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Pisa
Pisa19th in Serie A (1-12-13)
VS
Bologna
Bologna9th in Serie A (10-6-10)

Pisa vs Bologna

Monday, Mar 2, 2026 · --:--

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Final
Pisa
0–1
Bologna

Bologna won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Pisa vs Bologna prediction highlights a stark Serie A preview clash between relegation-battling Pisa (19th, 15 points) and mid-table Bologna (9th, 36 points). The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Bologna at 48% despite their away status, reflecting the 10-position gap and Pisa's dismal home record of just one win in 13 matches. Bologna arrives with superior attacking output (1.35 vs 0.77 goals per game) and recent momentum from Europa League progression, though fixture congestion poses concerns with only three days' rest. Pisa's defensive frailties are evident in their -23 goal difference, conceding 1.65 per game at home. Key injuries include goalkeeper Scuffet for Pisa and defender Miranda for Bologna. The visitors' away form (5-4-4) significantly outperforms Pisa's home struggles (1-4-8). With both teams combining for a 34.7% draw rate and low-scoring tendencies (2.12 goals per game combined), this represents excellent value for football tips today. Bologna's superior quality and Pisa's relegation desperation create clear expert picks opportunities in what should be a crucial three points for the visitors' European ambitions.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 2 head-to-head matchups

Pisa (0)Bologna (2)
Oct 5, 25
(H)Bologna4 - 0Pisa(A)
H
Aug 18, 19
(H)Pisa0 - 3Bologna(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Bologna, who demolished Pisa 4-0 at home in October 2025 in their only Serie A...

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Bologna, who demolished Pisa 4-0 at home in October 2025 in their only Serie A meeting this season. Bologna dominated that fixture with a commanding first-half performance, scoring three goals before the break. The only other recent encounter dates back to 2019 in the Coppa Italia, where Bologna won 3-0 away at Pisa. This limited sample shows Bologna's clear superiority, outscoring Pisa 7-0 across both matches, suggesting a psychological advantage for the visitors.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Pisa

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
D
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
D
L
L
L
D

Form Rating

2/10

Pisa Form Analysis

Trending

Pisa's form represents one of Serie A's worst campaigns, managing just one victory in 26...

Pisa's form represents one of Serie A's worst campaigns, managing just one victory in 26 matches with an alarming 46.2% draw rate masking their inability to win games. Their home record is particularly concerning with only one win in 13 matches at Arena Garibaldi, scoring a meager 0.85 goals per home game while conceding 1.23. Recent results show five consecutive defeats, including heavy losses to Milan (1-2), Sassuolo (1-3), and Como (0-3). The attack relies heavily on set pieces and counter-attacks, but lacks creativity in open play. Goalkeeper Scuffet's injury compounds defensive issues that have seen them concede 43 goals in 26 games. With relegation looming just four points behind safety, desperation may drive intensity but quality remains severely lacking across all areas of the pitch.

Bologna

10 of 15 in Serie A

W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
D
L
W
D
L
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Bologna Form Analysis

Analysis

Bologna enters this fixture with mixed recent form but significantly superior quality throughout their squad....

Bologna enters this fixture with mixed recent form but significantly superior quality throughout their squad. Their away record of five wins, four draws, and four defeats demonstrates resilience on the road, averaging 1.69 points per away game. Recent performances include a crucial 1-0 victory over Udinese and progression in the Europa League with wins over Brann. The attack, led by experienced forwards, averages 1.35 goals per game with better movement and creativity than Pisa. However, fixture congestion presents concerns with only three days' rest following their European commitments. Key defender Miranda's injury weakens their backline, though they still concede fewer goals (1.23 per game) than Pisa. Their superior technical ability and tactical organization should prove decisive against relegation-threatened opposition, despite potential rotation affecting rhythm.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Pisa1-12-133.8%
Bologna10-6-1038.5%
Goals Scored
Pisa20
Bologna35
Goals Conceded
Pisa43
Bologna32

shieldPisa4

  • C. Stengs profile photo

    C. Stengs

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
  • S. Scuffet profile photo

    S. Scuffet

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • I. Vural profile photo

    I. Vural

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • D. Denoon profile photo

    D. Denoon

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
C. StengsPisa
S. ScuffetPisa
I. VuralPisa
D. DenoonPisa

shieldBologna6

  • J. Miranda profile photo

    J. Miranda

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • L. De Silvestri profile photo

    L. De Silvestri

    Inactive
    Questionable
  • C. Lykogiannis profile photo

    C. Lykogiannis

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • K. Bonifazi profile photo

    K. Bonifazi

    Inactive
    Out
  • T. Heggem profile photo

    T. Heggem

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Questionable
J. MirandaBologna
L. De SilvestriBologna
C. LykogiannisBologna
K. BonifaziBologna
T. HeggemBologna
E. Fauske HellandBologna

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Pisa-23
Bologna+3

Pisa vs Bologna - Match Analysis

Why is Bologna strongly favored despite playing away from home?

Bologna's 48% win probability reflects the massive quality gap between 9th-placed Bologna (36 points) and relegation-threatened Pisa (15 points). The 10-position league difference, superior goal-scoring record (1.35 vs 0.77 per game), and Bologna's recent 4-0 victory over Pisa demonstrate clear superiority. Pisa's woeful home record of just one win in 13 matches negates any home advantage, while Bologna's decent away form (5-4-4) provides confidence for the visitors.

What alternative bets should I consider for Pisa vs Bologna?

Draw No Bet: Bologna offers excellent value at approximately 75% probability, protecting against the high draw rate while capitalizing on their quality advantage. Over 2.5 Goals presents value despite low combined averages, as Bologna's attacking prowess against Pisa's defensive frailties could produce goals. Bologna -1 Asian Handicap leverages their recent dominance and Pisa's home struggles, offering enhanced odds for confident backers of the visitors' superiority.

How does fixture congestion affect Bologna's chances in this match?

Bologna's three-day rest following Europa League action creates moderate fatigue risk, but their squad depth and superior fitness levels should manage the congestion better than relegation-battling Pisa. Their recent European experience demonstrates mental strength and tactical flexibility that Pisa lacks. While rotation may affect rhythm, Bologna's quality reserves significantly exceed Pisa's starting eleven, maintaining their advantage even with potential changes to the lineup for this crucial Serie A fixture.

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