorrelliCagliari
M. FeliciCagliari
R. IdrissiCagliari

Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.